
SJ
38-35-8

CHI
29-39-14
Recap · NHL
hicago Blackhawks held off San Jose Sharks, 5–2.
CHI +1.5 cashed (SJ lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SJ · top performer

Mario Ferraro
D · #38
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
CHI · top performer

Louis Crevier
D · #46
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:11 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:37 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:45 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:34 | |
| 1 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:44 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17:06 | |
| 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 5 | 19 | .792 | 59:39 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:51 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:51 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:14 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:02 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:09 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:01 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21:30 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:00 | |
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:20 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 2 | 15 | .882 | 60:00 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
8
Season series
CHI wins series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SJ -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 45 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
M. Ferraro
DTop skater
1 G · 3 SOG
Y. Askarov
GGoaltender
19 SV · 5 GA · .792
L. Crevier
DTop skater
2 G · 2 SOG
S. Knight
GGoaltender
15 SV · 2 GA · .882
How it ended
CHI beat SJ 5-2. L. Crevier led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| CHI | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Period scoring
SJ won 1 · CHI won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 253 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·19:40
Zack Ostapchuk hit Louis Crevier
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·19:29
Vincent Desharnais hit Alex Vlasic
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·19:00
Tyler Toffoli Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·18:59
Giveaway by Andre Burakovsky
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·18:36
Mario Ferraro hit Kevin Korchinski
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·18:20
Takeaway by Ethan Del Mastro
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·18:00
Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·17:57
Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·17:48
Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:44
Kiefer Sherwood hit Wyatt Kaiser
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:39
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Sam Lafferty
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:39
Puck Frozen - Goalie
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:37
Ryan Donato Slap Shot Wide Right
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:30
Ryan Donato Tip-In Wide Right
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·16:16
Connor Bedard Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·15:41
Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·15:41
Icing
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·15:31
Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·15:07
Anton Frondell Snap Shot Wide Right
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·14:44
Anton Frondell faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·14:44
Nick Lardis Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Bedard (45), Wyatt Kaiser (11)
· ·
SJ 2·CHI 5
- 3rd·14:39
Connor Bedard faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk
·
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·14:39
Icing
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·14:26
Nick Lardis hit Mario Ferraro
·
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·14:21
Zack Ostapchuk faceoff won against Connor Bedard
·
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·14:21
Icing
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·14:06
Adam Gaudette Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
SJ 2·CHI 4
- 3rd·13:47
Igor Chernyshov shot blocked by Louis Crevier
·
SJ 2·CHI 4
Team stats
SJ
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
17
Shots
24
25.0
PCT
0.0
6
PIM
8
22
Faceoffs W
20
10
Blocks
14
15
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
3
Betting line
SJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ -125/CHI +105
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Louis CrevierCHI · DSHOT MPH102.899
Tyler BertuzziCHI · LWiXG30.396
Connor BedardCHI · CBURSTS19595- Anton FrondellCHI · CSHOT MPH93.694
Alex VlasicCHI · DBURSTS7190
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.0%
ensemble · SJ favored
Elo Static
48.9%
P(CHI win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
48.9%
P(CHI win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
48.9%
P(CHI win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+105
Close price
+105
Open no-vig
46.8%
Close no-vig
46.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit