
EDM
40-29-10

SJ
37-33-7
Recap · NHL
dmonton Oilers went into San Jose Sharks and beat them, 5–2.
EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
EDM · top performer

Connor McDavid
C · #97
3
G
2
A
—
SOG
SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini
C · #71
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:10 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:31 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:48 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:32 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:08 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21:17 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:14 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2 | 8 | .800 | 40:00 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.000 | 20:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21:48 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11:34 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:24 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:01 | |
| 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:24 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:52 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:49 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:00 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:38 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 5 | 21 | .808 | 59:54 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
6
Season series
EDM wins series 3-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 57 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
C. McDavid
CTop skaterHat trick
3 G · 2 A · 8 SOG
C. Ingram
GGoaltender
8 SV · 2 GA · .800
M. Celebrini
CTop skater
1 G · 4 SOG
A. Nedeljkovic
GGoaltender
21 SV · 5 GA · .808
How it ended
EDM beat SJ 5-2. C. McDavid led the way — 3 G · 2 A · 8 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| SJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
EDM won 2 · SJ won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 281 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·19:54
Jake Walman shot blocked by Tyler Toffoli
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·19:31
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·19:08
Nick Leddy Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·18:49
Icing
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·18:38
Giveaway by Barclay Goodrow
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·18:20
Giveaway by Nick Leddy
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·18:03
Adam Gaudette faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·18:03
Puck in Netting
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·17:56
Giveaway by Adam Gaudette
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·17:38
Connor McDavid Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·17:27
Vincent Desharnais Slap Shot Wide Left
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·17:21
Jack Roslovic hit Dmitry Orlov
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·17:16
Giveaway by Tristan Jarry
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·15:48
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Tip-In saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·15:44
Matt Savoie shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·15:35
Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·15:18
Vasily Podkolzin Tip-In saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·14:39
Barclay Goodrow hit Connor Murphy
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·14:19
Kiefer Sherwood Tip-In Wide Right
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·14:04
Giveaway by Jake Walman
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·13:59
William Eklund Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·13:52
Mario Ferraro Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·13:30
Mario Ferraro shot blocked by Connor McDavid
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·13:21
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·13:21
Puck in Benches
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·11:48
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·11:48
Icing
EDM 5·SJ 2
- 3rd·11:39
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
·
EDM 5·SJ 2
Team stats
EDM
Away
Stat
SJ
Home
26
Shots
14
100.0
PCT
33.3
6
PIM
6
22
Faceoffs W
23
12
Blocks
15
13
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
7
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -108/SJ -112
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Connor McDavidEDM · CiXG43.699+
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Darnell NurseEDM · DBURSTS1386
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · CxGF%57.083
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
52.0%
ensemble · SJ favored
Elo Static
55.3%
P(SJ win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
55.3%
P(SJ win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
55.3%
P(SJ win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-112
Close price
-112
Open no-vig
50.4%
Close no-vig
50.4%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss