Model accuracy · WNBA
Last 7
87.5%
16 games
Last 30
65.2%
69 games
Last 90
65.2%
69 games
All time
63.4%
380 games
By confidence tier · all-time
★ Locks
72.7%
110g
+12.7
Edges
69.6%
102g
+14.6
Leans
56.5%
92g
+4.5
Tossups
50.0%
76g
+0.0
380 picks · 8 buckets
| Predicted | Actual win rate | Sample | 95% CI | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 to 55% | 50.0% | 38 of 76 | 39–61% | calibrated |
| 55 to 60% | 56.0% | 51 of 91 | 46–66% | calibrated |
| 60 to 65% | 68.7% | 46 of 67 | 57–78% | calibrated |
| 65 to 70% | 67.8% | 40 of 59 | 55–78% | calibrated |
| 70 to 75% | 66.7% | 28 of 42 | 52–79% | calibrated |
| 75 to 80% | 85.2% | 23 of 27 | 68–94% | calibrated |
| 80 to 85% | 76.9% | 10 of 13 | 50–92% | calibrated |
| 85 to 90% | 100.0% | 5 of 5 | 57–100% | calibrated |
Tonight · model projections
Model projection vs season average — biggest moves first. Projections, not odds.
Alyssa Thomas
PHX vs MIN · Low conf · 12g
15.0Pts
+1.00 vs season
Lexi Held
PHX vs MIN · Low conf · 11g
2.60Pts
−1.00 vs season
Han Xu
NY vs PHX · Low conf · 11g
6.00Pts
−0.80 vs season
Natisha Hiedeman
SEA @ DAL · Low conf · 11g
12.8Pts
+0.70 vs season
Explore WNBA
Live · today’s slate
Live · ranked by leverage
1 live · 0 high-leverage
Last 3 meetings
First meeting
Standings · ladder view
Bar lengths track win-pct vs the conference leader. Dashed line marks the playoff cut.
Last night · league-wide top performances
Top 3 players by Game Score across 4 games · ESPN
Injury report · 25 Out
39 active leaguewide · capped 2 per team
N. Collier
FAnkle · Sprain
S. Ionescu
GBack · Soreness
M. Sowah
GCoach's Decision
J. Harrison
GCoach's Decision
L. Ziegler
FCoach's Decision
T. Thierry
FCoach's Decision
T. Mair
GCoach's Decision · Not Specified
M. Westbeld
FCoach's Decision
M. Fauthoux
GKnee · Surgery
I. Harrison
FThumb · Dislocated
Conference race
Each team plotted by win-pct. Tighter clustering = closer race. Dashed line marks the playoff cut.
Eastern Conference
.182 · .750
Western Conference
.200 · .778
Standings · with trend
Trend column compares each team's season seed to their recent-form power rank. Up arrow = playing better than their seed; down = slumping.
Schedule strength · next 7 days
Average opponent power score across each team's next 5 games. Higher = harder slate.
Hardest stretch ahead
Storm
4 games · avg opp pwr 81.2
Valkyries
3 games · avg opp pwr 81.2
Lynx
3 games · avg opp pwr 67.9
Mystics
2 games · avg opp pwr 63.9
Sky
3 games · avg opp pwr 63.8
Easiest stretch ahead
Dream
3 games · avg opp pwr 53.9
Sun
3 games · avg opp pwr 54.0
Fever
3 games · avg opp pwr 55.5
Mercury
3 games · avg opp pwr 56.1
Sparks
3 games · avg opp pwr 62.1
Recent form · last 21 days
Top 5 by win% across the recent window · oldest on the left, most recent on the right
Storylines
Lynx have won 5 in a row
Longest active win streak in the WNBA
Lynx blew out the Mercury 111-77
Biggest margin in the WNBA last night
2026 season leaders · min 15 GP
PPG
No 2026 season data yet.
RPG
No 2026 season data yet.
APG
No 2026 season data yet.
STK
No 2026 season data yet.
Teams · 15
Players · 313 of 313