
FLA
34-31-3

EDM
34-27-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
lorida Panthers went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 4–0.
FLA +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
FLA · top performer

Sam Bennett
C · #9
0
G
2
A
—
SOG
EDM · top performer

Jason Dickinson
C · #16
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


FLA
34-31-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
EDM
34-27-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
4
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 11 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
FLA beat EDM 4-0.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
FLA won 3 · EDM won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 265 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·19:45
Eetu Luostarinen faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·19:45
Puck in Netting
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·18:50
Luke Kunin Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·18:24
Darnell Nurse hit A.J. Greer
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·18:20
Darnell Nurse hit Evan Rodrigues
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·18:17
A.J. Greer Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·18:08
Jesper Boqvist Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·17:56
Evan Rodrigues Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·17:51
Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·17:33
Giveaway by Cole Reinhardt
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·17:07
Jack Roslovic hit Tomas Nosek
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·16:51
Tomas Nosek faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·16:51
Puck Frozen - Goalie
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:45
Takeaway by Connor Murphy
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:40
Tomas Nosek hit Connor Murphy
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:37
Max Jones Snap Shot Wide Left
· ·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:23
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues
·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:23
Player Equipment
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:23
Carter Verhaeghe Goal (20) Snap Shot, assists: Matthew Tkachuk (14), Sam Bennett (28)
· ·
FLA 4·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:19
Carter Verhaeghe faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·15:19
Icing
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·14:42
Matt Savoie Tip-In Wide Right
·
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·14:30
Niko Mikkola Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·14:27
Takeaway by Matt Savoie
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·14:00
Giveaway by Luke Kunin
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·13:41
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·12:46
Giveaway by Dmitry Kulikov
FLA 3·EDM 0
- 3rd·12:43
Giveaway by Max Jones
·
FLA 3·EDM 0
Team stats
FLA
Away
Stat
EDM
Home
23
Shots
21
50.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
4
16
Faceoffs W
19
9
Blocks
14
17
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
7
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·FLA +136/EDM -162
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Gustav ForslingFLA · DSHOT MPH100.497
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Sam BennettFLA · CDIST MI239.693
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · EDM favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.