NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2BUF

BUF

32-18-5

FLA

28-24-3

NHLMon, Feb 2FinalSeriesBUF leads series 2-1VegasFLA -115

BUF · top performer

Peyton Krebs

C · #19

3Points

—

SOG

FLA · top performer

Sam Reinhart

C · #13

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BensonLW · #6	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:10
J. DoanRW · #91	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	16:22
T. KozakC · #48	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	11:14
P. KrebsC · #19	1	2	2	1	7	0	0	19:27
B. MalenstynLW · #29	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	8:04
R. McLeodC · #71	0	2	1	1	0	1	2	16:54
N. OstlundC · #86	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	12:15
J. QuinnRW · #22	0	1	-1	4	1	0	2	16:13
I. RosenRW · #63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3:08
T. ThompsonC · #72	1	0	2	4	0	0	0	20:14
A. TuchRW · #89	0	1	3	1	1	2	0	22:27
J. ZuckerLW · #17	1	0	-1	2	1	0	0	16:00

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ByramD · #4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	22:54
R. DahlinD · #26	0	2	1	1	0	2	2	21:54
M. KesselringD · #8	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	11:48
Z. MetsaD · #73	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:30
O. PowerD · #25	0	1	1	0	1	4	0	24:17
M. SamuelssonD · #23	0	0	0	1	1	7	0	27:26

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. LyonG · #34	42	3	39	.929	59:55

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BennettC · #9	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	5:11
J. BoqvistC · #70	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	6:14
A.J. GreerLW · #10	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	15:08
L. KuninC · #71	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	6:58
E. LuostarinenC · #27	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	17:04
S. ReinhartC · #13	0	2	-1	6	1	2	0	24:41
E. RodriguesC · #17	1	0	-1	5	1	0	0	24:09
M. SamoskevichRW · #11	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	10:50
C. SchwindtRW · #79	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	14:24
M. TkachukLW · #19	0	0	-3	2	1	1	0	24:07
C. VerhaegheC · #23	0	1	-2	7	0	0	0	22:53
S. VilmanisLW · #95	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	14:13

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
U. BalinskisD · #26	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	24:57
T. BjornfotD · #22	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	11:01
A. EkbladD · #5	0	0	-2	3	4	1	2	20:15
G. ForslingD · #42	0	0	-2	1	0	2	0	23:16
N. MikkolaD · #77	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	20:19
J. PetryD · #2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	12:00

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BobrovskyG · #72	20	5	15	.750	58:08

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

FLA

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

BUF leads series 2-1

Oct 18

FLA0@

BUF3

Jan 13

FLA4@

BUF3

Feb 3

BUF5@

FLA3today

Feb 28

BUF3@

FLA2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUF-10551%

FLA-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement · 22 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat FLA 5-3. P. Krebs led the way — 1 G · 2 A · 1 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	1	2	5
FLA	2	1	0	3

Period scoring

BUF won 1 · FLA won 0

BUF

FLA

Play-by-play · 341 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:54
Tage Thompson Snap Shot Wide Left
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:53
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:46
Tage Thompson Snap Shot Wide Right
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:21
Evan Rodrigues Snap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:03
Tage Thompson faceoff won against Eetu Luostarinen
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:03
High Stick
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·19:01
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Matthew Tkachuk
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:55
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Alex Tuch
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:49
Eetu Luostarinen faceoff won against Tage Thompson
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:49
Goalie Stopped
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:48
Sam Reinhart Snap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:34
Matthew Tkachuk Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:19
Evan Rodrigues faceoff won against Ryan McLeod
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:19
Icing
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:12
Uvis Balinskis Snap Shot saved by Alex Lyon
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·18:09
Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·17:51
Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues
·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·17:51
Josh Doan Goal (17) Wrist Shot, assists: Peyton Krebs (18), Ryan McLeod (28)
· ·
BUF 5·FLA 3
3rd·17:23
Giveaway by Alex Tuch
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·17:18
Eetu Luostarinen hit Rasmus Dahlin
·
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·17:03
Peyton Krebs hit Gustav Forsling
·
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·16:51
Eetu Luostarinen faceoff won against Noah Ostlund
·
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·16:51
Icing
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·16:26
Takeaway by Jason Zucker
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·16:01
Evan Rodrigues Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·16:00
Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·15:36
Owen Power hit Niko Mikkola
·
BUF 4·FLA 3
3rd·15:31
Evan Rodrigues faceoff won against Ryan McLeod
·
BUF 4·FLA 3

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -105/FLA -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into Florida Panthers and beat them, 5–3.

BUF +1.5 cashed (FLA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.4%

ensemble · FLA favored

Elo Static
52.4%
P(FLA win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.4%
P(FLA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.4%
P(FLA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Buffalo SabresFlorida Panthers

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