NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3EDM

SEA

32-30-11

EDM

38-28-9

NHLTue, Mar 31FinalSeriesEDM wins series 3-1VegasEDM -185

SEA · top performer

Vince Dunn

D · #29

0Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Connor McDavid

C · #97

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BeniersC · #10	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	18:04
B. CattonC · #27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:17
J. EberleRW · #7	0	0	-1	3	0	1	0	18:42
O. Fisker MolgaardC · #78	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	13:05
F. GaudreauC · #89	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	14:23
K. KakkoRW · #84	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	14:43
J. McCannLW · #19	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	15:50
B. McMannC · #74	0	0	-2	4	1	0	0	15:49
B. MeyersC · #59	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	11:23
J. SchwartzC · #17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:00
C. StephensonC · #9	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	17:40
E. TolvanenRW · #20	0	0	-1	3	0	0	2	12:30

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. DunnD · #29	0	0	-3	5	0	2	0	22:01
R. EvansD · #41	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	21:55
A. LarssonD · #6	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	18:32
R. LindgrenD · #55	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	16:20
B. MontourD · #62	0	0	-1	3	2	0	0	20:41
J. OleksiakD · #24	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	14:34

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. GrubauerG · #31	23	2	21	.913	59:31

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	14:40
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	13:38
Z. HymanLW · #18	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	17:39
M. JonesLW · #46	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	9:53
K. KapanenRW · #42	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	15:12
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	9:50
C. McDavidC · #97	1	0	1	3	1	0	2	19:46
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	17:35
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	16:13
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:39
J. SamanskiC · #81	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:48
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	17:25

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	21:18
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	18:27
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	1	0	5	1	0	16:16
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	2	0	1	4	0	22:08
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	2	4	2	3	0	23:12
J. WalmanD · #96	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	17:21

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	27	0	27	1.000	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

EDM wins series 3-1

Oct 26

EDM2@

SEA3

Nov 29

EDM4@

SEA0

Dec 5

SEA4@

EDM9

Apr 1

SEA0@

EDM3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+15439%

EDM-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 55 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat SEA 3-0. C. McDavid led the way — 1 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SEA	0	0	0	0
EDM	2	0	1	3

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · EDM won 2

SEA

EDM

Play-by-play · 267 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·19:44
Takeaway by Josh Samanski
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·19:30
Max Jones shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·19:07
Kaapo Kakko hit Connor Murphy
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:54
Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:54
Puck in Netting
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:52
Freddy Gaudreau shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:42
Frederick Gaudreau Tip-In Wide Right
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:36
Giveaway by Jake Walman
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·18:21
Takeaway by Ty Emberson
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·17:34
Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·17:34
Connor McDavid Goal (43) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (35), Zach Hyman (20)
· ·
SEA 0·EDM 3
3rd·17:05
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·17:05
Goalie Stopped
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·17:03
Vince Dunn Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·17:00
Mattias Ekholm hit Matty Beniers
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·16:58
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·15:10
Takeaway by Evan Bouchard
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·14:17
Adam Henrique Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·14:16
Giveaway by Jared McCann
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·13:13
Darnell Nurse Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:49
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:49
Goalie Stopped
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:48
Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:34
Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:26
Eeli Tolvanen Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:24
Adam Henrique faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·12:24
Zach Hyman Hooking against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 0·EDM 2
3rd·11:45
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 0·EDM 2

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +154/EDM -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Seattle Kraken, 3–0.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.3%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
61.3%
P(EDM win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.3%
P(EDM win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.3%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

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