NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1STL

FLA

28-22-3

STL

20-25-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 29FinalSeriesSTL wins series 2-0VegasFLA -155

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues held off Florida Panthers, 5–4.

STL +1.5 cashed (FLA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FLA · top performer

Matthew Tkachuk

LW · #19

3Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Jordan Kyrou

RW · #25

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

FLA28-22-3

STL20-25-9

FLA28-22-3STL20-25-9

FLA

28-22-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

STL

20-25-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

STL wins series 2-0

Dec 20

STL6@

FLA2

Jan 30

FLA4@

STL5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

FLA-15561%

STL+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

STL beat FLA 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
FLA	2	2	0	4
STL	3	1	1	5

Period scoring

FLA won 1 · STL won 2

FLA

STL

Play-by-play · 296 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
FLA 4·STL 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
FLA 4·STL 5
3rd·19:51
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Sam Bennett
·
FLA 4·STL 5
3rd·19:51
Timeout - Visitor
FLA 4·STL 5
3rd·19:51
Jimmy Snuggerud Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Pavel Buchnevich (21), Jordan Kyrou (15)
· ·
FLA 4·STL 5
3rd·19:46
Jordan Kyrou shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·19:00
Jimmy Snuggerud Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·18:30
Justin Faulk Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·18:06
Sam Reinhart faceoff won against Pavel Buchnevich
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·18:06
Timeout - Home
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·18:06
Niko Mikkola Interference - Goalkeeper against Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·17:55
Carter Verhaeghe Snap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·17:16
Evan Rodrigues Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·17:08
Colton Parayko Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:56
Gustav Forsling Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:46
Evan Rodrigues faceoff won against Pavel Buchnevich
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:46
Matthew Tkachuk Roughing against Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:46
Joel Hofer Roughing against Matthew Tkachuk served by Jimmy Snuggerud
· ·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:30
Justin Faulk Slap Shot Short
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·16:21
Giveaway by Daniil Tarasov
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:55
A.J. Greer Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:49
Logan Mailloux Slap Shot Wide Right
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:46
Uvis Balinskis hit Jordan Kyrou
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:12
Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Cole Schwindt
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:12
Off-side
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:10
Takeaway by Evan Rodrigues
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:05
Eetu Luostarinen Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·15:04
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Mackie Samoskevich
·
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·14:22
Giveaway by Mackie Samoskevich
FLA 4·STL 4
3rd·14:10
Robby Fabbri Wrist Shot saved by Daniil Tarasov
·
FLA 4·STL 4

Team stats

FLA

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

28.6

PCT

20.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 5.5·FLA -155/STL +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
SHOT MPH100.497
Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
SKATE MPH23.195
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
BURSTS9494
Cam FowlerSTL · D
DIST MI260.294

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

STL vs FLA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

Dylan HollowaySTL
3.1± 1.3high
Sam BennettFLA
2.7± 2.1high
Sam ReinhartFLA
2.7± 1.9high

Goals

Robert ThomasSTL
0.7± 1.2high
Carter VerhaegheFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Cole ReinhardtFLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Robert ThomasSTL
1.4± 1.1high
Dylan HollowaySTL
1.2± 1.1high
Aleksander BarkovFLA
1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands