NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WSH

35-32-2

WSH

35-27-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Mar 20FinalSeriesWSH leads series 2-1VegasWSH -125

Recap · NHL

ashington Capitals held off New Jersey Devils, 2–1.

NJ +1.5 cashed (WSH won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

1Points

—

SOG

WSH · top performer

Pierre-Luc Dubois

LW · #80

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NJ35-32-2

WSH35-27-8

NJ35-32-2WSH35-27-8

35-32-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WSH

35-27-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WSH leads series 2-1

Nov 16

NJ3@

WSH2

Dec 28

WSH4@

NJ3

Mar 20

NJ1@

WSH2today

Apr 2

WSH3@

NJ7

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJ+10549%

WSH-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WSH beat NJ 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NJ	0	0	1	1
WSH	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

NJ won 0 · WSH won 1

WSH

Play-by-play · 310 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·19:23
Dougie Hamilton hit Aliaksei Protas
·
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·19:17
Pierre-Luc Dubois faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·19:17
Timeout - Visitor
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·19:17
Jesper Bratt Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Jack Hughes (37)
· ·
NJ 1·WSH 2
3rd·19:11
Takeaway by Jack Hughes
·
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·19:08
Connor Brown shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
·
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·18:32
Connor McMichael Snap Shot Wide Right
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·18:28
Jack Hughes Slap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·18:17
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·18:17
Aliaksei Protas Goal (23) Wrist Shot, assists: Pierre-Luc Dubois (5), Tom Wilson (27)
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 2
3rd·18:06
Rasmus Sandin hit Connor Brown
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:56
Jack Hughes Slap Shot Short
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:55
Connor Brown Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:43
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:13
Luke Hughes Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:07
Luke Hughes Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·17:00
Cole Hutson hit Lenni Hameenaho
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:53
Cody Glass faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:53
Off-side
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:40
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:37
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Pierre-Luc Dubois
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:37
Icing
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:28
Pierre-Luc Dubois faceoff won against Jack Hughes
· ·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:28
Off-side
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:06
Cody Glass faceoff won against Pierre-Luc Dubois
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:06
Goalie Stopped
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:03
Nico Hischier Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
NJ 0·WSH 1
3rd·16:00
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun
NJ 0·WSH 1

Team stats

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·NJ +105/WSH -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Alex OvechkinWSH · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Ethen FrankWSH · C
BURSTS22797
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495
Brandon DuhaimeWSH · RW
SKATE MPH23.392

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-125

Close price

-125

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

53.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

WSH vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands