NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1FLA

SEA

31-29-10

FLA

35-32-3

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 24FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasFLA -130

Recap · NHL

lorida Panthers held off Seattle Kraken, 5–4.

SEA +1.5 cashed (FLA won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

2Points

—

SOG

FLA · top performer

Noah Gregor

LW · #18

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

SEA31-29-10

FLA35-32-3

SEA31-29-10FLA35-32-3

SEA

31-29-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

FLA

35-32-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Mar 16

FLA2@

SEA6

Mar 24

SEA4@

FLA5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+11048%

FLA-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

FLA beat SEA 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
SEA	0	0	4	0	0	4
FLA	0	1	3	0	1	5

Period scoring

SEA won 1 · FLA won 2

SEA

FLA

Play-by-play · 321 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
End of OT
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Jordan Eberle Snap Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Matthew Tkachuk Backhand saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Bobby McMann Snap Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Vinnie Hinostroza Goal Backhand
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Freddy Gaudreau Backhand saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Sam Bennett Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 0·FLA 1
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
SEA 0·FLA 1
OT·5:00
End of OT
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:55
Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:54
Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Evan Rodrigues
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:43
Takeaway by Chandler Stephenson
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:42
Seth Jones Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:40
Evan Rodrigues Snap Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:28
Evan Rodrigues faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:28
Off-side
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·4:20
Takeaway by Aaron Ekblad
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·3:42
Matthew Tkachuk Backhand saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·3:36
Matthew Tkachuk hit Vince Dunn
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·3:20
Chandler Stephenson Tip-In Wide Left
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·2:45
Sam Bennett faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·2:45
Goalie Stopped
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·2:42
Vinnie Hinostroza Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·1:47
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·1:44
Takeaway by Carter Verhaeghe
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·1:24
Vince Dunn Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·0:36
Sam Bennett Backhand saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 4·FLA 4
OT·0:19
Matthew Tkachuk Slap Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 4·FLA 4

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

FLA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +110/FLA -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

Bobby McMannSEA · C
SKATE MPH24.399
Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
SHOT MPH100.497
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
SKATE MPH23.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · FLA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

FLA vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 132 high confidence

Shots on goal

Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high
Sam BennettFLA
2.7± 2.1high

Goals

Carter VerhaegheFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Cole ReinhardtFLA
0.4± 0.7high
Mackie SamoskevichFLA
0.4± 0.5high

Points

Aleksander BarkovFLA
1.1± 1.1high
Matthew TkachukFLA
1.1± 1.4high
Sam ReinhartFLA
0.9± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands