
CHI
27-35-14

EDM
39-28-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
dmonton Oilers held off Chicago Blackhawks, 3–1.
EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer

Connor Bedard
C · #98
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
EDM · top performer

Jason Dickinson
C · #16
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


CHI
27-35-14
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
EDM
39-28-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
2
Season series
EDM wins series 3-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
EDM beat CHI 3-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| EDM | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
CHI won 0 · EDM won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 315 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:49
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell
·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:49
Off-side
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:43
Sam Rinzel shot blocked by Adam Henrique
·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:34
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell
·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:34
Icing
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:14
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Ryan Greene
·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·19:14
Icing
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·18:59
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Sacha Boisvert
·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·18:59
Vasily Podkolzin Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Jason Dickinson (9), Connor Murphy (11)
· ·
CHI 1·EDM 3
- 3rd·18:52
Connor Murphy shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·18:48
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·18:17
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Teuvo Teravainen
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·18:08
Giveaway by Zach Hyman
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:34
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Ryan Donato
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:34
Goalie Stopped
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:32
Ryan Donato Tip-In saved by Tristan Jarry
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:24
Teuvo Teravainen Snap Shot Wide Left
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:22
Connor Bedard shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:17
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Frank Nazar
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:17
Goalie Stopped
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·17:15
Wyatt Kaiser Snap Shot saved by Tristan Jarry
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·16:07
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·16:07
Puck in Crowd
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·15:36
Teuvo Teravainen shot blocked by Nick Lardis
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·15:29
Connor Bedard shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·14:54
Connor Bedard faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·14:54
Icing
CHI 1·EDM 2
- 3rd·14:46
Anton Frondell shot blocked by Jake Walman
·
CHI 1·EDM 2
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
EDM
Home
18
Shots
39
0.0
PCT
33.3
6
PIM
2
30
Faceoffs W
30
14
Blocks
20
13
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
3
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +190/EDM -230
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Louis CrevierCHI · DSHOT MPH102.899
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Connor BedardCHI · CBURSTS19595
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · EDM favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.