Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in EDM at LA?

The model favors LA, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+7EDM

EDM

29-23-8

23-21-14

NHLThu, Feb 26FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasEDM -120

EDM · top performer

Jake Walman

D · #96

2Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Warren Foegele

LW · #37

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. DraisaitlC · #29	1	3	2	1	0	0	0	14:52
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	15:56
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	16:37
Z. HymanLW · #18	1	2	1	3	1	0	0	17:35
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	11:03
A. MangiapaneLW · #88	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	12:11
C. McDavidC · #97	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	20:05
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	19:22
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	1	0	1	6	2	1	0	15:50
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	1	3	3	0	1	0	18:26
M. SavoieC · #22	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	16:33

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	19:38
M. EkholmD · #14	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	16:35
T. EmbersonD · #49	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	18:27
D. NurseD · #25	0	1	3	2	0	3	4	21:20
S. StastneyD · #24	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	19:22
J. WalmanD · #96	2	0	3	4	0	1	0	22:08

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	22	1	21	.955	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ArmiaRW · #40	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	4:46
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	18:23
W. FoegeleLW · #37	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	16:51
A. KempeRW · #9	0	0	-3	1	1	0	0	18:32
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	-2	0	2	1	0	17:25
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	0	0	2	5	0	2	16:34
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	-2	0	4	0	2	12:46
T. MooreLW · #12	0	0	-2	4	1	1	0	14:46
A. PanarinLW · #72	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	18:11
C. PerryRW · #10	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	16:32
A. TurcotteC · #15	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	12:15
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	-2	3	1	1	0	14:02

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	20:05
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	-3	1	0	0	0	19:32
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	22:58
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	-1	1	0	1	2	15:15
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	-3	0	0	1	0	20:12
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	1	-1	0	3	4	0	18:15

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ForsbergG · #31	22	4	18	.818	33:11
D. KuemperG · #35	15	4	11	.733	26:49

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

66.7

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 11

LA4@

EDM3

Feb 27

EDM8@

LA1today

Apr 11

EDM0@

LA1

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDM-12055%

LA+10050%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 21 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat LA 8-1. J. Walman led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
EDM	2	3	3	8
LA	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

EDM won 3 · LA won 0

EDM

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·19:56
Alex Laferriere shot blocked by Adam Henrique
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·19:28
Taylor Ward Tip-In Hit Left Post
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·19:22
Alex Laferriere Snap Shot Wide Left
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·19:20
Giveaway by Connor Ingram
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:47
Warren Foegele Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:46
Giveaway by Spencer Stastney
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:40
Alex Turcotte faceoff won against Adam Henrique
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:40
Puck in Benches
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:32
Adam Henrique faceoff won against Alex Turcotte
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:32
Goalie Stopped
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:30
Jeff Malott Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·18:24
Cody Ceci shot blocked by Taylor Ward
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·17:39
Alex Laferriere Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·17:23
Jake Walman Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·17:15
Trent Frederic Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·17:06
Alex Turcotte hit Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·15:04
Curtis Lazar faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·15:04
Icing
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·14:57
Giveaway by Brandt Clarke
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·14:00
Alex Laferriere hit Jake Walman
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·13:36
Vasily Podkolzin hit Mikey Anderson
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·13:30
Giveaway by Trevor Moore
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·13:15
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Adam Henrique
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·13:15
Goalie Stopped
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·13:13
Andrew Mangiapane Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·12:53
Mattias Ekholm Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·12:31
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 8·LA 1
3rd·12:30
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
·
EDM 8·LA 1

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -120/LA +100

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 8–1.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 7). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.0%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
54.0%
P(LA win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.0%
P(LA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.0%
P(LA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+100

Close price

+100

Open no-vig

47.8%

Close no-vig

47.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in EDM at LA?: The model favors LA, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Edmonton OilersLos Angeles Kings

Elsewhere in the NHL