NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2UTA

VGK

39-26-17

UTA

43-33-6

NHLFri, Apr 24FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-1VegasVGK -112

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Vegas Golden Knights, 4–2.

UTA +1.5 cashed (VGK lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

VGK · top performer

Nic Dowd

C · #26

1Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

Lawson Crouse

LW · #67

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. BarbashevLW · #49	0	1	-1	1	7	0	0	17:17
P. DorofeyevRW · #16	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:00
N. DowdC · #26	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	10:28
J. EichelC · #9	1	0	-1	3	3	2	0	22:23
T. HertlC · #48	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	19:09
B. HowdenC · #21	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	14:20
K. KolesarRW · #55	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	13:22
M. MarnerRW · #93	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	21:39
C. SissonsC · #10	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	15:24
R. SmithRW · #19	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	13:56
C. SmithRW · #22	0	1	1	1	4	0	0	9:21
M. StoneRW · #61	0	1	-2	1	0	1	0	19:35

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. AnderssonD · #4	0	0	-1	4	0	3	2	20:50
N. HanifinD · #15	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	21:29
K. KorczakD · #6	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	14:03
J. LauzonD · #5	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	13:55
B. McNabbD · #3	0	0	-2	1	1	1	2	17:15
S. TheodoreD · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	19:22

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HartG · #79	12	4	8	.667	56:57

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	-1	0	5	0	0	10:07
L. CooleyC · #92	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	19:34
L. CrouseLW · #67	2	0	2	2	4	0	0	19:17
D. GuentherRW · #11	1	0	0	4	5	0	0	17:22
C. KellerRW · #9	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	15:33
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	-2	0	0	0	2	14:33
L. O'BrienC · #38	0	1	1	0	4	1	2	7:41
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	11:58
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	19:26
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	14:40
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	6:09
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	16:19

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	0	1	3	4	0	20:33
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	15:30
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	20:49
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	1	2	1	4	2	18:18
M. SergachevD · #98	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	24:25
M. WeegarD · #52	1	1	1	1	4	0	2	19:46

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	32	2	30	.938	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

UTA leads series 2-1

Apr 20

UTA2@

VGK4

Apr 22

UTA3@

VGK2

Apr 25

VGK2@

UTA4today

Apr 28

VGK5@

UTA4

Apr 30

UTA4@

VGK5

May 2

VGK5@

UTA1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VGK-11253%

UTA-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 39 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

VGK

N. Dowd

Top skater

1 G · 3 SOG

C. Hart

Goaltender

8 SV · 4 GA · .667

UTA

L. Crouse

Top skater

2 G · 2 SOG

K. Vejmelka

Goaltender

30 SV · 2 GA · .938

How it ended

UTA beat VGK 4-2. L. Crouse led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
VGK	0	1	1	2
UTA	2	2	0	4

Period scoring

VGK won 1 · UTA won 2

VGK

UTA

Play-by-play · 368 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·19:55
Dylan Guenther hit Mitch Marner
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·19:37
Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Mitch Marner
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:41
Ian Cole hit Nic Dowd
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:38
Reilly Smith shot blocked by Ian Cole
· ·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:37
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:35
Colton Sissons hit Mikhail Sergachev
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:33
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Brett Howden
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:33
Puck in Penalty Benches
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·18:09
Giveaway by Jack Eichel
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:57
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Tomas Hertl
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:57
Timeout - Visitor
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:57
Icing
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:51
Giveaway by Jack Eichel
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:31
Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Jack Eichel
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:27
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·17:19
Lawson Crouse shot blocked by Jack Eichel
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·16:52
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Jack Eichel
·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·16:52
Nic Dowd Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Reilly Smith (1), Cole Smith (2)
· ·
VGK 2·UTA 4
3rd·16:47
Reilly Smith Backhand Wide Right
· ·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·16:46
Cole Smith shot blocked by John Marino
· ·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·16:02
Brayden McNabb Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·15:49
Brett Howden hit Kailer Yamamoto
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·15:09
Takeaway by Mitch Marner
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·15:06
Tomas Hertl Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·14:51
Nate Schmidt hit Jack Eichel
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·14:17
Mark Stone Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·14:04
Mitch Marner Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
VGK 1·UTA 4
3rd·13:53
Pavel Dorofeyev Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
VGK 1·UTA 4

Team stats

VGK

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·VGK -112/UTA -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI82.899+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
DIST MI84.899+
Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
DIST MI75.199+
Tomas HertlVGK · C
xGF%6599
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI74.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.6%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
60.4%
P(UTA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
60.4%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
60.4%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-108

Close price

-108

Open no-vig

49.6%

Close no-vig

49.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit