NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1VGK

VGK

36-26-16

VAN

22-47-8

NHLTue, Apr 7FinalSeriesVGK wins series 3-0VegasVGK -258

Recap · NHL

egas Golden Knights went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 2–1.

VAN +1.5 cashed (VGK won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

VGK · top performer

Mitch Marner

RW · #93

0Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Max Sasson

C · #63

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:28
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	17:05
N. DowdC · #26	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	12:55
J. EichelC · #9	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	17:58
T. HertlC · #48	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	13:16
B. HowdenC · #21	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	17:17
K. KolesarRW · #55	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	12:07
M. MarnerRW · #93	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	18:46
B. SaadLW · #20	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	13:25
C. SissonsC · #10	0	0	0	2	4	1	2	13:22
C. SmithRW · #22	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	9:30
M. StoneRW · #61	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	17:10

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnderssonD · #4	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	22:22
N. HanifinD · #15	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	22:27
B. HuttonD · #17	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	13:53
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	-1	2	1	2	0	17:35
B. McNabbD · #3	1	0	2	1	1	3	0	21:23
S. TheodoreD · #27	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	20:37

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HartG · #79	11	1	10	.909	59:43

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	14:38
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	19:59
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	18:28
C. DouglasC · #42	0	0	-1	0	3	0	2	9:48
N. HoglanderLW · #21	0	0	-1	0	3	1	0	12:16
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	11:56
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:59
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	16:20
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	20:54
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:52
M. RossiC · #93	0	0	-1	2	3	0	0	18:02
M. SassonC · #63	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	10:57

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	21:18
F. HronekD · #17	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	26:53
V. ManciniD · #90	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	12:03
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-2	0	1	3	0	19:00
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	16:09
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	21:09

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. TolopiloG · #60	29	2	27	.931	58:19

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

VGK wins series 3-0

Feb 5

VAN2@

VGK5

Mar 31

VAN2@

VGK4

Apr 8

VGK2@

VAN1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VGK-25872%

VAN+21032%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

VGK

M. Marner

Top skater

6 SOG

C. Hart

Goaltender

10 SV · 1 GA · .909

VAN

M. Sasson

Top skater

1 G · 1 SOG

N. Tolopilo

Goaltender

27 SV · 2 GA · .931

How it ended

VGK beat VAN 2-1. M. Marner led the way — 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
VGK	0	1	1	2
VAN	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

VGK won 1 · VAN won 0

VGK

VAN

Play-by-play · 286 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:53
Brett Howden faceoff won against Aatu Räty
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:53
Puck Frozen - Goalie
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:44
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Brett Howden
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:44
Goalie Stopped
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:43
Jake DeBrusk Backhand saved by Carter Hart
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:41
Filip Hronek Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:35
Aatu Räty Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:27
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Jack Eichel
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:27
Puck in Netting
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:24
Brock Boeser shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:10
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:00
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Nic Dowd
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:00
Timeout - Home
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·19:00
Goalie Stopped
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·18:59
Filip Hronek Slap Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·18:43
Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
· ·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·18:19
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·18:19
Rasmus Andersson Interference against Marco Rossi
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·18:04
Filip Hronek hit Keegan Kolesar
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:56
Takeaway by Filip Hronek
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:51
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:51
Off-side
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:46
Filip Hronek Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:37
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Jack Eichel
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:37
Puck Frozen - Goalie
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:29
Giveaway by Zeev Buium
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·17:04
Brandon Saad Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
VGK 2·VAN 1
3rd·15:33
Mitch Marner Backhand saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
VGK 2·VAN 1

Team stats

VGK

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 6.5·VGK -258/VAN +210

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
DIST MI84.899+
Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
DIST MI75.199+
Tomas HertlVGK · C
xGF%6599
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI74.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

30.9%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
43.9%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
43.9%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
43.9%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+210

Close price

+210

Open no-vig

30.9%

Close no-vig

30.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss