NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3WSH

WSH

36-28-9

UTA

37-30-6

NHLThu, Mar 26FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -135

Recap · NHL

ashington Capitals went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 7–4.

WSH +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

Alex Ovechkin

LW · #8

3Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

Dylan Guenther

RW · #11

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BeauvillierLW · #72	1	1	1	3	1	2	2	17:24
P. DuboisLW · #80	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	15:56
B. DuhaimeRW · #22	0	0	2	0	3	0	5	10:35
H. LapierreC · #29	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	9:14
R. LeonardRW · #9	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	15:22
C. McMichaelC · #24	0	1	-1	1	1	1	0	16:45
I. MiroshnichenkoLW · #63	2	0	1	3	0	1	0	9:45
A. OvechkinLW · #8	3	0	3	5	1	0	0	18:27
A. ProtasC · #21	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	20:03
J. SourdifRW · #34	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	14:30
D. StromeC · #17	0	2	3	1	0	1	2	18:07
T. WilsonRW · #43	0	0	-1	1	2	2	21	11:41

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChychrunD · #6	0	2	4	0	2	1	0	20:22
M. FehervaryD · #42	0	1	0	1	2	3	0	20:52
C. HutsonD · #44	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	14:56
M. RoyD · #3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	19:37
R. SandinD · #38	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	19:42
T. van RiemsdykD · #57	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	18:48

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. ThompsonG · #48	40	4	36	.900	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. ButLW · #19	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	9:08
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	-2	2	1	0	0	15:23
L. CooleyC · #92	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	20:25
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	-1	2	2	0	17	10:11
D. GuentherRW · #11	2	0	0	8	0	0	0	21:00
C. KellerRW · #9	0	3	-1	4	0	0	2	23:36
A. KerfootC · #15	0	1	-2	2	2	2	0	13:42
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	-1	0	2	0	10	10:05
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	14:03
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	1	-3	4	1	0	0	22:54
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	-1	3	2	1	0	14:59
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	-1	1	4	0	17	6:32

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	-1	3	0	1	0	16:19
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	-1	1	1	0	2	14:37
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	17:53
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	16:46
M. SergachevD · #98	0	3	-1	2	0	4	0	26:55
M. WeegarD · #52	1	0	-1	2	2	2	2	20:27

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	1	0	1	1.000	7:17
V. VanecekG · #41	23	6	17	.739	49:54

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Mar 4

UTA3@

WSH2

Mar 27

WSH7@

UTA4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+11447%

UTA-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 36 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

WSH

A. Ovechkin

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 5 SOG

L. Thompson

Goaltender36-save night

36 SV · 4 GA · .900

UTA

D. Guenther

Top skater

2 G · 8 SOG

V. Vanecek

Goaltender

17 SV · 6 GA · .739

How it ended

WSH beat UTA 7-4. A. Ovechkin led the way — 3 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	2	4	7
UTA	3	0	1	4

Period scoring

WSH won 2 · UTA won 1

WSH

UTA

Play-by-play · 343 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WSH 7·UTA 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WSH 7·UTA 4
3rd·19:54
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Hendrix Lapierre
·
WSH 7·UTA 4
3rd·19:54
Alex Ovechkin Goal (29) Wrist Shot, assists: Dylan Strome (37)
·
WSH 7·UTA 4
3rd·19:44
Clayton Keller Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:37
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:33
Logan Cooley Batted saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:32
Logan Cooley Snap Shot Short
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:20
Nick Schmaltz Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:09
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·19:05
Giveaway by Tom Wilson
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·18:57
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·18:50
MacKenzie Weegar Slap Shot Wide Right
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·18:44
John Marino shot blocked by Tom Wilson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·18:34
Michael Carcone Tip-In Wide Left
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·18:20
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:42
Giveaway by Logan Cooley
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:27
Aliaksei Protas Snap Shot Above Crossbar
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:21
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Dylan Strome
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:11
Logan Cooley Slap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:10
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot Wide Right
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:04
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:04
Puck in Netting
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·17:02
Clayton Keller Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·16:55
JJ Peterka Snap Shot Wide Left
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·16:28
JJ Peterka hit Ryan Leonard
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·16:22
Michael Carcone Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·16:16
Giveaway by Ryan Leonard
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·16:07
Dylan Guenther Tip-In Wide Right
·
WSH 6·UTA 4
3rd·15:46
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin
WSH 6·UTA 4

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·WSH +114/UTA -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Alex OvechkinWSH · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · LW
SHOT MPH93.895
Brandon DuhaimeWSH · RW
SKATE MPH23.392

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.2%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
60.0%
P(UTA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
60.0%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
60.0%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-135

Close price

-135

Open no-vig

55.1%

Close no-vig

55.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss