NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1BOS

BOS

37-23-6

WSH

33-27-8

NHLSat, Mar 14FinalSeriesBOS wins series 3-0VegasWSH -130

BOS · top performer

Charlie McAvoy

D · #73

2Points

—

SOG

WSH · top performer

Rasmus Sandin

D · #38

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	15:40
M. EyssimontC · #81	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	7:25
M. GeekieC · #39	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	19:23
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	-2	2	3	1	0	10:06
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	1	5	1	2	10:28
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	16:03
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:37
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	-2	5	0	0	0	20:16
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	18:36
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	14:02
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	1	1	8	1	1	0	24:23
P. ZachaC · #18	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	19:01

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	18:52
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	20:21
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	20:05
C. McAvoyD · #73	2	0	2	3	0	2	2	27:44
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	19:07
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	-2	0	2	0	2	17:51

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SwaymanG · #1	28	2	26	.929	65:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BeauvillierLW · #72	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	14:11
P. DuboisLW · #80	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	19:48
B. DuhaimeRW · #22	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	10:00
E. FrankC · #53	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:32
H. LapierreC · #29	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	12:10
R. LeonardRW · #9	0	0	-1	1	5	0	0	12:58
C. McMichaelC · #24	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	15:11
A. OvechkinLW · #8	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	15:47
A. ProtasC · #21	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	20:49
J. SourdifRW · #34	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	11:36
D. StromeC · #17	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	20:21
T. WilsonRW · #43	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	23:05

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChychrunD · #6	0	0	-1	0	1	3	0	23:52
M. FehervaryD · #42	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	20:21
T. LiljegrenD · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	15:45
M. RoyD · #3	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	25:26
R. SandinD · #38	1	1	2	4	0	4	0	23:19
T. van RiemsdykD · #57	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	15:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. ThompsonG · #48	34	2	32	.941	65:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BOS wins series 3-0

Oct 8

BOS3@

WSH1

Mar 7

WSH1@

BOS3

Mar 14

BOS3@

WSH2today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WSH -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+11048%

WSH-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 36 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat WSH 3-2. C. McAvoy led the way — 2 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
BOS	0	1	1	0	1	3
WSH	0	1	1	0	0	2

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · WSH won 0

BOS

WSH

Play-by-play · 332 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
End of OT
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Fraser Minten Goal Backhand
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Aliaksei Protas Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Mason Lohrei Snap Shot Hit Right Post
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Ethen Frank Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Morgan Geekie Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Jakob Chychrun Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Pavel Zacha Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Alex Ovechkin Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Charlie McAvoy Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Connor McMichael Backhand saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Casey Mittelstadt Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Anthony Beauvillier Snap Shot Hit Left Post
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Viktor Arvidsson Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Dylan Strome Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
David Pastrnak Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Ryan Leonard Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Michael Eyssimont Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Pierre-Luc Dubois Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·WSH 0
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
BOS 1·WSH 0
OT·5:00
End of OT
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·4:52
Mason Lohrei Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·4:28
Fraser Minten Deflected saved by Logan Thompson
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·3:01
Jakob Chychrun Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·2:31
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Fraser Minten
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·1:30
Timothy Liljegren Slap Shot Hit Right Post
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·1:24
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Viktor Arvidsson
·
BOS 2·WSH 2
OT·1:01
Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Matt Roy
·
BOS 2·WSH 2

Betting line

WSH -1.5·O/U 5.5·BOS +110/WSH -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Washington Capitals and beat them, 3–2.

BOS +1.5 cashed (WSH lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

David Pastrnak · BOS24:360.8959.6%64.0%24:36 TOI · 0.89 iXG · 59.6% CF · 64.0% xGF
Aliaksei Protas · WSH21:060.6347.4%61.1%21:06 TOI · 0.63 iXG · 47.4% CF · 61.1% xGF
Alex Ovechkin · WSH15:420.5560.7%75.1%15:42 TOI · 0.55 iXG · 60.7% CF · 75.1% xGF
Pavel Zacha · BOS19:060.4966.7%74.6%19:06 TOI · 0.49 iXG · 66.7% CF · 74.6% xGF
Mason Lohrei · BOS20:120.4869.2%72.0%20:12 TOI · 0.48 iXG · 69.2% CF · 72.0% xGF
Pierre-Luc Dubois · WSH19:480.4756.7%47.3%19:48 TOI · 0.47 iXG · 56.7% CF · 47.3% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Jeremy Swayman · BOS26–2.929+3.3226–2 · .929 SV% · +3.32 GSAx
Logan Thompson · WSH32–2.941+2.9432–2 · .941 SV% · +2.94 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.5%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
54.5%
P(WSH win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.5%
P(WSH win)
14%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.5%
P(WSH win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Boston BruinsWashington Capitals

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