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Eastern Conference · 3 seed
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26 · L1 · L10 5-5-0
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#6 of 32
Elo rating 1550.3 · as of 2026-06-15 · nhl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2026-04-24 → 2026-05-03 · Full ATS profile →
Lost by 1 at MTL, 2-3, 2026-04-24. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 at MTL, 3-2, 2026-04-26. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 vs MTL, 2-3, 2026-04-29. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Won by 1 at MTL, 1-0, 2026-05-01. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Lost by 1 vs MTL, 1-2, 2026-05-03. Did not cover the spread (closing line).
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Points
- 1Nikita Kucherov76 GP130
- 2Jake Guentzel81 GP88
- 3Brandon Hagel71 GP74
- 4Darren Raddysh73 GP70
- 5Anthony Cirelli71 GP52
Goals
- 1Nikita Kucherov76 GP44
- 2Jake Guentzel81 GP38
- 3Brandon Hagel71 GP36
- 4Anthony Cirelli71 GP23
- 5Darren Raddysh73 GP22
Assists
- 1Nikita Kucherov76 GP86
- 2Jake Guentzel81 GP50
- 3Darren Raddysh73 GP48
- 4Brandon Hagel71 GP38
- 5Brayden Point63 GP32
Power-play goals
- 1Darren Raddysh73 GP10
- 2Oliver Bjorkstrand80 GP9
- 3Nikita Kucherov76 GP8
- 4Jake Guentzel81 GP8
- 5Brayden Point63 GP6
2025-26 regular season · NHL club-stats API (api-web.nhle.com) · counting boards ungated; goalie SV% / GAA min 10 starts
Period identity
When they score
Pattern by period
12 games · for vs against
ForAgainst
1.9 avg / 2.5 allowed
Scoring identity
How they score
Scoring distribution
30 games · avg 3.2 goals
Form heatmap
The margin trail
Margin trail
Last 30 games · 2026-03-06 → 2026-05-03
Record
15-15
Win pct
50.0%
Avg margin
+0.2
Longest W
3
Longest L
3
Upset wins
3
Favorite losses
10
Each cell = one game. Color = outcome. Intensity = margin. Diagonal slash = model called the wrong side. Click any cell to open that game's page.
Model rating arc
The Elo timeline
89 games · 2025-10-09 → 2026-05-03
Peak 1580 · Now 1550 · Trough 1481
Forwards · 16
Forwards
Anthony Cirelli
C · #71
52 PTS23 G
Brandon Hagel
LW · #38
74 PTS36 G
Brayden Point
C · #21
50 PTS18 G
Conor Geekie
C · #14
3 PTS1 G
Corey Perry
RW · #10
37 PTS17 G
Dominic James
C · #17
15 PTS7 G
Gage Goncalves
C · #93
33 PTS11 G
Jake Guentzel
C · #59
88 PTS38 G
Nick Abruzzese
C · #26
Nick Paul
LW · #20
15 PTS7 G
Nikita Kucherov
RW · #86
130 PTS44 G
Oliver Bjorkstrand
RW · #22
32 PTS12 G
Pontus Holmberg
RW · #29
22 PTS11 G
Scott Sabourin
RW · #46
5 PTS1 G
Yanni Gourde
C · #37
28 PTS9 G
Zemgus Girgensons
C · #28
20 PTS9 G
Defensemen · 11
The blue line
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
D · #51
29 PTS6 G
Darren Raddysh
D · #43
70 PTS22 G
Declan Carlile
D · #67
3 PTS1 G
Emil Lilleberg
D · #78
12 PTS4 G
Erik Cernak
D · #81
11 PTS3 G
Ethan Samson
D · #75
J.J. Moser
D · #90
29 PTS7 G
Maxim Groshev
D · #52
1 PTS0 G
Maxwell Crozier
D · #24
Ryan McDonagh
D · #27
21 PTS6 G
Victor Hedman
D · #77
17 PTS1 G
Goalies · 4
