HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
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Washington Capitals

Eastern Conference · 9 seed

Washington Capitals

43-30 · W4 · L10 8-2-0

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#8 of 32

Elo rating 1519.6 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-05 → 2026-04-14 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 7 at NYR, 1-8, 2026-04-05. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 at TOR, 4-0, 2026-04-08. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 at PIT, 6-3, 2026-04-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 vs PIT, 3-0, 2026-04-12. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 at CBJ, 2-1, 2026-04-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Alex Ovechkin82 GP64
  2. 2Tom Wilson72 GP62
  3. 3Jakob Chychrun80 GP60
  4. 4Dylan Strome80 GP58
  5. 5Aliaksei Protas76 GP52

Goals

  1. 1Alex Ovechkin82 GP32
  2. 2Tom Wilson72 GP30
  3. 3Jakob Chychrun80 GP26
  4. 4Aliaksei Protas76 GP25
  5. 5Ryan Leonard75 GP20

Assists

  1. 1Dylan Strome80 GP39
  2. 2Jakob Chychrun80 GP34
  3. 3Alex Ovechkin82 GP32
  4. 4Tom Wilson72 GP32
  5. 5Connor McMichael78 GP32

Power-play goals

  1. 1Jakob Chychrun80 GP8
  2. 2Tom Wilson72 GP7
  3. 3Dylan Strome80 GP6
  4. 4Alex Ovechkin82 GP5
  5. 5Ryan Leonard75 GP4

Save percentage

  1. 1Logan Thompson58 GS.912
  2. 2Charlie Lindgren20 GS.879

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Logan Thompson58 GS2.44
  2. 2Charlie Lindgren20 GS3.52

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.5P1 · 1.00 for / 0.75 against · margin +0.25P1P2 · 1.25 for / 1.33 against · margin -0.08P2P3 · 1.42 for / 1.08 against · margin +0.33PEAKP3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.7 avg / 3.2 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.3 goals

2468AVG 3.30418243645678GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-01-25 → 2026-04-14

Record

18-12

Win pct

60.0%

Avg margin

+0.2

Longest W

4

Longest L

3

Upset wins

9

Favorite losses

2

2026-01-25 · @ EDM · L 5-6 · model gave 42%EDM2026-01-28 · @ SEA · L 1-5 · model gave 44%SEA2026-01-30 · @ DET · W 4-3 · model gave 37%DET2026-01-31 · vs CAR · W 4-3 · model gave 50%CAR2026-02-03 · vs NYI · W 4-1 · model gave 54%NYI2026-02-04 · @ PHI · L 2-4 · model gave 46%PHI2026-02-06 · vs NSH · W 4-2 · model gave 58%NSH2026-02-26 · vs PHI · W 3-1 · model gave 61%PHI2026-02-28 · vs VGK · W 3-2 · model gave 57%VGK2026-03-01 · @ MTL · L 2-6 · model gave 41%MTL2026-03-04 · vs UTAH · L 2-3 · model gave 55%UTAH2026-03-07 · @ BOS · L 1-3 · model gave 40%BOS2026-03-09 · vs CGY · W 7-3 · model gave 61%CGY2026-03-11 · @ PHI · L 1-4 · model gave 46%PHI2026-03-12 · @ BUF · W 2-1 · model gave 33%BUF2026-03-14 · vs BOS · L 2-3 · model gave 55%BOS2026-03-18 · vs OTT · W 4-1 · model gave 54%OTT2026-03-20 · vs NJ · W 2-1 · model gave 58%NJ2026-03-22 · vs COL · L 2-3 · model gave 48%COL2026-03-25 · @ STL · L 0-3 · model gave 47%STL2026-03-27 · @ UTAH · W 7-4 · model gave 40%UTAH2026-03-29 · @ VGK · W 5-4 · model gave 46%VGK2026-03-31 · vs PHI · W 6-4 · model gave 57%PHI2026-04-02 · @ NJ · L 3-7 · model gave 44%NJ2026-04-04 · vs BUF · W 6-2 · model gave 49%BUF2026-04-05 · @ NYR · L 1-8 · model gave 49%NYR2026-04-08 · @ TOR · W 4-0 · model gave 49%TOR2026-04-11 · @ PIT · W 6-3 · model gave 40%PIT2026-04-12 · vs PIT · W 3-0 · model gave 56%PIT2026-04-14 · @ CBJ · W 2-1 · model gave 45%CBJ

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

82 games · 2025-10-08 → 2026-04-14

Peak 1530 · Now 1515 · Trough 1484

Forwards · 15

Forwards

Alex Ovechkin

Alex Ovechkin

LW · #8

64 PTS32 G
Aliaksei Protas

Aliaksei Protas

C · #21

52 PTS25 G
Anthony Beauvillier

Anthony Beauvillier

LW · #72

28 PTS15 G
Brandon Duhaime

Brandon Duhaime

RW · #22

9 PTS4 G
Connor McMichael

Connor McMichael

C · #24

46 PTS14 G
David Kampf

David Kampf

C · #64

6 PTS2 G
Dylan Strome

Dylan Strome

C · #17

58 PTS19 G
Ethen Frank

Ethen Frank

C · #53

24 PTS12 G
Hendrix Lapierre

Hendrix Lapierre

C · #29

16 PTS4 G
Ilya Protas

Ilya Protas

LW · #62

4 PTS1 G
Ivan Miroshnichenko

Ivan Miroshnichenko

LW · #63

3 PTS2 G
Justin Sourdif

Justin Sourdif

RW · #34

35 PTS15 G
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Pierre-Luc Dubois

LW · #80

19 PTS5 G
Ryan Leonard

Ryan Leonard

RW · #9

45 PTS20 G
Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

RW · #43

62 PTS30 G

Defensemen · 10

The blue line

Cole Hutson

D · #44

10 PTS3 G
Corey Schueneman

Corey Schueneman

D · #64

Declan Chisholm

Declan Chisholm

D · #47

7 PTS1 G
Dylan McIlrath

Dylan McIlrath

D · #52

0 PTS0 G
Jakob Chychrun

Jakob Chychrun

D · #6

60 PTS26 G
Martin Fehervary

Martin Fehervary

D · #42

Matt Roy

Matt Roy

D · #3

19 PTS2 G
Rasmus Sandin

Rasmus Sandin

D · #38

29 PTS5 G
Timothy Liljegren

Timothy Liljegren

D · #37

11 PTS1 G
Trevor van Riemsdyk

Trevor van Riemsdyk

D · #57

14 PTS3 G

Goalies · 4

In the crease

Charlie Lindgren

Charlie Lindgren

G · #79

Clay Stevenson

Clay Stevenson

G · #33

Jesper Vikman

G · #32

Logan Thompson

Logan Thompson

G · #48

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
Receipts →

Model picks on WSH

Below the 30-pick gate (n=9)