
EDM
29-24-8

SJ
28-25-4
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
an Jose Sharks held off Edmonton Oilers, 5–4.
SJ +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
EDM · top performer

Connor McDavid
C · #97
0
G
3
A
—
SOG
SJ · top performer

Michael Misa
C · #77
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


EDM
29-24-8
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
SJ
28-25-4
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
6
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
SJ beat EDM 5-4.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| SJ | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
EDM won 1 · SJ won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 324 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:58
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:56
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:56
Goalie Stopped
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:55
Connor McDavid Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:52
Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:52
Goalie Stopped
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:50
Leon Draisaitl Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:47
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Collin Graf
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:46
Giveaway by Mario Ferraro
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:23
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:23
Goalie Stopped
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:21
Evan Bouchard Snap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:13
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Slap Shot Hit Right Post
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·19:09
Leon Draisaitl Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·18:48
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·18:48
Timeout - Visitor
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·18:48
Vincent Desharnais Hooking against Zach Hyman
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·17:36
Barclay Goodrow hit Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·17:18
Dmitry Orlov hit Connor McDavid
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·17:02
Takeaway by Collin Graf
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·16:36
Vasily Podkolzin hit Mario Ferraro
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·16:15
Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·16:02
Vasily Podkolzin hit Vincent Desharnais
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·15:53
Vincent Desharnais Slap Shot Wide Left
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·15:34
Matt Savoie Tip-In saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·15:01
Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Jack Roslovic
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·15:01
Icing
EDM 4·SJ 5
- 3rd·14:27
Vincent Desharnais hit Zach Hyman
·
EDM 4·SJ 5
Team stats
EDM
Away
Stat
SJ
Home
24
Shots
33
33.3
PCT
50.0
4
PIM
6
31
Faceoffs W
29
10
Blocks
15
19
Giveaways
22
3
Takeaways
6
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -162/SJ +136
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Darnell NurseEDM · DBURSTS1389
Spencer StastneyEDM · DBURSTS6788
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · SJ favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+136
Close price
+136
Open no-vig
40.7%
Close no-vig
40.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit