Cross-sport·Model edges

Where the modeldisagrees most tonight.

Every modeled league's sharpest model-vs-market gaps, merged into one leaderboard. Magnitude is the percentage-point gap between our win-probability projection and the implied probability of the current moneyline. Larger gap = sharper edge.

Slate

12

games priced

Edges

12

surfaced

Top edge

11.3pp

MLB

Model · last 30

53.9%

215/399

Tonight · ranked

Top 12 cross-sport edges

Sorted by magnitude — sharpest disagreements first

1MLB
+11.3ppon TBlock
TBTBvsSFSFTB +100
Model 59%Market 48%Open
2NBA
+9.7ppon PHIlock
PHIPHIvsBOSBOSPHI +170
Model 45%Market 36%Open
3MLB
+5.7ppon CINedge
CINCINvsPITPITCIN +117
Model 50%Market 44%Open
4MLB
+5.4ppon NYYedge
NYYNYYvsBALBALNYY -171
Model 66%Market 60%Open
5MLB
+3.5ppon TEXlean
TEXTEXvsDETDETTEX +113
Model 48%Market 45%Open
6MLB
+3.3ppon BOSlean
BOSBOSvsHOUHOUBOS -141
Model 59%Market 56%Open
7MLB
+3.3ppon CLElean
CLECLEvsATHATHCLE +115
Model 48%Market 45%Open
8MLB
+2.6ppon MILlean
MILMILvsWSHWSHMIL -137
Model 58%Market 55%Open
9MLB
on PHI
PHIPHIvsMIAMIAPHI +108
Model 47%Market 46%Open
10MLB
on LAD
LADLADvsSTLSTLLAD -136
Model 56%Market 55%Open
11MLB
on CHC
CHCCHCvsARIARICHC -171
Model 61%Market 60%Open
12MLB
on TOR
TORTORvsMINMINTOR -143
Model 57%Market 56%Open

Edges under ~3pp are at the edge of model noise; meaningful sharps tend to live at 5+ on the same side. Lines refreshed continuously from the closing-line ingest. New leagues fall into this leaderboard automatically as their model adapters ship.

How edges are computed

Each game gets a model win probability from our per-sport Elo derivative. We compare it to the moneyline's implied probability (after de-juicing) and rank by the percentage-point gap. The leaderboard merges across every league with a model running so you see the sharpest decisions across the night, not just within one sport.

Bet responsibly · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · Models inform, they don't guarantee.