Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2EDM
CHI

CHI

27-35-14

13
EDM

EDM

39-28-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 2FinalSeriesEDM wins series 3-0VegasEDM -230

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Chicago Blackhawks, 3–1.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

EDM
Jason Dickinson

Jason Dickinson

C · #16

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
3
CHI27-35-14EDM39-28-9
CHI

CHI

27-35-14

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
EDM

EDM

39-28-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

2

Season series

EDM wins series 3-0

Nov 2CHICHI2@EDMEDM3
Jan 13EDMEDM4@CHICHI1
Apr 3CHICHI1@EDMEDM3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+19034%
EDMEDM-23070%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat CHI 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI0011
EDM0213

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · EDM won 1

0
0

1

0
2

2

1
1

3

CHI
EDM

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Off-side

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  5. 3rd·19:43

    Sam Rinzel shot blocked by Adam Henrique

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  6. 3rd·19:34

    Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  7. 3rd·19:34

    Icing

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  8. 3rd·19:14

    Josh Samanski faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  9. 3rd·19:14

    Icing

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  10. 3rd·18:59

    Josh Samanski faceoff won against Sacha Boisvert

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  11. 3rd·18:59

    Vasily Podkolzin Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Jason Dickinson (9), Connor Murphy (11)

    · ·

    CHI 1·EDM 3

  12. 3rd·18:52

    Connor Murphy shot blocked by Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  13. 3rd·18:48

    Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Darnell Nurse

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  14. 3rd·18:17

    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Teuvo Teravainen

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  15. 3rd·18:08

    Giveaway by Zach Hyman

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  16. 3rd·17:34

    Connor McDavid faceoff won against Ryan Donato

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  17. 3rd·17:34

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  18. 3rd·17:32

    Ryan Donato Tip-In saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  19. 3rd·17:24

    Teuvo Teravainen Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  20. 3rd·17:22

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  21. 3rd·17:17

    Connor McDavid faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  22. 3rd·17:17

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  23. 3rd·17:15

    Wyatt Kaiser Snap Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  24. 3rd·16:07

    Josh Samanski faceoff won against Anton Frondell

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  25. 3rd·16:07

    Puck in Crowd

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  26. 3rd·15:36

    Teuvo Teravainen shot blocked by Nick Lardis

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  27. 3rd·15:29

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  28. 3rd·14:54

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  29. 3rd·14:54

    Icing

    CHI 1·EDM 2

  30. 3rd·14:46

    Anton Frondell shot blocked by Jake Walman

    ·

    CHI 1·EDM 2

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

18

Shots

39

0.0

PCT

33.3

6

PIM

2

30

Faceoffs W

30

14

Blocks

20

13

Giveaways

12

7

Takeaways

3

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +190/EDM -230

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Jake WalmanEDM · D
    SHOT MPH99.599
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5498
  • Evan BouchardEDM · D
    SHOT MPH97.395
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · EDM favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR