NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4NJ

WSH

38-29-9

39-34-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNJ -120

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off Washington Capitals, 7–3.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

Pierre-Luc Dubois

LW · #80

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

5Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

WSH38-29-9

NJ39-34-2

WSH38-29-9NJ39-34-2

WSH

38-29-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

39-34-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Nov 16

NJ3@

WSH2

Dec 28

WSH4@

NJ3

Mar 20

NJ1@

WSH2

Apr 2

WSH3@

NJ7today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+10050%

NJ-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat WSH 7-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	0	1	3
NJ	3	1	3	7

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · NJ won 3

WSH

Play-by-play · 312 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·20:00
Cody Glass Misconduct
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·20:00
Hendrix Lapierre Misconduct
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·20:00
Hendrix Lapierre Roughing against Cody Glass
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·20:00
Cody Glass Roughing against Hendrix Lapierre
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·19:28
Connor McMichael Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·19:08
Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·19:07
Justin Sourdif faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·19:07
Goalie Stopped
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·19:05
Rasmus Sandin Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:59
Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Simon Nemec
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:57
Giveaway by Brenden Dillon
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:20
Paul Cotter hit Brandon Duhaime
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:16
Paul Cotter faceoff won against David Kampf
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:16
Goalie Stopped
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:14
Brandon Duhaime Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·18:12
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Paul Cotter
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·17:54
David Kampf faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·17:54
Dawson Mercer Goal (17) Wrist Shot, assists: Jesper Bratt (46), Jack Hughes (44)
· ·
WSH 3·NJ 7
3rd·17:38
Dawson Mercer hit Cole Hutson
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·17:29
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Jonas Siegenthaler
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·17:26
Pierre-Luc Dubois Backhand saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·17:25
Cole Hutson Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·16:26
Giveaway by Pierre-Luc Dubois
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·16:18
Alex Ovechkin Slap Shot Wide Left
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·16:05
Tom Wilson hit Jonas Siegenthaler
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·15:59
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·15:59
Off-side
WSH 3·NJ 6
3rd·15:48
Johnathan Kovacevic hit Rasmus Sandin
·
WSH 3·NJ 6

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·WSH +100/NJ -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · LW
SHOT MPH93.895
Brandon DuhaimeWSH · RW
SKATE MPH23.392
Cole HutsonWSH · D
SKATE MPH22.991

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

NJ vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands