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FINAL+3CHI
SJ

SJ

38-35-8

25
CHI

CHI

29-39-14

NHLWed, Apr 15FinalSeriesCHI wins series 2-1VegasSJ -125

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks held off San Jose Sharks, 5–2.

CHI +1.5 cashed (SJ lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

CHI wins series 2-1

Feb 3SJSJ3@CHICHI6
Apr 7CHICHI2@SJSJ3
Apr 16SJSJ2@CHICHI5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SJSJ-12556%
CHICHI+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 45 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

SJSJ
M. Ferraro

M. Ferraro

D

Top skater

1 G · 3 SOG

Y. Askarov

Y. Askarov

G

Goaltender

19 SV · 5 GA · .792

CHICHI
L. Crevier

L. Crevier

D

Top skater

2 G · 2 SOG

S. Knight

S. Knight

G

Goaltender

15 SV · 2 GA · .882

How it ended

CHI beat SJ 5-2. L. Crevier led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SJ1102
CHI0145

Period scoring

SJ won 1 · CHI won 1

1
0

1

1
1

2

0
4

3

SJ
CHI

Play-by-play · 253 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  3. 3rd·19:40

    Zack Ostapchuk hit Louis Crevier

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  4. 3rd·19:29

    Vincent Desharnais hit Alex Vlasic

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  5. 3rd·19:00

    Tyler Toffoli Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  6. 3rd·18:59

    Giveaway by Andre Burakovsky

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  7. 3rd·18:36

    Mario Ferraro hit Kevin Korchinski

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  8. 3rd·18:20

    Takeaway by Ethan Del Mastro

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  9. 3rd·18:00

    Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  10. 3rd·17:57

    Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  11. 3rd·17:48

    Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  12. 3rd·16:44

    Kiefer Sherwood hit Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  13. 3rd·16:39

    Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Sam Lafferty

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  14. 3rd·16:39

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  15. 3rd·16:37

    Ryan Donato Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  16. 3rd·16:30

    Ryan Donato Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  17. 3rd·16:16

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  18. 3rd·15:41

    Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  19. 3rd·15:41

    Icing

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  20. 3rd·15:31

    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  21. 3rd·15:07

    Anton Frondell Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  22. 3rd·14:44

    Anton Frondell faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  23. 3rd·14:44

    Nick Lardis Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Bedard (45), Wyatt Kaiser (11)

    · ·

    SJ 2·CHI 5

  24. 3rd·14:39

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  25. 3rd·14:39

    Icing

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  26. 3rd·14:26

    Nick Lardis hit Mario Ferraro

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  27. 3rd·14:21

    Zack Ostapchuk faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  28. 3rd·14:21

    Icing

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  29. 3rd·14:06

    Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 4

  30. 3rd·13:47

    Igor Chernyshov shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    SJ 2·CHI 4

Team stats

SJ

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

17

Shots

24

25.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

8

22

Faceoffs W

20

10

Blocks

14

15

Giveaways

11

8

Takeaways

3

Betting line

SJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ -125/CHI +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Tyler BertuzziCHI · LW
    iXG30.396
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Anton FrondellCHI · C
    SHOT MPH93.694
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.0%

ensemble · SJ favored

  • Elo Static

    48.9%

    P(CHI win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    48.9%

    P(CHI win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    48.9%

    P(CHI win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API