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FINAL+4VGK
WPG

WPG

35-33-12

26
VGK

VGK

38-26-17

NHLMon, Apr 13FinalSeriesVGK wins series 2-1VegasVGK -185

Recap · NHL

egas Golden Knights held off Winnipeg Jets, 6–2.

VGK -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

18

PIM

14

Season series

VGK wins series 2-1

Jan 7VGKVGK4@WPGWPG3
Mar 25VGKVGK1@WPGWPG4
Apr 14WPGWPG2@VGKVGK6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPGWPG+15439%
VGKVGK-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 32 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

WPGWPG
M. Scheifele

M. Scheifele

C

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG

C. Hellebuyck

C. Hellebuyck

G

Goaltender

32 SV · 6 GA · .842

VGKVGK
J. Eichel

J. Eichel

C

Top skater4-point night

1 G · 3 A · 4 SOG

C. Hart

C. Hart

G

Goaltender

21 SV · 2 GA · .913

How it ended

VGK beat WPG 6-2. J. Eichel led the way — 1 G · 3 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
WPG0022
VGK0246

Period scoring

WPG won 0 · VGK won 2

0
0

1

0
2

2

2
4

3

WPG
VGK

Play-by-play · 289 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  3. 3rd·18:54

    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Adam Lowry

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  4. 3rd·18:23

    Cole Koepke Snap Shot saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  5. 3rd·18:21

    Josh Morrissey Slap Shot saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  6. 3rd·18:01

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Mitch Marner

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  7. 3rd·18:01

    Off-side

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  8. 3rd·17:44

    Takeaway by Nino Niederreiter

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  9. 3rd·17:38

    Isak Rosen shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  10. 3rd·16:37

    Mark Scheifele Batted saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  11. 3rd·16:17

    Takeaway by Shea Theodore

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  12. 3rd·16:00

    Giveaway by Shea Theodore

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  13. 3rd·15:58

    Reilly Smith Batted Wide Right

    · ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  14. 3rd·15:57

    Reilly Smith Tip-In saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  15. 3rd·15:43

    Takeaway by Jeremy Lauzon

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  16. 3rd·15:23

    Giveaway by Keegan Kolesar

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  17. 3rd·15:22

    Giveaway by Brad Lambert

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  18. 3rd·15:03

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Nic Dowd

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  19. 3rd·15:03

    Goalie Stopped

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  20. 3rd·15:02

    Nic Dowd Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  21. 3rd·15:00

    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Cole Smith

    · ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  22. 3rd·14:58

    Nic Dowd shot blocked by Colin Miller

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  23. 3rd·14:49

    Nic Dowd faceoff won against Jonathan Toews

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  24. 3rd·14:49

    Goalie Stopped

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  25. 3rd·14:48

    Jacob Bryson Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  26. 3rd·14:18

    Mitch Marner faceoff won against Brayden Yager

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  27. 3rd·14:18

    Goalie Stopped

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  28. 3rd·14:16

    Brad Lambert Wrist Shot saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  29. 3rd·14:14

    Nino Niederreiter Backhand saved by Carter Hart

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

  30. 3rd·13:45

    Cole Perfetti hit Brayden McNabb

    ·

    WPG 2·VGK 6

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

23

Shots

38

20.0

PCT

28.6

18

PIM

14

31

Faceoffs W

24

12

Blocks

10

9

Giveaways

14

3

Takeaways

6

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +154/VGK -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Jack EichelVGK · C
    DIST MI82.899+
  • Shea TheodoreVGK · D
    DIST MI84.899+
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
    DIST MI75.199+
  • Tomas HertlVGK · C
    xGF%6599

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.2%

ensemble · VGK favored

  • Elo Static

    58.9%

    P(VGK win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    58.9%

    P(VGK win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    58.9%

    P(VGK win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+154

Close price

+154

Open no-vig

37.8%

Close no-vig

37.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API