NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5EDM

VAN

25-49-8

EDM

41-30-11

NHLThu, Apr 16FinalSeriesEDM wins series 3-1VegasEDM -355

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Vancouver Canucks, 6–1.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

VAN · top performer

Ty Mueller

C · #39

1Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Matt Savoie

C · #22

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	0	-1	0	1	1	2	16:27
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	18:15
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:11
C. DouglasC · #42	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	12:00
N. HoglanderLW · #21	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	13:36
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	0	-2	2	0	2	0	16:19
T. MuellerC · #39	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	12:59
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	0	-2	0	0	0	5	11:15
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	-2	0	0	3	0	18:19
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	15:59
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	14:06
M. RossiC · #93	0	0	-2	1	1	1	0	13:15

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	21:38
F. HronekD · #17	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	27:44
K. KudryavtsevD · #59	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	17:33
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	19:06
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	-2	1	2	2	7	14:53
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-3	0	1	1	0	17:29

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. LankinenG · #32	35	6	29	.829	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	1	1	2	1	4	2	5	13:42
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	14:37
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	-1	0	0	0	2	12:23
Z. HymanLW · #18	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	18:11
K. KapanenRW · #42	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:17
C. LazarC · #20	0	0	-1	1	6	1	0	10:14
C. McDavidC · #97	0	4	2	3	0	0	2	18:16
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	17:48
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	17:02
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	16:22
J. SamanskiC · #81	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	14:27
M. SavoieC · #22	3	0	2	6	0	0	0	15:59

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	3	3	2	0	1	0	21:52
M. EkholmD · #14	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	19:01
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	18:54
C. MurphyD · #5	0	1	2	2	1	1	5	16:34
D. NurseD · #25	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	20:21
J. WalmanD · #96	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	19:19

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	12	1	11	.917	59:41

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

EDM wins series 3-1

Oct 12

VAN1@

EDM3

Oct 27

EDM3@

VAN4

Jan 18

EDM6@

VAN0

Apr 17

VAN1@

EDM6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VAN+28026%

EDM-35578%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 58 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

VAN

T. Mueller

Top skater

1 G · 1 SOG

K. Lankinen

Goaltender

29 SV · 6 GA · .829

EDM

M. Savoie

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 6 SOG

C. Ingram

Goaltender

11 SV · 1 GA · .917

How it ended

EDM beat VAN 6-1. M. Savoie led the way — 3 G · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
VAN	1	0	0	1
EDM	4	1	1	6

Period scoring

VAN won 0 · EDM won 3

VAN

EDM

Play-by-play · 262 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·19:56
Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Zeev Buium
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·19:52
Giveaway by Marco Rossi
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·18:51
Nils Hoglander hit Ty Emberson
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·18:39
Tom Willander shot blocked by Curtis Lazar
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·18:23
Elias Pettersson hit Trent Frederic
· ·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:48
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Trent Frederic
· ·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:45
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:45
Puck Frozen - Goalie
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:44
Aatu Räty Backhand saved by Connor Ingram
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:26
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Josh Samanski
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:26
Puck Frozen - Goalie
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:11
Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Zeev Buium
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·17:09
Ty Emberson Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·16:52
Jack Roslovic Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·16:40
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Teddy Blueger
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·16:40
Puck in Crowd
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·15:04
Josh Samanski faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·15:04
Goalie Stopped
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·15:02
Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·15:01
Curtis Douglas Wrap-around Wide Right
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·14:46
Aatu Räty faceoff won against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·14:46
Icing
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·14:39
Zach Hyman Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·14:28
Connor McDavid Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·14:09
Giveaway by Zach Hyman
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·13:55
Takeaway by Colton Dach
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·13:43
Zeev Buium shot blocked by Josh Samanski
·
VAN 1·EDM 6
3rd·13:25
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Colton Dach
·
VAN 1·EDM 6

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

66.7

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·VAN +280/EDM -355

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

Connor McDavidEDM · C
iXG43.699+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Zach HymanEDM · LW
iXG35.299
Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
iXG34.998

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

64.7%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
70.2%
P(EDM win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
70.2%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
70.2%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+280

Close price

+280

Open no-vig

25.2%

Close no-vig

25.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss