NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2ANA

EDM

41-30-11

ANA

43-33-6

NHLFri, Apr 24FinalSeriesEDM wins series 2-1VegasEDM -142

Recap · NHL

naheim Ducks held off Edmonton Oilers, 6–4.

ANA +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

EDM · top performer

Connor McDavid

C · #97

2Points

—

SOG

ANA · top performer

Mikael Granlund

C · #64

4Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	-1	1	2	0	2	9:14
L. DraisaitlC · #29	0	2	-1	1	2	0	0	20:52
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	9:37
Z. HymanLW · #18	0	0	-2	1	5	1	0	15:28
K. KapanenRW · #42	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	17:35
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	7:30
C. McDavidC · #97	1	1	-4	3	3	0	2	23:50
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	17:16
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	1	0	2	3	4	1	5	14:52
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	14:48
J. SamanskiC · #81	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	11:42
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	16:15

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	2	-3	2	0	0	0	21:41
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	-3	1	0	2	0	20:16
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	-1	0	2	2	0	14:11
C. MurphyD · #5	0	1	1	1	3	3	0	21:46
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	1	4	3	1	0	23:10
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	-1	0	0	0	2	16:10

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	38	6	32	.842	59:24

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CarlssonC · #91	1	1	0	4	1	1	0	18:53
C. GauthierLW · #61	0	0	1	4	5	0	0	18:27
M. GranlundC · #64	1	3	3	2	4	0	0	17:13
A. KillornLW · #17	1	0	2	3	3	1	0	18:50
C. KreiderLW · #20	0	1	2	2	3	0	0	11:09
M. McTavishC · #23	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	14:26
R. PoehlingC · #25	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	14:16
B. SenneckeRW · #45	1	0	2	4	4	0	2	16:46
T. TerryRW · #19	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	19:12
J. VielLW · #28	1	0	-1	1	1	0	7	10:05
T. WasheC · #42	0	1	-1	2	2	0	0	10:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CarlsonD · #74	0	1	1	3	0	2	0	23:05
D. HellesonD · #14	0	1	2	1	1	0	2	9:12
T. HindsD · #60	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	9:23
J. LaCombeD · #2	1	1	3	4	0	2	0	26:49
P. MintyukovD · #98	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	22:36
I. MooreD · #3	0	0	-1	1	3	2	0	8:38
J. TroubaD · #65	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	26:30

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. DostalG · #1	25	4	21	.840	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

ANA leads series 2-1

Apr 21

ANA3@

EDM4

Apr 23

ANA6@

EDM4

Apr 25

EDM4@

ANA6today

Apr 27

EDM3@

ANA4

Apr 29

ANA1@

EDM4

May 1

EDM2@

ANA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDM-14259%

ANA+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 73 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

EDM

C. McDavid

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

C. Ingram

Goaltender

32 SV · 6 GA · .842

ANA

M. Granlund

Top skater4-point night

1 G · 3 A · 2 SOG

L. Dostal

Goaltender

21 SV · 4 GA · .840

How it ended

ANA beat EDM 6-4. M. Granlund led the way — 1 G · 3 A · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
EDM	1	2	1	4
ANA	2	1	4	6

Period scoring

EDM won 1 · ANA won 2

EDM

ANA

Play-by-play · 359 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·20:00
Colton Dach Roughing against Tyson Hinds
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·20:00
Drew Helleson Roughing against Josh Samanski
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·19:58
Colton Dach hit Drew Helleson
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·19:35
Tim Washe faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·19:35
Jeffrey Viel Fighting against Vasily Podkolzin
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·19:35
Vasily Podkolzin Fighting against Jeffrey Viel
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·19:12
Colton Dach Snap Shot Wide Left
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:42
Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Ryan Poehling
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:42
Icing
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:35
Trent Frederic faceoff won against Ryan Poehling
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:35
Puck in Netting
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:30
Trent Frederic hit Tyson Hinds
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:27
Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·18:27
Jackson LaCombe Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Mikael Granlund (4)
·
EDM 4·ANA 7
3rd·16:57
Jack Roslovic faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
EDM 4·ANA 6
3rd·16:57
Jeffrey Viel Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Tim Washe (1), Jackson LaCombe (5)
· ·
EDM 4·ANA 6
3rd·16:52
Jackson LaCombe Snap Shot High and Wide Left
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·16:37
Zach Hyman hit Jacob Trouba
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·16:22
Jacob Trouba Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·16:14
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Troy Terry
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·16:05
Jacob Trouba Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:41
Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Leo Carlsson
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:41
Goalie Stopped
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:40
Troy Terry Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:34
Leo Carlsson faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:34
High Stick
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·15:30
Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 4·ANA 5
3rd·14:41
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic
EDM 4·ANA 5

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

ANA

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 7.5·EDM -142/ANA +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE

Connor McDavidEDM · C
iXG43.699+
John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
SHOT MPH96.199+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Zach HymanEDM · LW
iXG35.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.2%

ensemble · ANA favored

Elo Static
56.7%
P(ANA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
56.7%
P(ANA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
56.7%
P(ANA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit