Live · 3
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3NSH
NSH

NSH

36-31-9

63
SJ

SJ

36-32-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Apr 4FinalSeriesNSH leads series 2-0VegasSJ -120

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into San Jose Sharks and beat them, 6–3.

NSH +1.5 cashed (SJ lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

SJ · top performer

SJ
Macklin Celebrini

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
6
3
NSH36-31-9SJ36-32-7
NSH

NSH

36-31-9

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SJ

SJ

36-32-7

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

14

PIM

14

Season series

NSH leads series 2-0

Mar 25SJSJ3@NSHNSH6
Apr 5NSHNSH6@SJSJ3today
Apr 14SJSJ3@NSHNSH2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+10050%
SJSJ-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat SJ 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH3036
SJ0213

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · SJ won 1

3
0

1

0
2

2

3
1

3

NSH
SJ

Play-by-play · 354 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Barclay Goodrow

    ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Kiefer Sherwood Interference against Tyson Jost

    · ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  5. 3rd·19:29

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Michael Misa

    ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  6. 3rd·19:29

    Icing

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  7. 3rd·19:05

    Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  8. 3rd·18:57

    Barclay Goodrow shot blocked by Adam Wilsby

    ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  9. 3rd·18:45

    Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk

    ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  10. 3rd·18:45

    Tyson Jost Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan O'Reilly (44), Adam Wilsby (14)

    · ·

    NSH 6·SJ 3

  11. 3rd·18:19

    Adam Wilsby hit Tyler Toffoli

    ·

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  12. 3rd·18:08

    Nick Perbix Wrist Shot Wide Right

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  13. 3rd·18:07

    Macklin Celebrini Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  14. 3rd·18:02

    Giveaway by Brady Skjei

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  15. 3rd·18:00

    Takeaway by Brady Skjei

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  16. 3rd·17:33

    William Eklund shot blocked by Brady Skjei

    ·

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  17. 3rd·17:26

    Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  18. 3rd·17:26

    Timeout - Home

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  19. 3rd·17:26

    Erik Haula Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: Tyson Jost (7)

    ·

    NSH 5·SJ 3

  20. 3rd·17:03

    Tyson Jost Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  21. 3rd·16:57

    Giveaway by Will Smith

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  22. 3rd·16:39

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  23. 3rd·16:39

    Roman Josi Delaying Game - Puck over glass

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  24. 3rd·16:24

    Dmitry Orlov Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  25. 3rd·16:22

    Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  26. 3rd·16:22

    Icing

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  27. 3rd·16:09

    Adam Wilsby hit William Eklund

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  28. 3rd·15:51

    Takeaway by Zachary L'Heureux

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  29. 3rd·15:33

    Giveaway by Vincent Desharnais

    NSH 4·SJ 3

  30. 3rd·15:28

    Dmitry Orlov hit Luke Evangelista

    ·

    NSH 4·SJ 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

SJ

Home

34

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

0.0

14

PIM

14

36

Faceoffs W

32

17

Blocks

17

14

Giveaways

14

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

SJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +100/SJ -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 12 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Roman JosiNSH · D
    DIST MI245.490
  • Adam WilsbyNSH · D
    BURSTS6889

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR