NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1LA

EDM

40-30-10

34-26-19

NHLSat, Apr 11FinalSeriesLA wins series 2-1VegasLA -118

EDM · top performer

Adam Henrique

C · #19

0Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Artemi Panarin

LW · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	12:57
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	14:26
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	0	4	3	2	0	15:08
M. JonesLW · #46	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2:07
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	16:52
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	11:18
C. McDavidC · #97	0	0	-1	1	1	0	4	26:50
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	17:43
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	0	-1	1	4	2	0	18:27
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	18:13
J. SamanskiC · #81	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:05
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	15:14

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	27:36
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	21:10
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10:58
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	21:31
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	21:47
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	15:11

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	21	1	20	.952	57:27

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ArmiaRW · #40	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	13:22
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	21:01
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	6:16
M. JosephRW · #17	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	6:46
A. KempeRW · #9	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	17:31
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	1	3	1	2	0	19:16
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	0	0	4	6	1	0	21:40
S. LaughtonC · #21	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:25
T. MooreLW · #12	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	18:54
A. PanarinLW · #10	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:23
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	8:40
J. WrightRW · #53	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	10:51

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	22:48
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	18:07
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	1	1	0	7	2	19:55
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	22:14
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:55
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	1	1	2	3	0	19:56

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ForsbergG · #31	27	0	27	1.000	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

LA wins series 2-1

Jan 11

LA4@

EDM3

Feb 27

EDM8@

LA1

Apr 11

EDM0@

LA1today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDM-10250%

LA-11854%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 94 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat EDM 1-0. A. Panarin led the way — 1 G · 1 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
EDM	0	0	0	0
LA	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

EDM won 0 · LA won 1

EDM

Play-by-play · 321 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:50
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Curtis Lazar
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:50
Puck in Netting
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:47
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Joel Armia
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:40
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:40
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:36
Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot Wide Right
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:33
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:33
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:28
Joel Armia Slap Shot Wide Left
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:24
Vasily Podkolzin hit Cody Ceci
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:00
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·19:00
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·18:53
Jake Walman shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·18:36
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·18:30
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·18:30
Icing
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:37
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Quinton Byfield
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:27
Connor McDavid faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:27
On-Ice Official
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:24
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Alex Laferriere
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:17
Evan Bouchard Slap Shot Wide Right
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·17:03
Alex Laferriere Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·16:19
Mattias Ekholm Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·15:49
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·15:41
Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·15:36
Brandt Clarke Snap Shot Wide Right
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·15:33
Adrian Kempe faceoff won against Adam Henrique
·
EDM 0·LA 1
3rd·15:33
Puck in Netting
EDM 0·LA 1

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -102/LA -118

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings held off Edmonton Oilers, 1–0.

EDM +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Anze Kopitar · LAK19:420.8263.3%67.8%19:42 TOI · 0.82 iXG · 63.3% CF · 67.8% xGF
Matt Savoie · EDM15:240.5646.2%60.9%15:24 TOI · 0.56 iXG · 46.2% CF · 60.9% xGF
Alex Laferriere · LAK21:420.4146.7%48.7%21:42 TOI · 0.41 iXG · 46.7% CF · 48.7% xGF
Adam Henrique · EDM15:180.4056.3%62.1%15:18 TOI · 0.40 iXG · 56.3% CF · 62.1% xGF
Trent Frederic · EDM14:420.3765.0%71.8%14:42 TOI · 0.37 iXG · 65.0% CF · 71.8% xGF
Colton Dach · EDM13:000.3170.0%76.8%13:00 TOI · 0.31 iXG · 70.0% CF · 76.8% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Anton Forsberg · LAK27–01.000+2.6327–0 · 1.000 SV% · +2.63 GSAx
Connor Ingram · EDM20–1.952+1.0620–1 · .952 SV% · +1.06 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.6%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
51.6%
P(LA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
51.6%
P(LA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
51.6%
P(LA win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Edmonton OilersLos Angeles Kings

Elsewhere in the NHL