Accuracy · 30D · Audited
—
Sportsbook-grade modeling. Logged before tip. Graded in public.
Edges tonight
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model vs market
Predictions logged
0
lifetime
21+ · Bet responsibly · Free during beta
Sportsbook-grade models
Built to compete with the closing line, not chase it.
Honest analytics
Public methodology. Same math we'd want a sharp to audit.
Verified results
Every prediction logged before tip-off. No edits after.
Transparent edge
Real process. Real numbers. Receipts you can download.
Public track record
Cross-sport model · last 30 days · 7 leagues
303 of 493 games called correctly
Every prediction logged at game start. No edits after. No cherry-picking. Open file, downloadable as CSV.
Audit the record →2026 NBA Draft · Barclays Center
Deterministic model · projected landing spots · steals & reaches
Go deeper
21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · Free during beta
Receipts · in progress · 6 open
LOGGED BEFORE TIP · GRADED AT THE FINAL · PRE-GAME MODEL PROB, NEVER A LIVE %
CLE -126 vs DET · logged at 59%
STL +118 vs MIN · logged at 55%
NYY +104 vs TOR · logged at 66%
SD +108 vs BAL · logged at 51%
TEX +116 vs BOS · logged at 53%
MIA +123 vs PIT · logged at 53%
Every logged pick whose game is in progress right now. Each one grades the moment the buzzer sounds — win or lose, it lands on the receipts either way.
Accuracy · 30D · Audited
61.5%
303–190 · 493 graded · cross-sport
Sportsbook-grade modeling. Logged before tip. Graded in public.
Open picks
6
3 leading · 3 down
Edges tonight
6
model vs market
Predictions logged
20.7K
lifetime
30-day trend · MLB 60 · WNBA 75
21+ · Bet responsibly · Free during beta
The Nightly · Tonight's standouts
The best individual lines unfolding across tonight's slate — one normalized score, every sport.

Jacob Misiorowski
7.0 IP · 13 K
Live · model intelligence
Live win probability, leverage, and pp shift from pre-game. Sorted by leverage so peak-moments float to the top — these are the games where the next play matters most. Refreshes every 15 seconds.
1
high · peak leverage
Win prob
53%
home · +12.5pp
Leverage
high
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Spencer Strider pitches to Bo Bichette
Win prob
37%
home · -11.2pp
Leverage
medium
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Zack Littell pitches to Dominic Canzone
Win prob
91%
home · +32.2pp
Leverage
medium
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 4 : Ball 2
Win prob
84%
home · +31.6pp
Leverage
medium
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
Win prob
96%
home · +50.5pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Win prob
5%
home · -39.7pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Joe Ryan pitches to Masyn Winn
Win prob
99%
home · +50.3pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 3 : Ball 2
Win prob
99%
home · +64.8pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging
Win prob
1%
home · -49.3pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
Win prob
1%
home · -45.6pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Pitch 2 : Ball 1
Win prob
99%
home · +51.9pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Middle of the 7th inning
Win prob
99%
home · +40.0pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Chase Shugart pitches to William Contreras
Win prob
95%
home · +44.3pp
Leverage
low
next-play swing
Game
open →
full detail
Shakira Austin defensive rebound