Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in WSH at PHI?

The model favors WSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Box Score — Aug 4, 2026

FINAL+5PHI

WSH

55-60

PHI

61-53

Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

38,731 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

PHI spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 9.0

PHI no-vig %

68.8%

open 65.8% · +3.0

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = PHI favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

-3.51

CLV pp · steam

Open price

+180

Close price

+212

Open no-vig

34.2%

Close no-vig

30.6%

Market faded the model hard · Graded: miss

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in WSH at PHI?: The model favors WSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

WSH

league avg

PHI

.766

OPS

◀

.719

.704

.327

OBP

◀

.318

.305

5.34

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.39

4.75

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.20

1.40

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.31

7.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

PHI wins

WSH 0 · PHI 5 (by 5)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked PHI +9pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
PHI	1	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. CrewsRF	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Chaparro1B	.207	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. House3B	.232	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. AbramsSS	.286	4	0	2	0	0	0	2
H. FordC	.185	3	0	1	0	0	1	1
J. YoungCF	.233	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. LileLF	.246	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Nunez2B	.238	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Vivas3B	.237	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ortiz1B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. TenaDH	.239	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	0	5	0	0	2	9

Player

.222

.207

.232

.286

.185

.233

.246

.238

.237

.333

.239

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PalmquistRP	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	16
Z. LittellSP	6.2	7	4	4	1	2	93
T. WilliamsSP	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	21
Team	8.0	11	5	5	2	4	130

Player

C. PalmquistRP

0.1

Z. LittellSP

6.2

T. WilliamsSP

1.0

Team

8.0

130

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. SchwarberDH	.243	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. TurnerSS	.252	4	2	3	1	0	0	0
B. Harper1B	.254	2	1	0	0	0	2	1
L. Arraez2B	.500	4	1	2	2	0	0	0
A. Bohm3B	.227	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
J.T. RealmutoC	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. MarshLF	.279	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
B. Stott2B	.255	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. CrawfordCF	.264	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
D. HillCF	.275	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	5	11	5	0	2	4

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LuzardoSP	8.0	4	0	0	2	7	98
C. KilianRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	18
Team	9.0	5	0	0	2	9	116

Team

WSH

PHI

—

Closing-line value.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Closing-line value.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers