Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
Eastern Conference · 15 seed
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36 · L7 · L10 2-7-1
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#30 of 32
Elo rating 1438.5 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2026-04-08 → 2026-04-15 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 4 vs WSH, 0-4, 2026-04-08. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at NYI, 3-5, 2026-04-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 4 vs FLA, 2-6, 2026-04-11. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 vs DAL, 5-6, 2026-04-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
Lost by 2 at OTT, 1-3, 2026-04-15. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Points
- 1William Nylander65 GP79
- 2John Tavares82 GP71
- 3Matthew Knies79 GP66
- 4Auston Matthews60 GP53
- 5Oliver Ekman-Larsson78 GP39
Goals
- 1John Tavares82 GP31
- 2William Nylander65 GP30
- 3Auston Matthews60 GP27
- 4Matthew Knies79 GP23
- 5Bobby McMann60 GP19
Assists
- 1William Nylander65 GP49
- 2Matthew Knies79 GP43
- 3John Tavares82 GP40
- 4Oliver Ekman-Larsson78 GP31
- 5Auston Matthews60 GP26
Power-play goals
- 1John Tavares82 GP12
- 2William Nylander65 GP7
- 3Matthew Knies79 GP6
- 4Auston Matthews60 GP5
- 5Max Domi80 GP2
Goals against average
- 1Dennis Hildeby14 GS2.86
- 2Anthony Stolarz25 GS3.28
- 3Joseph Woll38 GS3.34
Min 10 starts.
2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts
Period identity
When they score
Pattern by period
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
2.8 avg / 4.4 allowed
Scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 2.8 goals
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-01-28 → 2026-04-15
Record
8-22
Win pct
26.7%
Avg margin
-1.3
Longest W
3
Longest L
8
Upset wins
7
Favorite losses
5
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
82 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-04-15
Peak 1510 · Now 1441 · Trough 1441
Forwards · 18
Forwards
Auston Matthews
C · #34
Bo Groulx
C · #29
Brandon Duhaime
RW
Calle Jarnkrok
C · #19
Colton Sissons
C
Dakota Joshua
C · #81
Henrik Rybinski
RW · #58
Jack Roslovic
C
John Tavares
C · #91
Matthew Knies
LW · #23
Max Domi
C · #11
Nick Paul
LW
Ryan Tverberg
C · #77
Steven Lorentz
C · #18
Teddy Blueger
C
Vinni Lettieri
C · #95
William Nylander
RW · #88
Zack MacEwen
C
Defensemen · 9
The blue line
Goalies · 3
