Apr 5, 26sim 99
231
13(H)8
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1LA
EDM
40-30-10
01
LA
34-26-19
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
os Angeles Kings held off Edmonton Oilers, 1–0.
EDM +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
EDM · top performer
Colton Dach
C · #34
0Points
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
LA · top performer
Artemi Panarin
LW · #10
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
EDM40-30-10
01
LA34-26-19
EDM40-30-10LA34-26-19
EDM
40-30-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
LA
34-26-19
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
4
Season series
LA wins series 2-1
Jan 11LA4@EDM3
LA4@EDM3Feb 27EDM8@LA1
EDM8@LA1Apr 11EDM0@LA1today
EDM0@LA1todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
EDM-10250%LA-11854%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 11 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LA beat EDM 1-0.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
EDM won 0 · LA won 1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
EDM
LA
Play-by-play · 321 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:50
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:50
Puck in Netting
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:47
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Joel Armia
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:40
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:40
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:36
Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot Wide Right
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:33
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:33
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:28
Joel Armia Slap Shot Wide Left
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:24
Vasily Podkolzin hit Cody Ceci
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:00
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·19:00
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·18:53
Jake Walman shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·18:36
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·18:30
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·18:30
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:37
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Quinton Byfield
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:27
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:27
On-Ice Official
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:24
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Alex Laferriere
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:17
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot Wide Right
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·17:03
Alex Laferriere Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·16:19
Mattias Ekholm Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·15:49
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·15:41
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·15:36
Brandt Clarke Snap Shot Wide Right
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·15:33
Adrian Kempe faceoff won against Adam Henrique
·
EDM 0·LA 1
- 3rd·15:33
Puck in Netting
EDM 0·LA 1
Team stats
EDM
Away
Stat
LA
Home
27
Shots
21
0.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
4
24
Faceoffs W
30
16
Blocks
21
15
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
4
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -102/LA -118
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Jake WalmanEDM · DSHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · CBURSTS5498
Evan BouchardEDM · DSHOT MPH97.395
Darnell NurseEDM · DBURSTS1389
Mattias EkholmEDM · DSHOT MPH92.979
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.