NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4SEA

FLA

33-30-3

SEA

31-26-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Mar 15FinalSeriesSEA leads series 1-0VegasFLA -130

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken held off Florida Panthers, 6–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (FLA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FLA · top performer

Jesper Boqvist

C · #70

1Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Kaapo Kakko

RW · #84

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

FLA33-30-3

SEA31-26-9

FLA33-30-3SEA31-26-9

FLA

33-30-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

SEA

31-26-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SEA leads series 1-0

Mar 16

FLA2@

SEA6today

Mar 24

SEA4@

FLA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

FLA-13057%

SEA+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat FLA 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
FLA	1	0	1	2
SEA	3	1	2	6

Period scoring

FLA won 0 · SEA won 3

FLA

SEA

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
FLA 2·SEA 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
FLA 2·SEA 6
3rd·19:58
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Anton Lundell
·
FLA 2·SEA 6
3rd·19:58
Eetu Luostarinen Goal (8) Backhand, assists: Gustav Forsling (21), Mackie Samoskevich (17)
· ·
FLA 2·SEA 6
3rd·19:57
Gustav Forsling Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·19:53
Eetu Luostarinen Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·19:50
Eetu Luostarinen Tip-In saved by Joey Daccord
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·19:02
Luke Kunin Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·18:41
Niko Mikkola Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·17:40
Berkly Catton faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·17:40
Icing
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·17:15
Donovan Sebrango Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·16:21
Eetu Luostarinen Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·16:13
Anton Lundell shot blocked by Ben Meyers
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·16:02
Anton Lundell Tip-In Above Crossbar
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·15:58
Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Ryker Evans
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·15:43
Giveaway by Ryker Evans
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·14:47
Takeaway by Berkly Catton
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·14:37
Luke Kunin faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·14:37
Jamie Oleksiak Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Bobby McMann (15), Jordan Eberle (26)
· ·
FLA 1·SEA 6
3rd·13:40
Freddy Gaudreau hit Carter Verhaeghe
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·13:22
Carter Verhaeghe hit Eeli Tolvanen
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·13:18
Takeaway by Chandler Stephenson
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·12:41
Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·12:26
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Anton Lundell
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·12:26
Goalie Stopped
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·12:24
Vinnie Hinostroza Tip-In saved by Joey Daccord
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·12:12
Niko Mikkola hit Matty Beniers
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·11:44
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues
·
FLA 1·SEA 5
3rd·11:44
Brandon Montour Interference against Anton Lundell
·
FLA 1·SEA 5

Team stats

FLA

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 5.5·FLA -130/SEA +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Bobby McMannSEA · C
SKATE MPH24.399
Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
SHOT MPH100.497
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
SKATE MPH23.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

SEA vs FLA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 132 high confidence

Shots on goal

Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high
Sam BennettFLA
2.7± 2.1high

Goals

Carter VerhaegheFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Cole ReinhardtFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Mackie SamoskevichFLA
0.4± 0.5high

Points

Aleksander BarkovFLA
1.1± 1.1high
Matthew TkachukFLA
1.1± 1.4high
Sam ReinhartFLA
0.9± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands