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Edmonton Oilers

Western Conference · 5 seed

Edmonton Oilers

41-30 · W1 · L10 6-2-2

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · Elo rating

#20 of 32

Elo rating 1491.8 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings

Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Final 5 · 2026

2026-04-23 → 2026-04-30 · Full ATS profile →

LLost by 2 vs ANA, 4-6, 2026-04-23. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at ANA, 4-7, 2026-04-25. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 1 at ANA, 3-4, 2026-04-27. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 
WWon by 3 vs ANA, 4-1, 2026-04-29. Covered the spread (closing line).
 
LLost by 3 at ANA, 2-5, 2026-04-30. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
 

Stat leaders

Who carries them

Points

  1. 1Connor McDavid82 GP138
  2. 2Leon Draisaitl65 GP97
  3. 3Evan Bouchard82 GP95
  4. 4Ryan Nugent-Hopkins72 GP56
  5. 5Zach Hyman58 GP52

Goals

  1. 1Connor McDavid82 GP48
  2. 2Leon Draisaitl65 GP35
  3. 3Zach Hyman58 GP31
  4. 4Jack Roslovic69 GP21
  5. 5Evan Bouchard82 GP21

Assists

  1. 1Connor McDavid82 GP90
  2. 2Evan Bouchard82 GP74
  3. 3Leon Draisaitl65 GP62
  4. 4Ryan Nugent-Hopkins72 GP36
  5. 5Mattias Ekholm82 GP35

Power-play goals

  1. 1Leon Draisaitl65 GP16
  2. 2Connor McDavid82 GP13
  3. 3Ryan Nugent-Hopkins72 GP11
  4. 4Zach Hyman58 GP10
  5. 5Evan Bouchard82 GP7

Save percentage

  1. 1Connor Ingram30 GS.899
  2. 2Tristan Jarry29 GS.882
  3. 3Calvin Pickard13 GS.871

Min 10 starts.

Goals against average

  1. 1Connor Ingram30 GS2.60
  2. 2Tristan Jarry29 GS3.32
  3. 3Calvin Pickard13 GS3.68

Min 10 starts.

2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts

Period identity

When they score

Pattern by period

12 games · for vs against

0.51.01.52.0P1 · 1.58 for / 0.92 against · margin +0.67PEAKP1P2 · 1.00 for / 1.50 against · margin -0.50P2P3 · 0.67 for / 0.92 against · margin -0.25P3PERIODS · LAST 12 GAMES
ForAgainst

3.2 avg / 3.3 allowed

Scoring identity

How they score

Scoring distribution

30 games · avg 3.5 goals

2579AVG 3.501425394656789GOALS PER GAME

Form heatmap

The margin trail

Margin trail

Last 30 games · 2026-02-26 → 2026-04-30

Record

15-15

Win pct

50.0%

Avg margin

+0.1

Longest W

5

Longest L

3

Upset wins

6

Favorite losses

3

2026-02-26 · @ ANA · L 5-6 · model gave 41%ANA2026-02-27 · @ LA · W 8-1 · model gave 46%LA2026-02-28 · @ SJ · L 4-5 · model gave 44%SJ2026-03-04 · vs OTT · W 5-4 · model gave 55%OTT2026-03-07 · vs CAR · L 3-6 · model gave 49%CAR2026-03-09 · @ VGK · W 4-2 · model gave 43%VGK2026-03-11 · @ COL · W 4-3 · model gave 32%COL2026-03-13 · @ DAL · L 2-7 · model gave 35%DAL2026-03-14 · @ STL · L 2-3 · model gave 47%STL2026-03-16 · vs NSH · W 3-1 · model gave 59%NSH2026-03-18 · vs SJ · W 5-3 · model gave 57%SJ2026-03-20 · vs FLA · L 0-4 · model gave 59%FLA2026-03-22 · vs TB · L 2-5 · model gave 47%TB2026-03-25 · @ UTAH · W 5-2 · model gave 39%UTAH2026-03-27 · @ VGK · W 4-3 · model gave 45%VGK2026-03-28 · vs ANA · W 4-2 · model gave 53%ANA2026-04-01 · vs SEA · W 3-0 · model gave 61%SEA2026-04-03 · vs CHI · W 3-1 · model gave 67%CHI2026-04-05 · vs VGK · L 1-5 · model gave 62%VGK2026-04-08 · @ UTAH · L 5-6 · model gave 40%UTAH2026-04-09 · @ SJ · W 5-2 · model gave 45%SJ2026-04-11 · @ LA · L 0-1 · model gave 48%LA2026-04-14 · vs COL · L 1-2 · model gave 48%COL2026-04-17 · vs VAN · W 6-1 · model gave 70%VAN2026-04-21 · vs ANA · W 4-3 · model gave 58%ANA2026-04-23 · vs ANA · L 4-6 · model gave 59%ANA2026-04-25 · @ ANA · L 4-7 · model gave 43%ANA2026-04-27 · @ ANA · L 3-4 · model gave 42%ANA2026-04-29 · vs ANA · W 4-1 · model gave 56%ANA2026-04-30 · @ ANA · L 2-5 · model gave 42%ANA

Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.

Model rating arc

The Elo timeline

88 games · 2025-10-09 → 2026-04-30

Peak 1509 · Now 1492 · Trough 1482

Forwards · 21

Forwards

Adam Henrique

Adam Henrique

C · #19

15 PTS3 G
Colton Dach

Colton Dach

C · #34

13 PTS5 G
Connor McDavid

Connor McDavid

C · #97

138 PTS48 G
Curtis Lazar

Curtis Lazar

C · #20

6 PTS4 G
David Tomasek

David Tomasek

RW · #86

Jack Roslovic

Jack Roslovic

C · #28

36 PTS21 G
James Hamblin

James Hamblin

LW · #52

Jason Dickinson

Jason Dickinson

C · #16

17 PTS7 G
Josh Samanski

Josh Samanski

C · #81

4 PTS2 G
Kasperi Kapanen

Kasperi Kapanen

RW · #42

17 PTS8 G
Leon Draisaitl

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

97 PTS35 G
Matt Savoie

Matt Savoie

C · #22

37 PTS18 G
Mattias Janmark

Mattias Janmark

C · #13

8 PTS1 G
Max Jones

Max Jones

LW · #46

5 PTS3 G

Owen Michaels

C · #27

Quinn Hutson

Quinn Hutson

RW · #28

1 PTS1 G
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C · #93

56 PTS20 G
Sam Poulin

Sam Poulin

RW · #22

Trent Frederic

Trent Frederic

C · #10

7 PTS4 G
Vasily Podkolzin

Vasily Podkolzin

RW · #92

37 PTS19 G
Zach Hyman

Zach Hyman

LW · #18

52 PTS31 G

Defensemen · 7

The blue line

Connor Murphy

Connor Murphy

D · #5

17 PTS5 G
Darnell Nurse

Darnell Nurse

D · #25

24 PTS7 G
Evan Bouchard

Evan Bouchard

D · #2

95 PTS21 G
Jake Walman

Jake Walman

D · #96

20 PTS8 G
Mattias Ekholm

Mattias Ekholm

D · #14

41 PTS6 G
Spencer Stastney

Spencer Stastney

D · #24

10 PTS2 G
Ty Emberson

Ty Emberson

D · #49

12 PTS2 G

Goalies · 3

In the crease

Calvin Pickard

Calvin Pickard

G · #30

Connor Ingram

Connor Ingram

G · #39

Tristan Jarry

Tristan Jarry

G · #35

← All NHL teams

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LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Gilbert (SEA): 7.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over BAL
LAST NIGHT · WNBAC. Clark (IND): 21 PTS · 5 REB · 14 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Salt Lake (PCL) (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Luzardo (PHI): 7.0 IP · 9 K · 2 ER in a win over MIA
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Cease (TOR): 5.0 IP · 7 K in a win over BOS
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
LAST NIGHT · MLBF. Valdez (DET): 6.0 IP · 6 K against HOU
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Boston (IND): 18 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLPredators: Acquired C Ross Colton and G Isak Posch from Colorado for G Magnus Chrona, a 2…
TRANSACTION · NHLCanucks: Signed D Cole Clayton to a one-year contract. (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NHLMaple Leafs: Acquired G Samuel Ersson, D Emil Andrae and a 2026 third-round pick from Phi…
TONIGHT · WNBANY @ CHI, 6/17 - 8:00 PM EDT — NY -9.5

Model picks on EDM

Below the 30-pick gate (n=12)

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

65%Last 7 · 60-33
61%Last 30 · 297-187
Receipts →