NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1VGK

UTA

43-33-6

VGK

39-26-17

NHLWed, Apr 29FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-1VegasVGK -162

Recap · NHL

egas Golden Knights held off Utah Mammoth, 5–4 in overtime.

UTA +1.5 cashed (VGK won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

Dylan Guenther

RW · #11

1Points

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

Pavel Dorofeyev

RW · #16

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/2OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	17:36
L. CooleyC · #92	0	0	0	6	3	0	4	27:37
L. CrouseLW · #67	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	28:24
D. GuentherRW · #11	1	0	0	6	1	0	2	27:34
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	12:49
C. KellerRW · #9	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	29:40
A. KerfootC · #15	0	1	1	1	4	1	0	19:11
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:36
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	1	0	4	2	2	2	30:46
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	18:14
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	-1	3	5	0	0	10:22
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	17:06

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	24:37
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	-1	2	2	3	2	19:04
J. MarinoD · #6	1	0	0	2	1	2	0	27:58
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	26:36
M. SergachevD · #98	0	1	0	2	0	5	2	37:35
M. WeegarD · #52	0	1	2	1	3	2	0	27:01

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	38	5	33	.868	85:28

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	0	1	-1	0	10	0	2	24:27
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	3	0	2	5	0	2	0	23:42
N. DowdC · #26	0	0	-1	1	5	1	0	16:56
J. EichelC · #9	0	2	0	5	1	1	2	31:15
T. HertlC · #48	0	1	0	2	4	1	0	16:19
B. HowdenC · #21	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	20:29
K. KolesarRW · #55	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	13:12
M. MarnerRW · #93	0	1	2	2	1	0	2	25:47
C. SissonsC · #10	0	0	-2	1	2	1	0	17:32
R. SmithRW · #19	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	14:55
C. SmithRW · #22	0	0	-1	0	4	0	4	15:47
M. StoneRW · #61	0	1	-1	3	1	0	0	30:48

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnderssonD · #4	0	0	-1	4	0	2	0	34:29
N. HanifinD · #15	0	0	-1	1	1	2	0	34:07
K. KorczakD · #6	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	14:24
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	0	4	2	2	0	19:52
B. McNabbD · #3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0	27:56
S. TheodoreD · #27	1	1	2	4	0	2	0	34:25

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HartG · #79	38	4	34	.895	84:40

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

VGK leads series 3-2

Apr 20

UTA2@

VGK4

Apr 22

UTA3@

VGK2

Apr 25

VGK2@

UTA4

Apr 28

VGK5@

UTA4

Apr 30

UTA4@

VGK5today

May 2

VGK5@

UTA1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+13642%

VGK-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 45 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

UTA

D. Guenther

Top skater

1 G · 6 SOG

K. Vejmelka

Goaltender

33 SV · 5 GA · .868

VGK

P. Dorofeyev

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 5 SOG

C. Hart

Goaltender

34 SV · 4 GA · .895

How it ended

VGK beat UTA 5-4. P. Dorofeyev led the way — 3 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
UTA	1	1	2	0	0	4
VGK	1	2	1	0	1	5

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · VGK won 2

UTA

VGK

Play-by-play · 471 plays

period

event

player

2nd OT·5:28
Game End
UTA 4·VGK 5
2nd OT·5:28
End of 2nd OT
UTA 4·VGK 5
2nd OT·5:28
Brett Howden Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Mitch Marner (4)
·
UTA 4·VGK 5
2nd OT·5:12
Brett Howden faceoff won against Lawson Crouse
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·5:12
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·5:10
Jack Eichel Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·5:08
Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·4:35
Nick Schmaltz Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·4:07
Nic Dowd Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·4:04
Logan Cooley Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·4:02
Clayton Keller Slap Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·3:45
Takeaway by Clayton Keller
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·3:42
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Logan Cooley
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·3:42
Reilly Smith High-sticking against John Marino
· ·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·3:34
Reilly Smith Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
· ·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:53
Nate Schmidt hit Keegan Kolesar
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:51
Alexander Kerfoot hit Colton Sissons
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:30
Jeremy Lauzon hit Brandon Tanev
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:19
Sean Durzi hit Jack Eichel
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:11
Giveaway by Kevin Stenlund
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:02
Jack Eichel faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:02
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·2:00
Colton Sissons Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·0:27
Jack Eichel faceoff won against Logan Cooley
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·0:27
Off-side
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·0:00
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Nic Dowd
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
2nd OT·0:00
UTA 4·VGK 4
1st OT·20:00
End of 1st OT
UTA 4·VGK 4
1st OT·19:29
Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
·
UTA 4·VGK 4
1st OT·19:02
Takeaway by Dylan Guenther
UTA 4·VGK 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

20.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA +136/VGK -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
DIST MI84.899+
Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
DIST MI75.199+
Tomas HertlVGK · C
xGF%6599
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI74.299

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Nick Schmaltz · UTA31:000.8659.6%65.2%31:00 TOI · 0.86 iXG · 59.6% CF · 65.2% xGF
Jack Eichel · VGK31:300.7550.0%61.8%31:30 TOI · 0.75 iXG · 50.0% CF · 61.8% xGF
Pavel Dorofeyev · VGK23:480.6151.4%51.8%23:48 TOI · 0.61 iXG · 51.4% CF · 51.8% xGF
Logan Cooley · UTA28:000.5666.7%73.9%28:00 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 66.7% CF · 73.9% xGF
Mark Stone · VGK31:120.5550.0%55.0%31:12 TOI · 0.55 iXG · 50.0% CF · 55.0% xGF
Clayton Keller · UTA30:120.4464.3%65.3%30:12 TOI · 0.44 iXG · 64.3% CF · 65.3% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Carter Hart · VGK34–4.895-0.2934–4 · .895 SV% · -0.29 GSAx
Karel Vejmelka · UTA33–5.868-1.3033–5 · .868 SV% · -1.30 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.7%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
57.2%
P(VGK win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
57.2%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
57.2%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss