NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3EDM

ANA

43-33-6

EDM

41-30-11

NHLTue, Apr 28FinalSeriesEDM wins series 2-1VegasEDM -155

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Anaheim Ducks, 4–1.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

Alex Killorn

LW · #17

1Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CarlssonC · #91	0	0	-1	4	1	0	0	17:14
C. GauthierLW · #61	0	1	0	2	6	0	0	16:39
M. GranlundC · #64	0	0	-1	3	1	0	2	16:35
A. KillornLW · #17	1	0	-2	3	3	0	0	15:24
C. KreiderLW · #20	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	13:46
M. McTavishC · #23	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	11:20
R. PoehlingC · #25	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	14:46
B. SenneckeRW · #45	0	0	-3	0	2	1	0	16:10
T. TerryRW · #19	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:27
J. VielLW · #28	0	0	0	3	5	0	2	12:21
T. WasheC · #42	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	12:04

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CarlsonD · #74	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	25:34
D. HellesonD · #14	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	8:49
T. HindsD · #60	0	0	-1	0	3	1	0	13:49
J. LaCombeD · #2	0	0	-2	2	1	2	0	28:04
P. MintyukovD · #98	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:23
I. MooreD · #3	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	10:20
J. TroubaD · #65	0	0	-2	1	5	1	2	25:08

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. DostalG · #1	9	3	6	.667	10:13
V. HussoG · #33	11	1	10	.909	47:14

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	0	0	6	0	2	9:11
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	10:20
L. DraisaitlC · #29	2	0	1	4	0	1	2	23:22
Z. HymanLW · #18	1	0	2	1	2	1	4	18:07
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	17:29
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	10:35
C. McDavidC · #97	0	2	1	4	0	1	0	24:09
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	2	2	1	3	0	0	18:57
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	1	0	2	1	7	0	0	12:34
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	12:18
J. SamanskiC · #81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9:15
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:50

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	3	2	0	1	1	0	27:30
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	2	1	1	3	0	17:12
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	10:19
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	1	1	4	4	0	20:33
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	23:19
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	16:38

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	30	1	29	.967	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

ANA leads series 3-2

Apr 21

ANA3@

EDM4

Apr 23

ANA6@

EDM4

Apr 25

EDM4@

ANA6

Apr 27

EDM3@

ANA4

Apr 29

ANA1@

EDM4today

May 1

EDM2@

ANA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANA+13043%

EDM-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 69 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

ANA

A. Killorn

Top skater

1 G · 3 SOG

V. Husso

Goaltender

10 SV · 1 GA · .909

EDM

L. Draisaitl

Top skater

2 G · 4 SOG

C. Ingram

Goaltender

29 SV · 1 GA · .967

How it ended

EDM beat ANA 4-1. L. Draisaitl led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
ANA	0	1	0	1
EDM	3	1	0	4

Period scoring

ANA won 0 · EDM won 1

ANA

EDM

Play-by-play · 356 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·19:53
Tyson Hinds Slap Shot Wide Left
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·19:40
Tyson Hinds hit Jack Roslovic
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·19:23
Giveaway by Jacob Trouba
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·17:18
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Jeffrey Viel
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·17:18
Too many men/ice served by Mason McTavish
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·16:51
Mason McTavish hit Darnell Nurse
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·16:38
Cutter Gauthier Slap Shot Wide Right
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·15:30
Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·15:03
Evan Bouchard hit Beckett Sennecke
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·14:46
Jeffrey Viel shot blocked by Curtis Lazar
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·14:26
Tim Washe faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·14:26
Goalie Stopped
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·14:24
Leon Draisaitl Slap Shot saved by Ville Husso
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:58
Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:40
Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:22
Alex Killorn hit Darnell Nurse
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:15
Mikael Granlund shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:14
Curtis Lazar hit Beckett Sennecke
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·13:04
Giveaway by Jackson LaCombe
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·12:57
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·12:57
Puck Frozen - Goalie
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·12:35
Jack Roslovic hit Beckett Sennecke
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·12:11
Tim Washe shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·11:59
Jacob Trouba hit Matt Savoie
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·11:56
Mattias Ekholm hit Tim Washe
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·11:21
Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Jeffrey Viel
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·11:03
Chris Kreider Batted Wide Right
·
ANA 1·EDM 4
3rd·11:02
Jackson LaCombe Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
ANA 1·EDM 4

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 7.5·ANA +130/EDM -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE

John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Connor McDavidEDM · C
iXG43.699+
Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
SHOT MPH96.199+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Zach HymanEDM · LW
iXG35.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.8%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
55.6%
P(EDM win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
55.6%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
55.6%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss