NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1EDM

ANA

43-33-6

EDM

41-30-11

NHLMon, Apr 20FinalSeriesEDM wins series 2-1VegasEDM -192

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers held off Anaheim Ducks, 4–3.

ANA +1.5 cashed (EDM won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

Leo Carlsson

C · #91

2Points

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

Kasperi Kapanen

RW · #42

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CarlssonC · #91	1	1	0	10	0	0	0	17:52
C. GauthierLW · #61	0	0	-1	1	5	0	0	13:02
M. GranlundC · #64	0	1	-1	1	1	0	0	20:11
A. KillornLW · #17	0	0	-2	1	1	0	4	18:48
C. KreiderLW · #20	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	14:16
M. McTavishC · #23	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	12:07
R. PoehlingC · #25	0	0	-1	1	1	2	0	12:36
B. SenneckeRW · #45	0	0	-2	6	2	0	0	16:20
T. TerryRW · #19	2	1	1	5	0	0	0	18:04
J. VielLW · #28	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	11:31
T. WasheC · #42	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	14:06

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CarlsonD · #74	0	1	-1	0	1	2	0	24:02
R. GudasD · #7	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	9:40
T. HindsD · #60	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	11:53
J. LaCombeD · #2	0	1	0	1	3	4	0	26:34
P. MintyukovD · #98	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	19:35
I. MooreD · #3	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	11:37
J. TroubaD · #65	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	25:29

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. DostalG · #1	34	4	30	.882	58:17

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DachC · #34	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	8:40
J. DickinsonC · #16	2	0	1	2	1	2	0	12:01
L. DraisaitlC · #29	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	22:06
T. FredericC · #10	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	8:33
A. HenriqueC · #19	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2:56
Z. HymanLW · #18	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	21:36
K. KapanenRW · #42	2	0	2	7	4	0	0	18:00
C. McDavidC · #97	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	24:50
R. Nugent-HopkinsC · #93	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	18:20
V. PodkolzinRW · #92	0	2	1	2	7	1	0	18:04
J. RoslovicC · #28	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	12:09
M. SavoieC · #22	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:16

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. BouchardD · #2	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	26:36
M. EkholmD · #14	0	1	2	2	1	3	0	23:00
T. EmbersonD · #49	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	10:20
C. MurphyD · #5	0	0	0	1	1	4	0	19:56
D. NurseD · #25	0	0	0	5	3	3	2	21:31
J. WalmanD · #96	0	2	2	2	2	0	2	15:01

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IngramG · #39	28	3	25	.893	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

EDM leads series 1-0

Apr 21

ANA3@

EDM4today

Apr 23

ANA6@

EDM4

Apr 25

EDM4@

ANA6

Apr 27

EDM3@

ANA4

Apr 29

ANA1@

EDM4

May 1

EDM2@

ANA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANA+16038%

EDM-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 68 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

ANA

L. Carlsson

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 10 SOG

L. Dostal

Goaltender

30 SV · 4 GA · .882

EDM

K. Kapanen

Top skater

2 G · 7 SOG

C. Ingram

Goaltender

25 SV · 3 GA · .893

How it ended

EDM beat ANA 4-3. K. Kapanen led the way — 2 G · 7 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
ANA	0	3	0	3
EDM	2	0	2	4

Period scoring

ANA won 1 · EDM won 2

ANA

EDM

Play-by-play · 385 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:59
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:45
Mikael Granlund Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:42
John Carlson shot blocked by Connor McDavid
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:33
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:32
Cutter Gauthier hit Mattias Ekholm
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:19
Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:03
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·19:00
Leo Carlsson Wrist Shot saved by Connor Ingram
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:59
Chris Kreider Tip-In Wide Right
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:54
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:54
Icing
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:47
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:47
Timeout - Visitor
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:47
Icing
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:17
Beckett Sennecke hit Evan Bouchard
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:06
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·18:06
Kasperi Kapanen Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Vasily Podkolzin (2), Leon Draisaitl (2)
· ·
ANA 3·EDM 4
3rd·17:35
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Leo Carlsson
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·17:35
Icing
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·17:30
Vasily Podkolzin hit John Carlson
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·17:25
Leo Carlsson faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·17:25
Off-side
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·17:19
Giveaway by Kasperi Kapanen
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·16:50
Jacob Trouba Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·16:27
Tim Washe shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·16:20
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·15:52
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
ANA 3·EDM 3
3rd·15:52
Goalie Stopped
ANA 3·EDM 3

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA +160/EDM -192

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE

John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Connor McDavidEDM · C
iXG43.699+
Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
SHOT MPH96.199+
Jake WalmanEDM · D
SHOT MPH99.599
Zach HymanEDM · LW
iXG35.299

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.4%

ensemble · EDM favored

Elo Static
58.0%
P(EDM win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
58.0%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
58.0%
P(EDM win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+160

Close price

+160

Open no-vig

36.9%

Close no-vig

36.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss