NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5SJ

39-35-8

WPG

35-35-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 16FinalSeriesSJ wins series 3-0VegasWPG -162

Recap · NHL

an Jose Sharks went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 6–1.

SJ +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

3Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Cole Koepke

LW · #45

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

SJ39-35-8

WPG35-35-12

SJ39-35-8WPG35-35-12

39-35-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WPG

35-35-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SJ wins series 3-0

Nov 8

WPG1@

SJ2

Mar 1

WPG1@

SJ2

Apr 17

SJ6@

WPG1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SJ+13642%

WPG-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SJ beat WPG 6-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SJ	2	3	1	6
WPG	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

SJ won 3 · WPG won 0

WPG

Play-by-play · 286 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·18:47
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·18:43
Giveaway by John Klingberg
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·18:12
Cole Koepke Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·18:04
Zack Ostapchuk faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·18:04
Ville Heinola High-sticking - double minor against William Eklund
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·17:45
Takeaway by Mark Scheifele
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·17:37
Takeaway by Kiefer Sherwood
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·17:20
Mario Ferraro hit Mark Scheifele
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·17:09
Zack Ostapchuk shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·16:20
Haydn Fleury hit Philipp Kurashev
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·16:16
Philipp Kurashev Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·15:40
Brad Lambert Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·15:16
Dylan Samberg Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
Brayden Yager faceoff won against Michael Misa
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
TV Timeout
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
Pavol Regenda Misconduct
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
Ty Dellandrea Roughing against Josh Morrissey
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
Josh Morrissey Roughing against Ty Dellandrea
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:53
Goalie Stopped
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:47
Ty Dellandrea Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:46
Ty Dellandrea Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:45
Ty Dellandrea Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:43
Collin Graf Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·14:33
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·13:19
Luca Cagnoni Wrist Shot saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·13:14
Cole Koepke hit Michael Misa
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·12:54
Kiefer Sherwood Backhand saved by Eric Comrie
·
SJ 6·WPG 1
3rd·12:46
Takeaway by Luca Cagnoni
SJ 6·WPG 1

Team stats

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ +136/WPG -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Colin MillerWPG · D
SHOT MPH102.599
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397
Haydn FleuryWPG · D
SKATE MPH23.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

WPG vs SJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Macklin CelebriniSJ
3.4± 1.1high
Will SmithSJ
2.2± 1.6high

Goals

Macklin CelebriniSJ
0.6± 0.8high
Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Alexander WennbergSJ
0.3± 0.7high

Points

Macklin CelebriniSJ
1.4± 1.4high
Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Kyle ConnorWPG
1.0± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands