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THE ONE Analytics
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The One AnalyticsJUN 12·Updating

TheOne

Accuracy · 30D · Audited

—

—

Sportsbook-grade modeling. Logged before tip. Graded in public.

Edges tonight

—

model vs market

Predictions logged

0

lifetime

Tonight's bets→How it works

Coverage

MLBNBANHLWNBANFL

21+ · Bet responsibly · Free during beta

Sportsbook-grade models

Built to compete with the closing line, not chase it.

Honest analytics

Public methodology. Same math we'd want a sharp to audit.

Verified results

Every prediction logged before tip-off. No edits after.

Transparent edge

Real process. Real numbers. Receipts you can download.

Public track record

61.5%

Cross-sport model · last 30 days · 7 leagues

303 of 493 games called correctly

MLB 228-153 59.8%WNBA 57-19 75.0%NBA 11-7 61.1%NHL 7-11 38.9%NFL 0-0 0.0%NCAAF 0-0 0.0%NCAAB 0-0 0.0%

Every prediction logged at game start. No edits after. No cherry-picking. Open file, downloadable as CSV.

Audit the record →

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THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

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21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

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© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Live · 13
  • MLBTop 2
    SEA 0@WSH 0
    -11.2ppmedium
  • MLBBot 2
    ATL 2@NYM 2
    +12.5pphigh
  • MLBTop 8
    DET 2@CLE 3
    +32.2ppmedium
  • MLBTop 6
    ARI 1@CIN 2
    +31.6ppmedium
  • MLBBot 5
    LAD 2@CHW 4
    +50.5pplow
  • MLBTop 4
    STL 3@MIN 1
    -39.7pplow
  • MLBBot 7
    SD 3@BAL 7
    +50.3pplow
  • MLBTop 6
    NYY 3@TOR 7
    +64.8pplow
  • MLBTop 3
    HOU 9@KC 5
    -49.3pplow
  • MLBBot 9
    MIA 8@PIT 3
    -45.6pplow
  • MLBMid 7
    TEX 1@BOS 6
    +51.9pplow
  • MLBBot 7
    PHI 0@MIL 6
    +40.0pplow
  • WNBA6:14 - 4th
    TOR 61@WSH 74
    +44.2pplow

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

67%Last 7 · 65-32
61%Last 30 · 303-190
Receipts →

2026 NBA Draft · Barclays Center

The Big Board · 102 ranked

Deterministic model · projected landing spots · steals & reaches

––DAYS
––HRS
––MIN
AJ Dybantsa#1

AJ Dybantsa

SF·#1
Caleb Wilson#2

Caleb Wilson

PF/C·#2
Cameron Boozer#3

Cameron Boozer

PF/C·#3
Darryn Peterson#4

Darryn Peterson

PG/SG·#4
Aday Mara#5

Aday Mara

C·#5
Mikel Brown Jr.#6

Mikel Brown Jr.

PG·#6
Keaton Wagler#7

Keaton Wagler

PG/SG·#7
Kingston Flemings#8

Kingston Flemings

PG·#8
Darius Acuff Jr.#9

Darius Acuff Jr.

PG·#9
KL#10

Karim Lopez

SF/PF·#10
Labaron Philon Jr.#11

Labaron Philon Jr.

PG·#11
Brayden Burries#12

Brayden Burries

SG·#12
Full Big Board →Mock DraftSteals & Reaches

Live

13GAMES LIVE

SEA 0·WSH 0·Top 2nd

See live model wp →

▲Streak · last 7d

65-32

67%

See full track record →

◆Tonight

6EDGES

On the board · model called, market mispriced

See tonight's slate →

Go deeper

Tonight's bets6 edges on the board
Open →
Live odds13 games live now
Open →
Model accuracy61.5% · last 30 days
Open →
Yesterday's recap9-3 yesterday
Open →
MethodologyHow the model works
Open →

21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER · Free during beta

Receipts · in progress · 6 open

Open picks, live.

LOGGED BEFORE TIP · GRADED AT THE FINAL · PRE-GAME MODEL PROB, NEVER A LIVE %

  1. mlb

    CLE -126 vs DET · logged at 59%

    3–2up 1Top 8th
  2. mlb

    STL +118 vs MIN · logged at 55%

    3–1up 2Rain Delay, Top 4th
  3. mlb

    NYY +104 vs TOR · logged at 66%

    3–7down 4Top 6th
  4. mlb

    SD +108 vs BAL · logged at 51%

    3–7down 4Bot 7th
  5. mlb

    TEX +116 vs BOS · logged at 53%

    1–6down 5Mid 7th
  6. mlb

    MIA +123 vs PIT · logged at 53%

    8–3up 5Bot 9th

▸Every logged pick whose game is in progress right now. Each one grades the moment the buzzer sounds — win or lose, it lands on the receipts either way.

The One AnalyticsJUN 12·Updated 9:11 PM ET·13 Live

TheOne

Accuracy · 30D · Audited

61.5%

303–190 · 493 graded · cross-sport

Sportsbook-grade modeling. Logged before tip. Graded in public.

Open picks

6

3 leading · 3 down

Edges tonight

6

model vs market

Predictions logged

20.7K

lifetime

30-day trend · MLB 60 · WNBA 75

30-day accuracy versus the 50% coin-flip baselineCOIN FLIP 50%
Tonight's bets→How it works

Coverage

MLBNBANHLWNBANFL

21+ · Bet responsibly · Free during beta

The Wire
LIVE · OUR PICK · MLBCLE ML -126 leads DET 3-2 — Top 8thLIVE · OUR PICK · MLBSTL ML +118 leads MIN 3-1 — Rain Delay, Top 4thLIVE · OUR PICK · MLBNYY ML +104 trails TOR 3-7 — Top 6thLIVE · MLBWSH 0, SEA 0 — Top 2nd — tiedLIVE · MLBNYM 2, ATL 2 — Bot 2nd — tiedLIVE · MLBCIN 2, ARI 1 — Top 6thLIVE · MLBCHW 4, LAD 2 — Bot 5thLIVE · MLBBAL 7, SD 3 — Bot 7thLIVE · MLBHOU 9, KC 5 — Top 3rdLAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 34 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST in a win over CHILAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 32 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST in a win over CHILAST NIGHT · MLBB. Sullivan (COL): 3 H · 2 HR · 2 RBI against CHCTRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Placed RHP Coleman Crow on the 15-day IL retroactive to June 10 (Jun 12)TRANSACTION · MLBMarlins: Agreed to terms with RHP Zach Pop to a minor league contract (Jun 12)TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Transferred RHP Chase Dollander to the 60-day IL (Jun 12)

The Nightly · Tonight's standouts

The cream of the slate.

The best individual lines unfolding across tonight's slate — one normalized score, every sport.

Full standouts →
Jacob Misiorowski
MLBvs PHI · live

Jacob Misiorowski

7.0 IP · 13 K

96Standout
Liam Hicks
MLBvs PIT

Liam Hicks

3 H · 1 HR · 2 RBI

57Standout
Tanner Bibee
MLBvs DET

Tanner Bibee

7.0 IP · 8 K · 2 ER

47Standout
Sonny Gray
MLBvs TEX

Sonny Gray

6.0 IP · 7 K · 1 ER

47Standout

Live · model intelligence

13 games in progress.

Live win probability, leverage, and pp shift from pre-game. Sorted by leverage so peak-moments float to the top — these are the games where the next play matters most. Refreshes every 15 seconds.

1

high · peak leverage

  • MLBBot 2
    ATL2
    NYM2

    Win prob

    53%

    home · +12.5pp

    Leverage

    high

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Spencer Strider pitches to Bo Bichette

  • MLBTop 2
    SEA0
    WSH0

    Win prob

    37%

    home · -11.2pp

    Leverage

    medium

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Zack Littell pitches to Dominic Canzone

  • MLBTop 8
    DET2
    CLE3

    Win prob

    91%

    home · +32.2pp

    Leverage

    medium

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

  • MLBTop 6
    ARI1
    CIN2

    Win prob

    84%

    home · +31.6pp

    Leverage

    medium

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul

  • MLBBot 5
    LAD2
    CHW4

    Win prob

    96%

    home · +50.5pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

  • MLBTop 4
    STL3
    MIN1

    Win prob

    5%

    home · -39.7pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Joe Ryan pitches to Masyn Winn

  • MLBBot 7
    SD3
    BAL7

    Win prob

    99%

    home · +50.3pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

  • MLBTop 6
    NYY3
    TOR7

    Win prob

    99%

    home · +64.8pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging

  • MLBTop 3
    HOU9
    KC5

    Win prob

    1%

    home · -49.3pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul

  • MLBBot 9
    MIA8
    PIT3

    Win prob

    1%

    home · -45.6pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

  • MLBMid 7
    TEX1
    BOS6

    Win prob

    99%

    home · +51.9pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Middle of the 7th inning

  • MLBBot 7
    PHI0
    MIL6

    Win prob

    99%

    home · +40.0pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Chase Shugart pitches to William Contreras

  • WNBA5:59 - 4th
    TOR61
    WSH74

    Win prob

    95%

    home · +44.3pp

    Leverage

    low

    next-play swing

    Game

    open →

    full detail

    Shakira Austin defensive rebound