HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Vegas Golden Knights

Western Conference · 4 seed

Vegas Golden Knights

39-26 · W3 · L10 7-0-3

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#4 of 32

Elo rating 1560.7 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Last 5 form

2026-06-04 → 2026-06-14 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 at CAR, 3-4, 2026-06-04. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs CAR, 5-4, 2026-06-06. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 vs CAR, 3-5, 2026-06-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 2 at CAR, 2-4, 2026-06-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 vs CAR, 0-3, 2026-06-14. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Jack Eichel74 GP90
  2. 2Mitch Marner81 GP80
  3. 3Mark Stone60 GP73
  4. 4Pavel Dorofeyev82 GP64
  5. 5Ivan Barbashev82 GP61

Goals

  1. 1Pavel Dorofeyev82 GP37
  2. 2Mark Stone60 GP28
  3. 3Jack Eichel74 GP27
  4. 4Tomas Hertl82 GP24
  5. 5Mitch Marner81 GP24

Assists

  1. 1Jack Eichel74 GP63
  2. 2Mitch Marner81 GP56
  3. 3Mark Stone60 GP45
  4. 4Ivan Barbashev82 GP38
  5. 5Tomas Hertl82 GP34

Power-play goals

  1. 1Pavel Dorofeyev82 GP20
  2. 2Tomas Hertl82 GP13
  3. 3Mark Stone60 GP9
  4. 4Rasmus Andersson81 GP6
  5. 5Mitch Marner81 GP5

Save percentage

  1. 1Akira Schmid29 GS.893
  2. 2Carter Hart18 GS.891
  3. 3Adin Hill27 GS.871

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Akira Schmid29 GS2.59
  2. 2Carter Hart18 GS2.71
  3. 3Adin Hill27 GS3.04

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.5P1 · 0.75 for / 1.00 against · margin -0.25P1P2 · 1.17 for / 0.42 against · margin +0.75PEAKP2P3 · 1.25 for / 1.33 against · margin -0.08P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.2 avg / 2.8 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.6 goals

2468AVG 3.6015283448567GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-03-31 → 2026-06-14

Record

21-9

Win pct

70.0%

Avg margin

+1.0

Longest W

7

Longest L

3

Upset wins

9

Favorite losses

4

2026-03-31 · vs VAN · W 4-2 · model gave 68%VAN2026-04-03 · vs CGY · W 6-3 · model gave 58%CGY2026-04-05 · @ EDM · W 5-1 · model gave 38%EDM2026-04-08 · @ VAN · W 2-1 · model gave 56%VAN2026-04-10 · @ SEA · L 3-4 · model gave 48%SEA2026-04-12 · @ COL · W 3-2 · model gave 31%COL2026-04-14 · vs WPG · W 6-2 · model gave 59%WPG2026-04-16 · vs SEA · W 4-1 · model gave 62%SEA2026-04-20 · vs UTAH · W 4-2 · model gave 54%UTAH2026-04-22 · vs UTAH · L 2-3 · model gave 55%UTAH2026-04-25 · @ UTAH · L 2-4 · model gave 40%UTAH2026-04-28 · @ UTAH · W 5-4 · model gave 43%UTAH2026-04-29 · vs UTAH · W 5-4 · model gave 57%UTAH2026-05-01 · @ UTAH · W 5-1 · model gave 43%UTAH2026-05-04 · vs ANA · W 3-1 · model gave 59%ANA2026-05-06 · vs ANA · L 1-3 · model gave 58%ANA2026-05-08 · @ ANA · W 6-2 · model gave 45%ANA2026-05-10 · @ ANA · L 3-4 · model gave 46%ANA2026-05-12 · vs ANA · W 3-2 · model gave 60%ANA2026-05-14 · @ ANA · W 5-1 · model gave 46%ANA2026-05-20 · @ COL · W 4-2 · model gave 35%COL2026-05-22 · @ COL · W 3-1 · model gave 38%COL2026-05-24 · vs COL · W 5-3 · model gave 53%COL2026-05-26 · vs COL · W 2-1 · model gave 53%COL2026-06-02 · @ CAR · W 5-4 · model gave 42%CAR2026-06-04 · @ CAR · L 3-4 · model gave 42%CAR2026-06-06 · vs CAR · W 5-4 · model gave 54%CAR2026-06-09 · vs CAR · L 3-5 · model gave 53%CAR2026-06-11 · @ CAR · L 2-4 · model gave 37%CAR2026-06-14 · vs CAR · L 0-3 · model gave 51%CAR

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

104 games · 2025-10-09 → 2026-06-14

Peak 1578 · Now 1561 · Trough 1468

Forwards · 21

Forwards

Alexander Holtz

Alexander Holtz

RW · #11

9 PTS3 G

Braeden Bowman

RW · #42

26 PTS8 G
Brandon Saad

Brandon Saad

LW · #20

9 PTS3 G
Brett Howden

Brett Howden

C · #21

22 PTS12 G
Cole Smith

Cole Smith

RW · #22

12 PTS8 G
Colton Sissons

Colton Sissons

C · #10

11 PTS6 G
Ivan Barbashev

Ivan Barbashev

LW · #49

61 PTS23 G
Jack Eichel

Jack Eichel

C · #9

90 PTS27 G
Jonas Rondbjerg

Jonas Rondbjerg

RW · #46

1 PTS0 G

Kai Uchacz

C · #77

0 PTS0 G
Keegan Kolesar

Keegan Kolesar

RW · #55

17 PTS6 G
Mark Stone

Mark Stone

RW · #61

73 PTS28 G
Mitch Marner

Mitch Marner

RW · #93

80 PTS24 G
Nic Dowd

Nic Dowd

C · #26

21 PTS5 G
Pavel Dorofeyev

Pavel Dorofeyev

RW · #16

64 PTS37 G
Raphael Lavoie

Raphael Lavoie

C · #36

0 PTS0 G
Reilly Smith

Reilly Smith

RW · #19

26 PTS16 G
Tanner Laczynski

Tanner Laczynski

C · #28

5 PTS0 G
Tomas Hertl

Tomas Hertl

C · #48

58 PTS24 G

Trevor Connelly

LW · #24

William Karlsson

William Karlsson

C · #71

7 PTS4 G

Defensemen · 10

The blue line

Ben Hutton

Ben Hutton

D · #17

15 PTS6 G
Brayden McNabb

Brayden McNabb

D · #3

12 PTS5 G
Dylan Coghlan

Dylan Coghlan

D · #52

0 PTS0 G
Jaycob Megna

Jaycob Megna

D · #88

0 PTS0 G
Jeremy Davies

Jeremy Davies

D · #84

Jeremy Lauzon

Jeremy Lauzon

D · #5

13 PTS1 G
Kaedan Korczak

Kaedan Korczak

D · #6

16 PTS3 G
Noah Hanifin

Noah Hanifin

D · #15

28 PTS3 G
Rasmus Andersson

Rasmus Andersson

D · #4

47 PTS17 G
Shea Theodore

Shea Theodore

D · #27

39 PTS10 G

Goalies · 4

In the crease

Adin Hill

Adin Hill

G · #33

Akira Schmid

Akira Schmid

G · #40

Carl Lindbom

Carl Lindbom

G · #30

Carter Hart

Carter Hart

G · #79

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on VGK

Below the 30-pick gate (n=20)