NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WSH

WSH

43-30-9

CBJ

40-30-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Apr 14FinalSeriesWSH wins series 4-0VegasCBJ -155

Recap · NHL

ashington Capitals went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 2–1.

WSH +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

Anthony Beauvillier

LW · #72

1Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Danton Heinen

LW · #43

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

WSH43-30-9

CBJ40-30-12

WSH43-30-9CBJ40-30-12

WSH

43-30-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

40-30-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WSH wins series 4-0

Oct 24

WSH5@

CBJ1

Nov 25

CBJ1@

WSH5

Dec 8

CBJ0@

WSH2

Apr 14

WSH2@

CBJ1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+13043%

CBJ-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WSH beat CBJ 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WSH	0	1	1	2
CBJ	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

WSH won 1 · CBJ won 0

WSH

CBJ

Play-by-play · 260 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:40
Giveaway by Martin Fehérváry
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:36
Aliaksei Protas faceoff won against Sean Monahan
· ·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:36
Puck in Netting
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·19:33
Mason Marchment Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:51
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Connor McMichael
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:51
Puck in Netting
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:49
Cole Sillinger shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:41
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Zach Werenski
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:39
Alex Ovechkin Snap Shot Wide Right
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:31
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·18:03
Giveaway by Clay Stevenson
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:59
Brandon Duhaime hit Ivan Provorov
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:36
Takeaway by Ivan Provorov
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:32
Justin Sourdif faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:32
Goalie Stopped
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:30
Boone Jenner Snap Shot saved by Clay Stevenson
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·17:13
Sean Monahan hit Anthony Beauvillier
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:59
Anthony Beauvillier Backhand saved by Jet Greaves
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:56
Justin Sourdif Wrist Shot Short
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:08
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Hendrix Lapierre
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:08
Off-side
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·16:00
Hendrix Lapierre hit Ivan Provorov
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:53
Hendrix Lapierre faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:53
Jakob Chychrun Goal (26) Snap Shot, assists: Tom Wilson (32), Alex Ovechkin (32)
· ·
WSH 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:28
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
·
WSH 1·CBJ 1
3rd·15:03
Cole Hutson Slap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
WSH 1·CBJ 1
3rd·14:49
Alex Ovechkin Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
WSH 1·CBJ 1
3rd·14:11
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
WSH 1·CBJ 1

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·WSH +130/CBJ -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Alex OvechkinWSH · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

CBJ vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high
Ryan LeonardWSH
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high
Ilya ProtasWSH
1.0± 1.9low
Connor McMichaelWSH
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands