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Eastern Conference · 15 seed
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36 · L7 · L10 2-7-1
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#30 of 32
Elo rating 1438.5 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2026-04-08 → 2026-04-15 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 4 vs WSH, 0-4, 2026-04-08. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at NYI, 3-5, 2026-04-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 4 vs FLA, 2-6, 2026-04-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 vs DAL, 5-6, 2026-04-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at OTT, 1-3, 2026-04-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Points
- 1William Nylander65 GP79
- 2John Tavares82 GP71
- 3Matthew Knies79 GP66
- 4Auston Matthews60 GP53
- 5Oliver Ekman-Larsson78 GP39
Goals
- 1John Tavares82 GP31
- 2William Nylander65 GP30
- 3Auston Matthews60 GP27
- 4Matthew Knies79 GP23
- 5Nicholas Robertson78 GP16
Assists
- 1William Nylander65 GP49
- 2Matthew Knies79 GP43
- 3John Tavares82 GP40
- 4Oliver Ekman-Larsson78 GP31
- 5Auston Matthews60 GP26
Power-play goals
- 1John Tavares82 GP12
- 2William Nylander65 GP7
- 3Matthew Knies79 GP6
- 4Auston Matthews60 GP5
- 5Max Domi80 GP2
Save percentage
- 1Dennis Hildeby14 GS.914
- 2Anthony Stolarz25 GS.893
- 3Samuel Ersson29 GS.870
Min 10 starts.
Goals against average
- 1Dennis Hildeby14 GS2.86
- 2Samuel Ersson29 GS3.12
- 3Anthony Stolarz25 GS3.28
Min 10 starts.
2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts
Period identity
When they score
Pattern by period
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
2.8 avg / 4.4 allowed
Scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 2.8 goals
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-01-28 → 2026-04-15
Record
8-22
Win pct
26.7%
Avg margin
-1.3
Longest W
3
Longest L
8
Upset wins
7
Favorite losses
5
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
82 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-04-15
Peak 1510 · Now 1441 · Trough 1441
Forwards · 11
Forwards
Auston Matthews
C · #34
53 PTS27 G
Bo Groulx
C · #29
5 PTS3 G
Calle Jarnkrok
C · #19
8 PTS6 G
Dakota Joshua
C · #81
18 PTS10 G
John Tavares
C · #91
71 PTS31 G
Matias Maccelli
LW · #63
39 PTS14 G
Matthew Knies
LW · #23
66 PTS23 G
Max Domi
C · #11
36 PTS12 G
Nicholas Robertson
LW · #89
32 PTS16 G
Steven Lorentz
C · #18
18 PTS7 G
William Nylander
RW · #88
79 PTS30 G
Defensemen · 8
The blue line
Goalies · 2
