
Eastern Conference · 9 seed
43-30 · W4 · L10 8-2-0
Model verdict
The verdict · Elo rating
#8 of 32
Elo rating 1519.6 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2026-04-05 → 2026-04-14 · Full ATS profile →
Stat leaders
Points
Goals
Assists
Power-play goals
2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts
Period identity
Pattern by period
12 games · for vs against
3.7 avg / 3.2 allowed
Scoring identity
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 3.3 goals
Form heatmap
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-01-25 → 2026-04-14
Record
18-12
Win pct
60.0%
Avg margin
+0.2
Longest W
4
Longest L
3
Upset wins
9
Favorite losses
2
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
82 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-04-14
Peak 1530 · Now 1515 · Trough 1484
Forwards · 15
Alex Ovechkin
LW · #8
Aliaksei Protas
C · #21
Anthony Beauvillier
LW · #72
Brandon Duhaime
RW · #22
Connor McMichael
C · #24
David Kampf
C · #64
Dylan Strome
C · #17
Ethen Frank
C · #53
Hendrix Lapierre
C · #29
Ilya Protas
LW · #62
Ivan Miroshnichenko
LW · #63
Justin Sourdif
RW · #34
Pierre-Luc Dubois
LW · #80
Ryan Leonard
RW · #9
Tom Wilson
RW · #43
Defensemen · 10
Goalies · 4
Model picks on WSH
Below the 30-pick gate (n=9)