NHL·Model picks
NHL pre-game win probability for every game on tonight's slate, computed from a rolling Elo rating that updates after every final. The MLB version of this model back-tested at 55% on 2,932 games. The methodology page has the receipts.
Tonight · 0 games
Locks ★ first · then edges · then leans · tossups last
No NHL games on the board today. The model is resting too — check back tomorrow.
← Back to NHL hubPower ratings · Elo
Top 5
Hurricanes
71-37
Avalanche
76-37
Sabres
57-38
Golden Knights
61-52
Canadiens
59-45
Bottom 5
Canucks
25-57
Blackhawks
29-53
Maple Leafs
32-50
Kraken
34-48
Kings
35-51
How the model works
Same Elo skeleton for every league: K-factor tuned to the schedule density, league-specific home advantage, off-season regression to the mean. NHL ratings update after every final score and feed straight into the win-probability column you see above.
Full methodology →