NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

CAR

40-16-6

EDM

30-25-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Mar 6FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCAR -112

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 6–3.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Jackson Blake

RW · #53

2Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Zach Hyman

LW · #18

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

CAR40-16-6

EDM30-25-8

CAR40-16-6EDM30-25-8

CAR

40-16-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

EDM

30-25-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 16

EDM4@

CAR3

Mar 7

CAR6@

EDM3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-11253%

EDM-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat EDM 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	1	3	6
EDM	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · EDM won 0

CAR

EDM

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:40
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:40
Icing
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:31
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:31
Jackson Blake Goal (19) Snap Shot, assists: Logan Stankoven (17), Sean Walker (14)
· ·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·18:39
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Trent Frederic
·
CAR 5·EDM 3
3rd·18:39
Jordan Staal Goal (16) Backhand, assists: K'Andre Miller (24), Frederik Andersen (1)
· ·
CAR 5·EDM 3
3rd·17:45
Takeaway by Zach Hyman
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·16:07
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:33
Vasily Podkolzin hit Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:21
Takeaway by K'Andre Miller
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:05
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Kasperi Kapanen
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:02
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:02
Puck in Crowd
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:00
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:52
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:27
William Carrier hit Darnell Nurse
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:15
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:04
Eric Robinson Wrist Shot Short
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:02
Taylor Hall shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·13:53
Takeaway by Logan Stankoven
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·13:23
Giveaway by Zach Hyman
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:43
Jalen Chatfield hit Trent Frederic
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:38
Giveaway by Frederik Andersen
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:09
Takeaway by Sean Walker
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:06
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:43
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:43
Zach Hyman Goal (27) Snap Shot, assists: Leon Draisaitl (58), Evan Bouchard (54)
· ·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:07
Leon Draisaitl hit Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·EDM 2

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -112/EDM -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Connor McDavidEDM · C
BURSTS5498
Sean WalkerCAR · D
SKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LW
BURSTS4696
Evan BouchardEDM · D
SHOT MPH97.395

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.2%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(EDM win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.