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Florida Panthers

Eastern Conference · 14 seed

Florida Panthers

40-38 · W3 · L10 5-4-1

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#21 of 32

Elo rating 1490.8 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-07 → 2026-04-15 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 1 at MTL, 3-4, 2026-04-07. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 4 at OTT, 1-5, 2026-04-09. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 4 at TOR, 6-2, 2026-04-11. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 1 vs NYR, 3-2, 2026-04-13. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 7 vs DET, 8-1, 2026-04-15. Covered the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Sam Reinhart64 GP61
  2. 2Sam Bennett76 GP58
  3. 3Carter Verhaeghe77 GP55
  4. 4Brad Marchand52 GP54
  5. 5Anton Lundell64 GP44

Goals

  1. 1Sam Reinhart64 GP29
  2. 2Brad Marchand52 GP27
  3. 3Sam Bennett76 GP26
  4. 4Carter Verhaeghe77 GP25
  5. 5Anton Lundell64 GP18

Assists

  1. 1Sam Reinhart64 GP32
  2. 2Sam Bennett76 GP32
  3. 3Carter Verhaeghe77 GP30
  4. 4Brad Marchand52 GP27
  5. 5Gustav Forsling80 GP26

Power-play goals

  1. 1Sam Reinhart64 GP11
  2. 2Brad Marchand52 GP6
  3. 3Carter Verhaeghe77 GP6
  4. 4Seth Jones52 GP5
  5. 5Sam Bennett76 GP5

Save percentage

  1. 1Daniil Tarasov31 GS.895
  2. 2Sergei Bobrovsky51 GS.877

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Daniil Tarasov31 GS3.05
  2. 2Sergei Bobrovsky51 GS3.07

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.51.01.52.0P1 · 1.50 for / 0.75 against · margin +0.75PEAKP1P2 · 0.58 for / 1.75 against · margin -1.17P2P3 · 1.25 for / 1.00 against · margin +0.25P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.3 avg / 3.5 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.0 goals

2579AVG 3.006192435456789GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-01-30 → 2026-04-15

Record

12-18

Win pct

40.0%

Avg margin

-0.5

Longest W

3

Longest L

4

Upset wins

3

Favorite losses

6

2026-01-30 · @ STL · L 4-5 · model gave 53%STL2026-01-31 · vs WPG · L 1-2 · model gave 64%WPG2026-02-03 · vs BUF · L 3-5 · model gave 52%BUF2026-02-05 · vs BOS · W 5-4 · model gave 54%BOS2026-02-06 · @ TB · L 1-6 · model gave 33%TB2026-02-27 · vs TOR · W 5-1 · model gave 58%TOR2026-02-28 · vs BUF · L 2-3 · model gave 53%BUF2026-03-01 · @ NYI · L 4-5 · model gave 39%NYI2026-03-04 · @ NJ · L 1-5 · model gave 45%NJ2026-03-06 · @ CBJ · L 2-4 · model gave 40%CBJ2026-03-07 · @ DET · W 3-1 · model gave 39%DET2026-03-10 · vs DET · W 4-3 · model gave 53%DET2026-03-12 · vs CBJ · W 2-1 · model gave 55%CBJ2026-03-16 · @ SEA · L 2-6 · model gave 46%SEA2026-03-18 · @ VAN · L 2-5 · model gave 56%VAN2026-03-20 · @ EDM · W 4-0 · model gave 41%EDM2026-03-21 · @ CGY · L 1-4 · model gave 49%CGY2026-03-24 · vs SEA · W 5-4 · model gave 60%SEA2026-03-26 · vs MIN · L 2-3 · model gave 52%MIN2026-03-28 · @ NYI · L 2-5 · model gave 38%NYI2026-03-29 · @ NYR · L 1-3 · model gave 47%NYR2026-03-31 · vs OTT · W 6-3 · model gave 52%OTT2026-04-02 · vs BOS · W 2-1 · model gave 51%BOS2026-04-04 · @ PIT · L 4-9 · model gave 40%PIT2026-04-05 · @ PIT · L 2-5 · model gave 39%PIT2026-04-07 · @ MTL · L 3-4 · model gave 34%MTL2026-04-09 · @ OTT · L 1-5 · model gave 37%OTT2026-04-11 · @ TOR · W 6-2 · model gave 47%TOR2026-04-13 · vs NYR · W 3-2 · model gave 60%NYR2026-04-15 · vs DET · W 8-1 · model gave 56%DET

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

82 games · 2025-10-07 → 2026-04-15

Peak 1517 · Now 1486 · Trough 1477

Forwards · 21

Forwards

Aleksander Barkov

Aleksander Barkov

C · #16

Angus Crookshank

Angus Crookshank

LW

Anton Lundell

Anton Lundell

C · #15

Bokondji Imama

Bokondji Imama

LW

Brad Marchand

Brad Marchand

LW · #63

Brady Tkachuk

Brady Tkachuk

LW · #7

Carter Verhaeghe

Carter Verhaeghe

C · #23

Cole Reinhardt

Cole Reinhardt

LW · #29

Cole Schwindt

Cole Schwindt

RW · #79

Eetu Luostarinen

Eetu Luostarinen

C · #27

Garnet Hathaway

Garnet Hathaway

RW

John Beecher

John Beecher

C

Jonah Gadjovich

Jonah Gadjovich

LW · #12

Lars Eller

Lars Eller

C

Luke Kunin

Luke Kunin

C · #71

Matthew Tkachuk

Matthew Tkachuk

LW · #19

Sam Bennett

Sam Bennett

C · #9

Sam Lafferty

Sam Lafferty

C

Sam Reinhart

Sam Reinhart

C · #13

Sandis Vilmanis

Sandis Vilmanis

LW · #95

Tomas Nosek

Tomas Nosek

LW · #92

Defensemen · 13

The blue line

Aaron Ekblad

Aaron Ekblad

D · #5

Alexander Petrovic

Alexander Petrovic

D

Dmitry Kulikov

Dmitry Kulikov

D · #7

Donovan Sebrango

Donovan Sebrango

D · #6

Emil Pieniniemi

Emil Pieniniemi

D · #79

Gustav Forsling

Gustav Forsling

D · #42

Mike Benning

Mike Benning

D · #20

Mikulas Hovorka

Mikulas Hovorka

D · #96

Niko Mikkola

Niko Mikkola

D · #77

Radko Gudas

Radko Gudas

D · #7

Seth Jones

Seth Jones

D · #3

Tobias Bjornfot

Tobias Bjornfot

D

Uvis Balinskis

Uvis Balinskis

D · #26

Goalies · 3

In the crease

Akira Schmid

Akira Schmid

G · #40

Cooper Black

Cooper Black

G · #31

Jacob Markstrom

Jacob Markstrom

G

← All NHL teams

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 61-33
63%Last 30 · 262-157
Receipts →
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Activated RHPs Lake Bachar, Kirby Yates and Luke Weaver (Aug 4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Weathers (NYY): 6.0 IP · 6 K in a win over STL
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with RHP Elieser Hernández on a minor league contract (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · MLBBlue Jays: Activated RHP José Soriano (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed DT Marlon Tuipulotu (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Signed DB Marlen Sewell (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBengals: Waived S Isaiah Nwokobia (Aug 4)
TONIGHT · WNBASEA @ NY, 8/5 - 7:00 PM EDT — NY -8.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over WSH
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Povich (BAL): 6.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Activated RHPs Lake Bachar, Kirby Yates and Luke Weaver (Aug 4)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Torrens (NYM): 3 H · 1 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CLE
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Weathers (NYY): 6.0 IP · 6 K in a win over STL
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with RHP Elieser Hernández on a minor league contract (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · MLBBlue Jays: Activated RHP José Soriano (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLFalcons: Signed DT Marlon Tuipulotu (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Signed DB Marlen Sewell (Aug 4)
TRANSACTION · NFLBengals: Waived S Isaiah Nwokobia (Aug 4)
TONIGHT · WNBASEA @ NY, 8/5 - 7:00 PM EDT — NY -8.5

Model picks on FLA

Below the 30-pick gate (n=11)