TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with OF Luis Consoro on a minor league contract (Jul 1)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Placed RHP Connor Seabold on the 15-day IL (Jul 1)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Agreed to terms with SS Ryan McCarty on a minor league contract (Jul 1)
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Same-Game Parlay
Calculator

Enter your legs and the book's SGP price. We show the independent fair price and the correlation tax — how much the book shaves for pricing the legs together. Pure math, no signup.

Questions, answered

Why does my same-game parlay pay less than the legs multiplied?+

Because the legs are correlated — when your quarterback throws for 300 yards, his receiver probably also went over — and the book prices that in. This calculator shows the gap between the independent fair price and what you're being offered: the correlation-plus-margin tax.

Is the independent price the true fair price of an SGP?+

No — and the calculator says so on the page. Multiplying the legs assumes they're uncorrelated, which same-game legs never are. The gap it shows is an estimate of what the book charges for correlation and margin together, not a measure of value.

Should I bet same-game parlays?+

SGPs are among the highest-hold products a sportsbook sells; the calculator exists so you can see the tax before you pay it. That's information, not encouragement — bet responsibly, 21+.

Leg 1
Leg 2
Leg 3
Independent fair
+596
6.96 · pays $695.79
Book's SGP
+450
5.50 · pays $550.00
vs independent
-21.0%
−$145.79 payout

“Independent fair” multiplies the legs as if they were uncorrelated. Same-game legs usually aren't, so this is not the true fair price — the gap is how the book is pricing correlation + its margin. Here the SGP pays less than independent (the usual correlation tax + vig). An estimate, not an edge. Bet responsibly · 21+

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How it works

  • The independent fair price multiplies every leg's decimal odds — the price you'd get if the legs were uncorrelated and priced separately.
  • Same-game legs are usually correlated, so the independent price is not the true fair price. The gap to the book's SGP price is how it's pricing that correlation plus its margin.
  • A negative number means the SGP pays less than independent (the usual tax); positive means it pays more. This is an estimate of the book's pricing — information, not an edge you can bank.