NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2VGK

UTA

43-33-6

VGK

39-26-17

NHLSun, Apr 19FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-1VegasVGK -162

Recap · NHL

egas Golden Knights held off Utah Mammoth, 4–2.

VGK -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

Logan Cooley

C · #92

1Points

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

Mark Stone

RW · #61

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	11:34
L. CooleyC · #92	1	0	1	5	4	0	0	19:59
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	1	-2	2	9	1	0	17:39
D. GuentherRW · #11	0	0	-1	4	0	0	0	18:58
C. KellerRW · #9	0	0	-3	2	1	1	0	19:49
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	15:24
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	9:06
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:47
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	-3	3	0	0	0	18:56
K. StenlundC · #82	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	12:24
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	8:03
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	13:34

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	16:13
S. DurziD · #50	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	15:04
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	1	2	0	4	0	18:56
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	1	1	2	1	3	0	20:50
M. SergachevD · #98	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	24:28
M. WeegarD · #52	0	0	-1	2	0	4	0	20:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	30	3	27	.900	58:38

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	15:31
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	12:39
N. DowdC · #26	1	0	2	1	3	0	0	10:33
J. EichelC · #9	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	21:31
T. HertlC · #48	0	1	-2	4	3	0	0	13:21
B. HowdenC · #21	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	12:22
K. KolesarRW · #55	0	0	-1	1	9	4	2	14:14
M. MarnerRW · #93	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	18:49
C. SissonsC · #10	1	1	3	1	3	2	0	13:29
R. SmithRW · #19	0	0	-2	5	1	1	0	11:25
C. SmithRW · #22	0	1	2	2	4	0	0	13:28
M. StoneRW · #61	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	20:07

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnderssonD · #4	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	22:53
N. HanifinD · #15	0	2	1	1	1	0	0	22:39
K. KorczakD · #6	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	10:05
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	-1	0	3	1	2	16:25
B. McNabbD · #3	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	21:44
S. TheodoreD · #27	0	0	1	1	0	5	0	22:55

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HartG · #79	33	2	31	.939	59:50

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

VGK leads series 1-0

Apr 20

UTA2@

VGK4today

Apr 22

UTA3@

VGK2

Apr 25

VGK2@

UTA4

Apr 28

VGK5@

UTA4

Apr 30

UTA4@

VGK5

May 2

VGK5@

UTA1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+13642%

VGK-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 32 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

UTA

L. Cooley

Top skater

1 G · 5 SOG

K. Vejmelka

Goaltender

27 SV · 3 GA · .900

VGK

M. Stone

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

C. Hart

Goaltender

31 SV · 2 GA · .939

How it ended

VGK beat UTA 4-2. M. Stone led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	1	1	0	2
VGK	0	1	3	4

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · VGK won 1

UTA

VGK

Play-by-play · 383 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:58
Logan Cooley Snap Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:52
Mikhail Sergachev Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:44
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Nick Schmaltz
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:29
Clayton Keller Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:20
Clayton Keller Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:14
Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:07
Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:03
Giveaway by Jeremy Lauzon
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:01
Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:00
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Colton Sissons
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·19:00
Icing
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:54
Lawson Crouse hit Rasmus Andersson
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:37
Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:25
Cole Smith Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
· ·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:21
Keegan Kolesar faceoff won against Logan Cooley
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:21
Ivan Barbashev Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Noah Hanifin (2)
·
UTA 2·VGK 4
3rd·18:12
Giveaway by Noah Hanifin
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·17:34
Brayden McNabb hit JJ Peterka
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·17:27
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Alexander Kerfoot
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·17:27
Goalie Stopped
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·17:26
John Marino Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·17:02
Lawson Crouse hit Jack Eichel
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·16:54
Takeaway by Lawson Crouse
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·16:49
MacKenzie Weegar Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·15:49
Giveaway by Dylan Guenther
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·15:20
Mikhail Sergachev Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·15:17
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Mitch Marner
·
UTA 2·VGK 3
3rd·15:17
Icing
UTA 2·VGK 3

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA +136/VGK -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
DIST MI84.899+
Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
DIST MI75.199+
Tomas HertlVGK · C
xGF%6599
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI74.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.9%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
54.1%
P(VGK win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.1%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.1%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss