Live · 4
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3EDM
SEA

SEA

32-30-11

03
EDM

EDM

38-28-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 31FinalSeriesEDM wins series 3-1VegasEDM -185

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Seattle Kraken, 3–0.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

EDM
Zach Hyman

Zach Hyman

LW · #18

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
0
3
SEA32-30-11EDM38-28-9
SEA

SEA

32-30-11

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
EDM

EDM

38-28-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

6

Season series

EDM wins series 3-1

Oct 26EDMEDM2@SEASEA3
Nov 29EDMEDM4@SEASEA0
Dec 5SEASEA4@EDMEDM9
Apr 1SEASEA0@EDMEDM3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+15439%
EDMEDM-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat SEA 3-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA0000
EDM2013

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · EDM won 2

0
2

1

0
0

2

0
1

3

SEA
EDM

Play-by-play · 267 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  3. 3rd·19:44

    Takeaway by Josh Samanski

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  4. 3rd·19:30

    Max Jones shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  5. 3rd·19:07

    Kaapo Kakko hit Connor Murphy

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  6. 3rd·18:54

    Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  7. 3rd·18:54

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  8. 3rd·18:52

    Freddy Gaudreau shot blocked by Jason Dickinson

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  9. 3rd·18:42

    Frederick Gaudreau Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  10. 3rd·18:36

    Giveaway by Jake Walman

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  11. 3rd·18:21

    Takeaway by Ty Emberson

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  12. 3rd·17:34

    Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Josh Samanski

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  13. 3rd·17:34

    Connor McDavid Goal (43) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (35), Zach Hyman (20)

    · ·

    SEA 0·EDM 3

  14. 3rd·17:05

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  15. 3rd·17:05

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  16. 3rd·17:03

    Vince Dunn Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  17. 3rd·17:00

    Mattias Ekholm hit Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  18. 3rd·16:58

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  19. 3rd·15:10

    Takeaway by Evan Bouchard

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  20. 3rd·14:17

    Adam Henrique Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  21. 3rd·14:16

    Giveaway by Jared McCann

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  22. 3rd·13:13

    Darnell Nurse Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  23. 3rd·12:49

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  24. 3rd·12:49

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  25. 3rd·12:48

    Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  26. 3rd·12:34

    Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  27. 3rd·12:26

    Eeli Tolvanen Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  28. 3rd·12:24

    Adam Henrique faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  29. 3rd·12:24

    Zach Hyman Hooking against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

  30. 3rd·11:45

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 0·EDM 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

27

Shots

24

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

6

25

Faceoffs W

24

8

Blocks

16

12

Giveaways

8

5

Takeaways

7

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +154/EDM -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Jake WalmanEDM · D
    SHOT MPH99.599
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5498

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · EDM favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR