
WPG
35-33-12

VGK
38-26-17
Recap · NHL
egas Golden Knights held off Winnipeg Jets, 6–2.
VGK -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WPG · top performer

Mark Scheifele
C · #55
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
VGK · top performer

Jack Eichel
C · #9
1
G
3
A
—
SOG
NHL · Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:27 | |
| 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:25 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16:00 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:22 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | |
| 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | |
| 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:36 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:11 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 6 | 32 | .842 | 60:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:27 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12:17 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:40 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:06 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:10 | |
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:28 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:34 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:53 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:49 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 59:51 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
18
PIM
14
Season series
VGK wins series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
VGK -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 32 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
M. Scheifele
CTop skater
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
C. Hellebuyck
GGoaltender
32 SV · 6 GA · .842
J. Eichel
CTop skater4-point night
1 G · 3 A · 4 SOG
C. Hart
GGoaltender
21 SV · 2 GA · .913
How it ended
VGK beat WPG 6-2. J. Eichel led the way — 1 G · 3 A · 4 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| VGK | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Period scoring
WPG won 0 · VGK won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 289 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·18:54
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Adam Lowry
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·18:23
Cole Koepke Snap Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·18:21
Josh Morrissey Slap Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·18:01
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Mitch Marner
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·18:01
Off-side
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·17:44
Takeaway by Nino Niederreiter
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·17:38
Isak Rosen shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·16:37
Mark Scheifele Batted saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·16:17
Takeaway by Shea Theodore
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·16:00
Giveaway by Shea Theodore
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:58
Reilly Smith Batted Wide Right
· ·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:57
Reilly Smith Tip-In saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:43
Takeaway by Jeremy Lauzon
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:23
Giveaway by Keegan Kolesar
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:22
Giveaway by Brad Lambert
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:03
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Nic Dowd
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:03
Goalie Stopped
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:02
Nic Dowd Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·15:00
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Cole Smith
· ·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:58
Nic Dowd shot blocked by Colin Miller
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:49
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:49
Goalie Stopped
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:48
Jacob Bryson Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:18
Mitch Marner faceoff won against Brayden Yager
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:18
Goalie Stopped
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:16
Brad Lambert Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·14:14
Nino Niederreiter Backhand saved by Carter Hart
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
- 3rd·13:45
Cole Perfetti hit Brayden McNabb
·
WPG 2·VGK 6
Team stats
WPG
Away
Stat
VGK
Home
23
Shots
38
20.0
PCT
28.6
18
PIM
14
31
Faceoffs W
24
12
Blocks
10
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6
Betting line
VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +154/VGK -185
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Jack EichelVGK · CDIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · DDIST MI84.899+
Kyle ConnorWPG · LWDIST MI293.099+
Mitch MarnerVGK · RWDIST MI75.199+
Tomas HertlVGK · CxGF%6599
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
55.2%
ensemble · VGK favored
Elo Static
58.9%
P(VGK win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
58.9%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
58.9%
P(VGK win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+154
Close price
+154
Open no-vig
37.8%
Close no-vig
37.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss