NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+7NYR

WSH

39-30-9

NYR

33-36-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Apr 5FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasWSH -115

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers held off Washington Capitals, 8–1.

NYR +1.5 cashed (WSH lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

Connor McMichael

C · #24

1Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

WSH39-30-9

NYR33-36-9

WSH39-30-9NYR33-36-9

WSH

39-30-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYR

33-36-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 12

WSH1@

NYR0

Dec 24

NYR7@

WSH3

Dec 31

NYR3@

WSH6

Apr 5

WSH1@

NYR8today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH-11553%

NYR-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat WSH 8-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	0	0	1
NYR	1	5	2	8

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · NYR won 2

WSH

NYR

Play-by-play · 321 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:55
Justin Sourdif hit Will Borgen
·
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:45
Justin Sourdif hit Jonny Brodzinski
·
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:38
Jonny Brodzinski Snap Shot saved by Charlie Lindgren
·
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:28
Jonny Brodzinski faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:28
Will Cuylle Goal (20) Snap Shot, assists: Mika Zibanejad (42), Alexis Lafrenière (31)
· ·
WSH 1·NYR 8
3rd·19:21
Justin Sourdif faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·19:21
Icing
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·19:03
Justin Sourdif faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·19:03
Goalie Stopped
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·19:00
Braden Schneider Snap Shot saved by Charlie Lindgren
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·18:55
Conor Sheary Snap Shot Wide Right
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·18:23
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·18:16
Giveaway by Adam Fox
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·18:13
Aliaksei Protas Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·18:06
Vladislav Gavrikov Wrist Shot saved by Charlie Lindgren
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·17:59
Tom Wilson hit Adam Fox
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·17:30
Tom Wilson Backhand Wide Left
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·17:22
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·17:22
Off-side
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:55
Ryan Leonard Snap Shot Wide Right
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:48
Giveaway by J.T. Miller
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:34
Justin Sourdif hit Braden Schneider
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:30
Justin Sourdif Deflected Wide Left
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:27
Justin Sourdif faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:27
Icing
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:17
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:17
Goalie Stopped
WSH 1·NYR 7
3rd·16:15
Alex Ovechkin Slap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
WSH 1·NYR 7

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·WSH -115/NYR -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Alex OvechkinWSH · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Ethen FrankWSH · C
BURSTS22797
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

NYR vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Ryan LeonardWSH
2.5± 0.9high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
2.2± 1.0high

Goals

Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands