NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1FLA

BOS

43-25-8

FLA

37-35-3

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriesFLA wins series 3-0VegasBOS -162

Recap · NHL

lorida Panthers held off Boston Bruins, 2–1.

FLA +1.5 cashed (BOS lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

Marat Khusnutdinov

C · #92

1Points

—

SOG

FLA · top performer

Sam Bennett

C · #9

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

BOS43-25-8

FLA37-35-3

BOS43-25-8FLA37-35-3

BOS

43-25-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

FLA

37-35-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

FLA wins series 3-0

Oct 21

FLA4@

BOS3

Feb 5

BOS4@

FLA5

Apr 2

BOS1@

FLA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS-16262%

FLA+13642%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

FLA beat BOS 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BOS	1	0	0	1
FLA	2	0	0	2

Period scoring

BOS won 0 · FLA won 1

BOS

FLA

Play-by-play · 337 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:43
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:40
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Tomas Nosek
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:40
Icing
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:36
A.J. Greer Snap Shot Wide Left
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:29
Tomas Nosek faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:29
Puck Frozen - Goalie
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·19:10
Sam Bennett Snap Shot Wide Right
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:57
Elias Lindholm hit Carter Verhaeghe
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:55
Elias Lindholm Tip-In Wide Left
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:46
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sam Bennett
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:46
Goalie Stopped
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:45
Viktor Arvidsson Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:35
Pavel Zacha Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:33
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Seth Jones
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·18:12
Takeaway by Gustav Forsling
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:57
Eetu Luostarinen faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:57
Timeout - Visitor
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:57
Puck in Netting
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:55
Sam Bennett Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:27
Jesper Boqvist Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:18
David Pastrnak Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·17:10
Morgan Geekie Slap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·16:39
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Tomas Nosek
·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·16:39
TV Timeout
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·16:39
A.J. Greer Tripping against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·15:58
Takeaway by Casey Mittelstadt
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·15:54
Giveaway by Casey Mittelstadt
BOS 1·FLA 2
3rd·15:39
Luke Kunin hit Hampus Lindholm
· ·
BOS 1·FLA 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

FLA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS -162/FLA +136

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 23 skaters with EDGE

Gustav ForslingFLA · D
SHOT MPH100.497
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
SKATE MPH23.696
Sam BennettFLA · C
DIST MI239.693
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.092
Morgan GeekieBOS · C
SHOT MPH88.989

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · FLA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

FLA vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
2.7± 2.8low
Sam BennettFLA
2.7± 2.1high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
Carter VerhaegheFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Cole ReinhardtFLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
Aleksander BarkovFLA
1.1± 1.1high
Matthew TkachukFLA
1.1± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands