NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1COL

COL

53-16-11

EDM

40-30-11

NHLMon, Apr 13FinalSeriesCOL wins series 2-1VegasCOL -125

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 2–1.

EDM +1.5 cashed (COL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

COL · top performer

Sam Malinski

D · #70

1Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Connor McDavid

C · #97

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BardakovC · #93	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6:51
R. ColtonC · #20	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	12:48
J. DruryC · #18	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	9:56
P. KellyC · #17	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	13:11
J. KivirantaLW · #94	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7:45
G. LandeskogLW · #92	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	24:24
N. MacKinnonC · #29	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	27:57
M. NecasC · #88	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	29:08
B. NelsonC · #11	0	0	-1	0	0	2	2	19:11
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	-1	1	0	1	2	16:10
L. O'ConnorRW · #25	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:31
N. RoyC · #10	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	14:06

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AhcanD · #15	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	11:06
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	10:14
B. BurnsD · #84	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	21:40
B. KulakD · #27	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	21:41
S. MalinskiD · #70	1	0	1	4	0	2	0	23:55
D. ToewsD · #7	0	0	0	3	0	4	0	31:21

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. WedgewoodG · #41	31	1	30	.968	64:59

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	11:50
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	13:23
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	12:47
I. HowardLW · #53	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	9:56
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	11:51
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7:19
C. McDavidC · #97	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	27:55
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	21:50
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	0	0	2	4	2	0	19:15
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	18:21
J. SamanskiC · #81	0	0	0	1	3	3	0	13:05
M. SavoieC · #22	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	18:59

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	1	0	3	0	3	0	30:31
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	1	1	0	5	0	22:21
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	10:22
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	0	2	2	6	0	22:07
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	24:25
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	13:50

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	32	1	31	.969	64:47

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

COL wins series 2-1

Nov 9

COL9@

EDM1

Mar 11

EDM4@

COL3

Apr 14

COL2@

EDM1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

COL-12556%

EDM+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 44 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

COL

S. Malinski

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

S. Wedgewood

Goaltender

30 SV · 1 GA · .968

EDM

C. McDavid

Top skater

1 G · 5 SOG

C. Ingram

Goaltender

31 SV · 1 GA · .969

How it ended

COL beat EDM 2-1. S. Malinski led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
COL	0	1	0	0	1	2
EDM	0	1	0	0	0	1

Period scoring

COL won 1 · EDM won 0

COL

EDM

Play-by-play · 340 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
End of OT
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Nathan MacKinnon Goal Wrist Shot
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Jack Roslovic Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Martin Necas Goal Wrist Shot
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Goal Wrist Shot
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Valeri Nichushkin Goal Wrist Shot
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Connor McDavid Goal Wrist Shot
COL 3·EDM 2
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
COL 3·EDM 2
OT·5:00
End of OT
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·4:46
Jack Roslovic hit Sam Malinski
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·4:38
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Sam Malinski
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·4:18
Gabriel Landeskog hit Connor McDavid
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·4:04
Devon Toews Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·3:55
Gabriel Landeskog Deflected Off Crossbar
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·3:48
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·3:48
Puck Frozen - Goalie
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·3:47
Gabriel Landeskog Tip-In Off Crossbar
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·3:31
Gabriel Landeskog Tip-In Hit Left Post
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:49
Martin Necas Slap Shot Wide Left
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:33
Martin Necas Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:23
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:23
Puck in Netting
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:21
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:15
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:15
Puck in Netting
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:12
Nathan MacKinnon Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:06
Gabriel Landeskog faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
COL 1·EDM 1
OT·2:06
Timeout - Visitor
COL 1·EDM 1

Team stats

COL

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·COL -125/EDM +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Ross ColtonCOL · C
SKATE MPH23.799+
Connor McDavidEDM · C
iXG43.699+
Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C
iXG40.699+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Martin NecasCOL · C
BURSTS7599

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.3%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
47.7%
P(EDM win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
47.7%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
47.7%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.