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FINAL+3EDM
EDM

EDM

40-29-10

52
SJ

SJ

37-33-7

NHLWed, Apr 8FinalSeriesEDM wins series 3-1VegasEDM -108

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers went into San Jose Sharks and beat them, 5–2.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

EDM wins series 3-1

Jan 30SJSJ3@EDMEDM4
Feb 28EDMEDM4@SJSJ5
Mar 18SJSJ3@EDMEDM5
Apr 9EDMEDM5@SJSJ2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDMEDM-10852%
SJSJ-11253%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 57 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

EDMEDM
C. McDavid

C. McDavid

C

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 2 A · 8 SOG

C. Ingram

C. Ingram

G

Goaltender

8 SV · 2 GA · .800

SJSJ
M. Celebrini

M. Celebrini

C

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

A. Nedeljkovic

A. Nedeljkovic

G

Goaltender

21 SV · 5 GA · .808

How it ended

EDM beat SJ 5-2. C. McDavid led the way — 3 G · 2 A · 8 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
EDM2305
SJ1102

Period scoring

EDM won 2 · SJ won 0

2
1

1

3
1

2

0
0

3

EDM
SJ

Play-by-play · 281 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  3. 3rd·19:54

    Jake Walman shot blocked by Tyler Toffoli

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  4. 3rd·19:31

    Giveaway by Jack Roslovic

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  5. 3rd·19:08

    Nick Leddy Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  6. 3rd·18:49

    Icing

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  7. 3rd·18:38

    Giveaway by Barclay Goodrow

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  8. 3rd·18:20

    Giveaway by Nick Leddy

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  9. 3rd·18:03

    Adam Gaudette faceoff won against Josh Samanski

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  10. 3rd·18:03

    Puck in Netting

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  11. 3rd·17:56

    Giveaway by Adam Gaudette

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  12. 3rd·17:38

    Connor McDavid Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  13. 3rd·17:27

    Vincent Desharnais Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  14. 3rd·17:21

    Jack Roslovic hit Dmitry Orlov

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  15. 3rd·17:16

    Giveaway by Tristan Jarry

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  16. 3rd·15:48

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Tip-In saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  17. 3rd·15:44

    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  18. 3rd·15:35

    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  19. 3rd·15:18

    Vasily Podkolzin Tip-In saved by Alex Nedeljkovic

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  20. 3rd·14:39

    Barclay Goodrow hit Connor Murphy

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  21. 3rd·14:19

    Kiefer Sherwood Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  22. 3rd·14:04

    Giveaway by Jake Walman

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  23. 3rd·13:59

    William Eklund Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  24. 3rd·13:52

    Mario Ferraro Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  25. 3rd·13:30

    Mario Ferraro shot blocked by Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  26. 3rd·13:21

    Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  27. 3rd·13:21

    Puck in Benches

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  28. 3rd·11:48

    Connor McDavid faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  29. 3rd·11:48

    Icing

    EDM 5·SJ 2

  30. 3rd·11:39

    Connor McDavid faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    EDM 5·SJ 2

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

SJ

Home

26

Shots

14

100.0

PCT

33.3

6

PIM

6

22

Faceoffs W

23

12

Blocks

15

13

Giveaways

21

2

Takeaways

7

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -108/SJ -112

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    iXG43.699+
  • Jake WalmanEDM · D
    SHOT MPH99.599
  • Evan BouchardEDM · D
    SHOT MPH97.395
  • Darnell NurseEDM · D
    BURSTS1386
  • Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · C
    xGF%57.083

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.0%

ensemble · SJ favored

  • Elo Static

    55.3%

    P(SJ win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    55.3%

    P(SJ win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    55.3%

    P(SJ win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-112

Close price

-112

Open no-vig

50.4%

Close no-vig

50.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API