NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CGY

FLA

34-32-3

CGY

28-34-7

NHLFri, Mar 20FinalSeriesCGY wins series 2-0VegasCGY -118

FLA · top performer

A.J. Greer

LW · #10

1Points

—

SOG

CGY · top performer

Victor Olofsson

LW · #95

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BennettC · #9	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	17:13
J. BoqvistC · #70	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	14:38
N. FooteLW · #25	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	9:42
A.J. GreerLW · #10	1	0	0	1	4	0	17	13:23
V. HinostrozaC · #24	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	12:19
L. KuninC · #71	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:36
E. LuostarinenC · #27	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:55
T. NosekLW · #92	0	1	1	0	2	0	2	14:21
C. ReinhardtLW · #29	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	13:16
E. RodriguesC · #17	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	16:15
M. TkachukLW · #19	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	15:40
C. VerhaegheC · #23	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	15:13

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BenningD · #20	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	18:12
A. EkbladD · #5	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	21:54
S. JonesD · #3	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	24:32
D. KulikovD · #7	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	19:22
N. MikkolaD · #77	0	0	-2	2	3	1	2	17:01
D. SebrangoD · #6	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	16:52

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. TarasovG · #40	36	4	32	.889	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BacklundC · #11	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	17:58
B. ColemanLW · #20	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	17:39
M. CoronatoRW · #27	1	0	-1	3	0	0	2	18:49
J. FarabeeLW · #86	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	14:05
M. FrostC · #16	1	0	-1	4	2	0	0	17:56
M. GridinRW · #92	0	1	-1	4	0	1	0	19:09
A. KlapkaRW · #43	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	10:32
V. OlofssonLW · #95	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	12:57
M. PospisilC · #76	0	0	1	0	5	1	2	9:38
Y. SharangovichC · #17	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	15:26
R. StromeC · #22	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:39
C. ZaryC · #47	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	13:20

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. BahlD · #7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	20:12
H. BrzustewiczD · #48	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	17:31
J. HanleyD · #44	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:35
O. MaattaD · #3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	16:59
Z. ParekhD · #19	0	1	0	4	1	1	0	20:06
Z. WhitecloudD · #28	0	0	1	0	3	3	0	20:36

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. WolfG · #32	25	1	24	.960	59:53

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

FLA

Away

Stat

CGY

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

28.6

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

CGY wins series 2-0

Nov 28

CGY5@

FLA3

Mar 21

FLA1@

CGY4today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CGY -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

FLA-10250%

CGY-11854%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CGY -1.5↗SpreadBet CGY -1.5↗

Line movement · 24 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CGY beat FLA 4-1. V. Olofsson led the way — 1 G · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
FLA	0	0	1	1
CGY	0	2	2	4

Period scoring

FLA won 0 · CGY won 2

FLA

CGY

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·19:52
Cole Reinhardt hit Olli Maatta
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:44
Joel Farabee Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:35
Tomas Nosek hit Zach Whitecloud
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:27
Takeaway by Jesper Boqvist
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:21
Jesper Boqvist hit Kevin Bahl
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:17
Ryan Strome faceoff won against Tomas Nosek
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:17
Goalie Stopped
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:15
Donovan Sebrango Slap Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·18:01
Martin Pospisil hit Nolan Foote
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:54
Victor Olofsson Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:53
Giveaway by Vinnie Hinostroza
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:44
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Vinnie Hinostroza
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:30
Martin Pospisil faceoff won against Luke Kunin
·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:30
Matt Coronato Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Matvei Gridin (7), Blake Coleman (12)
· ·
FLA 1·CGY 4
3rd·17:22
Morgan Frost hit Eetu Luostarinen
·
FLA 1·CGY 3
3rd·16:59
Eetu Luostarinen faceoff won against Matt Coronato
·
FLA 1·CGY 3
3rd·16:59
Morgan Frost Goal (16) Backhand, assists: Yegor Sharangovich (11), Zayne Parekh (3)
· ·
FLA 1·CGY 3
3rd·16:59
Video Review
FLA 1·CGY 3
3rd·16:58
Yegor Sharangovich Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·16:58
Morgan Frost Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·16:56
Zayne Parekh Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·16:39
Luke Kunin faceoff won against Morgan Frost
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·16:39
Tomas Nosek Tripping against Matt Coronato
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·16:05
Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·15:54
Victor Olofsson Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·15:52
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Dmitry Kulikov
·
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·15:36
Takeaway by Ryan Strome
FLA 1·CGY 2
3rd·15:29
Giveaway by Mike Benning
FLA 1·CGY 2

Betting line

CGY -1.5·O/U 5.5·FLA -102/CGY -118

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

algary Flames held off Florida Panthers, 4–1.

CGY -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.2%

ensemble · CGY favored

Elo Static
51.2%
P(CGY win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
51.2%
P(CGY win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
51.2%
P(CGY win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Florida PanthersCalgary Flames

Elsewhere in the NHL