NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3WSH

NYI

30-21-5

WSH

28-22-7

NHLMon, Feb 2FinalSeriesWSH wins series 3-1VegasWSH -130

NYI · top performer

Mathew Barzal

C · #13

1Points

—

SOG

WSH · top performer

Nic Dowd

C · #26

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarzalC · #13	1	0	-1	1	0	0	0	18:22
C. CizikasC · #53	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	13:56
J. DrouinLW · #29	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	14:22
A. DuclairLW · #11	0	0	-2	1	1	1	2	11:34
M. GatcombC · #16	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	11:02
E. HeinemanLW · #51	0	0	0	5	4	2	0	16:09
S. HolmstromRW · #10	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	21:22
B. HorvatC · #14	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	20:00
A. LeeLW · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:35
K. MacLeanC · #32	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	10:50
J. PageauC · #44	0	0	-2	0	3	1	0	15:24
O. PalatLW · #81	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	17:28

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. DeAngeloD · #77	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	20:56
S. MayfieldD · #24	0	0	0	3	0	0	7	13:28
A. PelechD · #3	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	21:14
R. PulockD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	20:05
M. SchaeferD · #48	0	0	-2	1	0	2	2	23:23
C. SoucyD · #4	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	14:33

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. RittichG · #33	24	3	21	.875	57:08

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BeauvillierLW · #72	1	0	2	2	2	2	0	18:28
N. DowdC · #26	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	14:24
B. DuhaimeRW · #22	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	15:22
E. FrankC · #53	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	13:46
H. LapierreC · #29	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	8:42
R. LeonardRW · #9	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	13:50
S. MilanoLW · #15	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	7:21
A. OvechkinLW · #8	0	1	2	2	2	0	0	17:15
A. ProtasC · #21	0	1	1	2	2	1	0	18:06
J. SourdifRW · #34	0	0	-1	3	4	0	0	17:23
D. StromeC · #17	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	19:29
T. WilsonRW · #43	0	1	0	2	4	3	7	16:50

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CarlsonD · #74	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	21:36
J. ChychrunD · #6	0	0	0	2	1	3	0	23:19
M. FehervaryD · #42	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	19:00
M. RoyD · #3	0	1	0	2	3	0	0	19:23
R. SandinD · #38	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	16:25
T. van RiemsdykD · #57	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	15:21

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. StevensonG · #33	30	1	29	.967	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

WSH wins series 3-1

Oct 11

WSH4@

NYI2

Oct 31

NYI3@

WSH1

Nov 30

WSH4@

NYI1

Feb 3

NYI1@

WSH4today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WSH -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI+11048%

WSH-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WSH beat NYI 4-1. N. Dowd led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 1 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	0	0	1
WSH	0	2	2	4

Period scoring

NYI won 1 · WSH won 2

NYI

WSH

Play-by-play · 318 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·19:13
Giveaway by Sonny Milano
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·19:10
Sonny Milano shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:51
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Hendrix Lapierre
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:51
Anthony Duclair Slashing against Justin Sourdif
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:20
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:20
Icing
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:07
Takeaway by Scott Mayfield
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:04
Giveaway by Casey Cizikas
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:01
Casey Cizikas faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·18:01
Puck in Crowd
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·17:59
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·17:52
Marc Gatcomb Snap Shot saved by Clay Stevenson
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·17:35
Sonny Milano faceoff won against Casey Cizikas
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·17:35
John Carlson Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Aliaksei Protas (19)
·
NYI 1·WSH 4
3rd·17:27
Matthew Schaefer Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·17:21
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·17:21
Puck in Netting
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·17:19
Emil Heineman shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·16:51
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·16:48
Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau hit Anthony Beauvillier
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:30
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:30
Goalie Stopped
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:28
Simon Holmstrom Slap Shot saved by Clay Stevenson
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:08
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Nic Dowd
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:08
Goalie Stopped
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·15:06
Matthew Schaefer Snap Shot saved by Clay Stevenson
·
NYI 1·WSH 3
3rd·14:43
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYI 1·WSH 3

Betting line

WSH -1.5·O/U 6.5·NYI +110/WSH -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ashington Capitals held off New York Islanders, 4–1.

WSH -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.0%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
54.0%
P(WSH win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.0%
P(WSH win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.0%
P(WSH win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

New York IslandersWashington Capitals

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