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San Jose Sharks

Western Conference · 9 seed

San Jose Sharks

39-35 · W1 · L10 5-4-1

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#24 of 32

Elo rating 1477.6 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-10 → 2026-04-17 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 5 at ANA, 1-6, 2026-04-10. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 vs VAN, 3-4, 2026-04-12. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 at NSH, 3-2, 2026-04-14. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at CHI, 2-5, 2026-04-16. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 5 at WPG, 6-1, 2026-04-17. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Macklin Celebrini82 GP115
  2. 2Will Smith69 GP59
  3. 3Alexander Wennberg80 GP55
  4. 4William Eklund78 GP53
  5. 5Tyler Toffoli79 GP49

Goals

  1. 1Macklin Celebrini82 GP45
  2. 2Will Smith69 GP24
  3. 3Kiefer Sherwood72 GP23
  4. 4Collin Graf81 GP21
  5. 5Tyler Toffoli79 GP19

Assists

  1. 1Macklin Celebrini82 GP70
  2. 2William Eklund78 GP38
  3. 3Alexander Wennberg80 GP37
  4. 4Will Smith69 GP35
  5. 5Dmitry Orlov82 GP34

Power-play goals

  1. 1Alexander Wennberg80 GP8
  2. 2Will Smith69 GP8
  3. 3Macklin Celebrini82 GP8
  4. 4Kiefer Sherwood72 GP7
  5. 5Tyler Toffoli79 GP6

Save percentage

  1. 1Alex Nedeljkovic34 GS.896
  2. 2Yaroslav Askarov47 GS.884

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Alex Nedeljkovic34 GS2.87
  2. 2Yaroslav Askarov47 GS3.63

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.40.81.11.5P1 · 1.00 for / 1.08 against · margin -0.08P1P2 · 1.08 for / 0.92 against · margin +0.17PEAKP2P3 · 1.17 for / 1.33 against · margin -0.17P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.3 avg / 3.3 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 2.9 goals

2579AVG 2.90516293545678GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-01-31 → 2026-04-17

Record

12-18

Win pct

40.0%

Avg margin

-0.8

Longest W

4

Longest L

6

Upset wins

5

Favorite losses

9

2026-01-31 · @ CGY · L 2-3 · model gave 49%CGY2026-02-03 · @ CHI · L 3-6 · model gave 50%CHI2026-02-05 · @ COL · L 2-4 · model gave 35%COL2026-02-27 · vs CGY · L 1-4 · model gave 61%CGY2026-02-28 · vs EDM · W 5-4 · model gave 56%EDM2026-03-01 · vs WPG · W 2-1 · model gave 62%WPG2026-03-04 · vs MTL · W 7-5 · model gave 53%MTL2026-03-07 · vs STL · L 2-3 · model gave 64%STL2026-03-08 · vs NYI · L 1-2 · model gave 54%NYI2026-03-10 · @ BUF · L 3-6 · model gave 33%BUF2026-03-12 · @ BOS · W 4-2 · model gave 38%BOS2026-03-14 · @ MTL · W 4-2 · model gave 38%MTL2026-03-15 · @ OTT · L 4-7 · model gave 41%OTT2026-03-18 · @ EDM · L 3-5 · model gave 43%EDM2026-03-20 · vs BUF · L 0-5 · model gave 47%BUF2026-03-21 · vs PHI · L 1-4 · model gave 57%PHI2026-03-25 · @ NSH · L 3-6 · model gave 41%NSH2026-03-27 · @ STL · L 1-2 · model gave 44%STL2026-03-28 · @ CBJ · W 3-2 · model gave 36%CBJ2026-03-31 · vs STL · W 5-4 · model gave 57%STL2026-04-02 · vs ANA · W 4-3 · model gave 52%ANA2026-04-03 · vs TOR · W 4-1 · model gave 60%TOR2026-04-05 · vs NSH · L 3-6 · model gave 57%NSH2026-04-07 · vs CHI · W 3-2 · model gave 64%CHI2026-04-09 · vs EDM · L 2-5 · model gave 55%EDM2026-04-10 · @ ANA · L 1-6 · model gave 41%ANA2026-04-12 · vs VAN · L 3-4 · model gave 70%VAN2026-04-14 · @ NSH · W 3-2 · model gave 39%NSH2026-04-16 · @ CHI · L 2-5 · model gave 51%CHI2026-04-17 · @ WPG · W 6-1 · model gave 43%WPG

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

82 games · 2025-10-10 → 2026-04-17

Peak 1511 · Now 1471 · Trough 1471

Forwards · 15

Forwards

Adam Gaudette

Adam Gaudette

RW · #81

25 PTS17 G
Alexander Wennberg

Alexander Wennberg

C · #21

55 PTS18 G
Barclay Goodrow

Barclay Goodrow

C · #23

12 PTS5 G
Collin Graf

Collin Graf

RW · #51

46 PTS21 G
Kiefer Sherwood

Kiefer Sherwood

LW · #44

36 PTS23 G
Macklin Celebrini

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

115 PTS45 G
Michael Misa

Michael Misa

C · #77

21 PTS9 G
Pavol Regenda

Pavol Regenda

LW · #84

10 PTS9 G
Philipp Kurashev

Philipp Kurashev

C · #96

20 PTS7 G
Ryan Reaves

Ryan Reaves

RW · #75

3 PTS3 G
Ty Dellandrea

Ty Dellandrea

C · #10

11 PTS2 G
Tyler Toffoli

Tyler Toffoli

C · #73

49 PTS19 G
Will Smith

Will Smith

C · #2

59 PTS24 G
William Eklund

William Eklund

LW · #72

53 PTS15 G
Zack Ostapchuk

Zack Ostapchuk

C · #63

7 PTS4 G

Defensemen · 8

The blue line

Dmitry Orlov

Dmitry Orlov

D · #9

37 PTS3 G
John Klingberg

John Klingberg

D · #3

27 PTS10 G
Mario Ferraro

Mario Ferraro

D · #38

23 PTS7 G
Nick Leddy

Nick Leddy

D · #4

7 PTS1 G
Nolan Allan

Nolan Allan

D · #7

Sam Dickinson

Sam Dickinson

D · #6

14 PTS1 G
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Shakir Mukhamadullin

D · #85

12 PTS5 G
Vincent Desharnais

Vincent Desharnais

D · #5

7 PTS1 G

Goalies · 3

In the crease

Alex Nedeljkovic

Alex Nedeljkovic

G · #33

Laurent Brossoit

Laurent Brossoit

G · #93

Yaroslav Askarov

Yaroslav Askarov

G · #30

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 64-35
61%Last 30 · 301-189
Receipts →
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBMid 6
DET 1@HOU 1
-7.6pppeak
MLBTop 2
LAA 0@ARI 0
-3.9pphigh
MLBBot 1
PIT 0@ATH 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBBot 2
SF 3@ATL 2
-21.8pphigh
MLBTop 8
CLE 1@MIL 2
+32.0pplow
MLBTop 7
SD 2@STL 3
+34.1ppmedium
MLBMid 1
BAL 1@SEA 0
-23.8ppmedium
MLBBot 8
NYM 3@CIN 5
+46.2pplow
MLBTop 6
COL 5@CHC 2
-65.7pplow
MLBBot 6
MIN 10@TEX 2
-56.0pplow
MLBBot 8
CHW 2@NYY 12
+37.6pplow
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)

Model picks on SJ

Below the 30-pick gate (n=15)