
EDM
32-26-9

STL
27-29-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
t. Louis Blues held off Edmonton Oilers, 3–2 in overtime.
STL +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl
C · #29
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
STL · top performer

Jonatan Berggren
RW · #29
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


EDM
32-26-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
STL
27-29-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
2
PIM
6
Season series
STL wins series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
EDM -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
STL beat EDM 3-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
EDM won 1 · STL won 2
1
2
3
OT
Play-by-play · 302 plays
- OT·4:51
Game End
EDM 2·STL 3
- OT·4:51
End of OT
EDM 2·STL 3
- OT·4:51
Robert Thomas Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Cam Fowler (23), Jordan Kyrou (20)
· ·
EDM 2·STL 3
- OT·4:43
Jordan Kyrou Backhand saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·4:02
Jonatan Berggren Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·3:52
Connor McDavid Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·3:31
Colton Parayko hit Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·3:23
Takeaway by Jimmy Snuggerud
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·2:46
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Pius Suter
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·2:46
Puck in Netting
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·2:43
Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Cam Fowler
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·2:09
Matt Savoie Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·0:56
Evan Bouchard Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·0:48
Leon Draisaitl Snap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·0:00
Oskar Sundqvist faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·19:32
Giveaway by Connor McDavid
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·19:27
Jordan Kyrou Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·19:17
Matt Savoie Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·19:14
Takeaway by Connor McDavid
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:56
Zach Hyman hit Jake Neighbours
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:52
Mattias Ekholm Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:31
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Cam Fowler
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:06
Pius Suter faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:06
Goalie Stopped
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·18:04
Pius Suter Backhand saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·17:56
Pius Suter Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·17:51
Josh Samanski hit Philip Broberg
·
EDM 2·STL 2
- 3rd·17:38
Philip Broberg shot blocked by Dylan Holloway
· ·
EDM 2·STL 2
Team stats
EDM
Away
Stat
STL
Home
38
Shots
25
0.0
PCT
0.0
2
PIM
6
25
Faceoffs W
24
13
Blocks
12
14
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
6
Betting line
EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -142/STL +120
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Philip BrobergSTL · DBURSTS15898
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RWSHOT MPH95.697
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · STL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STL win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+120
Close price
+120
Open no-vig
43.7%
Close no-vig
43.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit