NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

CAR

40-16-6

EDM

30-25-8

NHLFri, Mar 6FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCAR -112

CAR · top performer

Jackson Blake

RW · #53

2Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Zach Hyman

LW · #18

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	21:06
J. BlakeRW · #53	2	0	1	2	0	1	0	14:02
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	-1	2	2	0	0	11:01
N. EhlersLW · #27	1	1	3	3	0	0	0	15:15
T. HallLW · #71	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	15:41
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	10:28
S. JarvisC · #24	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	20:08
J. MartinookLW · #48	1	0	2	3	0	1	0	15:11
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	10:33
J. StaalC · #11	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	15:24
L. StankovenC · #22	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	15:27
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	18:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	25:54
S. GostisbehereD · #4	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	4:01
K. MillerD · #19	0	3	2	0	2	0	2	22:33
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	1	3	4	0	0	16:11
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	25:25
S. WalkerD · #26	0	1	0	3	0	2	0	20:47

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. AndersenG · #31	16	3	13	.813	59:07

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	-3	0	2	0	0	9:32
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	12:43
L. DraisaitlC · #29	0	1	-2	0	3	0	0	21:27
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	-3	0	3	0	0	9:43
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	7:09
Z. HymanLW · #18	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	19:53
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	0	1	2	4	1	0	13:42
C. McDavidC · #97	0	1	0	2	1	1	2	23:32
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	-2	0	2	0	0	16:30
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	1	0	0	2	5	1	0	12:05
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	-2	0	1	2	0	14:38
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	-2	1	0	2	0	16:12

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	24:19
M. EkholmD · #14	0	1	0	2	0	1	2	20:23
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	-2	0	1	1	0	13:23
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	-2	0	1	3	0	20:32
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	18:55
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	-3	1	1	2	0	20:30

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. JarryG · #35	31	5	26	.839	58:52

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 16

EDM4@

CAR3

Mar 7

CAR6@

EDM3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-11253%

EDM-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 26 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat EDM 6-3. J. Blake led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	1	3	6
EDM	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · EDM won 0

CAR

EDM

Play-by-play · 295 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:40
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:40
Icing
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:31
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·19:31
Jackson Blake Goal (19) Snap Shot, assists: Logan Stankoven (17), Sean Walker (14)
· ·
CAR 6·EDM 3
3rd·18:39
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Trent Frederic
·
CAR 5·EDM 3
3rd·18:39
Jordan Staal Goal (16) Backhand, assists: K'Andre Miller (24), Frederik Andersen (1)
· ·
CAR 5·EDM 3
3rd·17:45
Takeaway by Zach Hyman
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·16:07
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:33
Vasily Podkolzin hit Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:21
Takeaway by K'Andre Miller
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:05
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Kasperi Kapanen
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:02
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:02
Puck in Crowd
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·15:00
Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:52
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:27
William Carrier hit Darnell Nurse
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:15
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:04
Eric Robinson Wrist Shot Short
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·14:02
Taylor Hall shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·13:53
Takeaway by Logan Stankoven
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·13:23
Giveaway by Zach Hyman
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:43
Jalen Chatfield hit Trent Frederic
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:38
Giveaway by Frederik Andersen
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:09
Takeaway by Sean Walker
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·12:06
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:43
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:43
Zach Hyman Goal (27) Snap Shot, assists: Leon Draisaitl (58), Evan Bouchard (54)
· ·
CAR 4·EDM 3
3rd·11:07
Leon Draisaitl hit Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·EDM 2

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -112/EDM -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 6–3.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.3%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
49.3%
P(EDM win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
49.3%
P(EDM win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
49.3%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Carolina HurricanesEdmonton Oilers

Elsewhere in the NHL