Every completed MLB game we've published a prediction on. No cherry-picking, no hindsight edits — the prediction was logged before the game finished and the result is whatever happened. Refreshed every 10 minutes.
Accuracy windows
Last 7 days
55.0%
55 / 100 games
Last 30 days
53.9%
215 / 399 games
This season
55.4%
271 / 489 games
All-time
55.1%
1650 / 2996 games
By model confidence · all-time
Locks
≥85% model conviction
68%139/204
Edges
65–85% conviction
57%420/741
Leans
55–65% conviction
54%483/899
Tossups
50–55% conviction
53%608/1152
Higher-conviction tiers should hit at higher rates. If they don't, the model is poorly calibrated — the table tells the truth either way.
Bet-history simulator
Bankroll simulator · $100 per pick
Ending bankroll
$2274
Net profit
+$1274
ROI
3.2%
Picks
396
Simulates $100 per pick at standard −110 juice (+$91 win, −$100 loss) on every completed MLB model pick in the window. Real betting layers in book vig variance, line shopping, and bet-sizing — this is the "follow every pick flat" baseline.
Last 30 days · daily hit rate
399 games · 215 correct · 53.9%
50% baseline ←→ 100%
Where to play
21+ · Bet responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER
Predictions logged at game start · results compared to actual outcomes · no editing after the fact. Bet responsibly · 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER