Live · 2
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1SEA
SEA

SEA

32-29-10

43
TB

TB

44-21-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Mar 26FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasTB -290

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into Tampa Bay Lightning and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

SEA +1.5 cashed (TB lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Kaapo Kakko

Kaapo Kakko

RW · #84

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

TB · top performer

TB
Jake Guentzel

Jake Guentzel

C · #59

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
4
3
SEA32-29-10TB44-21-6
SEA

SEA

32-29-10

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
TB

TB

44-21-6

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

13

PIM

13

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Mar 18TBTB6@SEASEA2
Mar 26SEASEA4@TBTB3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TB -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+23530%
TBTB-29074%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TB -1.5↗SpreadBet TB -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat TB 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
SEA21014
TB12003

Period scoring

SEA won 2 · TB won 1

2
1

1

1
2

2

0
0

3

1
0

OT

SEA
TB

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·2:47

    Game End

    SEA 4·TB 3

  2. OT·2:47

    End of OT

    SEA 4·TB 3

  3. OT·2:47

    Brandon Montour Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Shane Wright (15), Berkly Catton (9)

    · ·

    SEA 4·TB 3

  4. OT·2:13

    Charle-Edouard D'Astous Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  5. OT·1:49

    Gage Goncalves Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  6. OT·0:34

    Brandon Hagel Snap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  7. OT·0:00

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Anthony Cirelli

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  8. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    SEA 3·TB 3

  9. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 3·TB 3

  10. 3rd·19:59

    Zemgus Girgensons faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  11. 3rd·19:59

    Off-side

    SEA 3·TB 3

  12. 3rd·19:37

    Kaapo Kakko shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  13. 3rd·19:33

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Zemgus Girgensons

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  14. 3rd·19:33

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·TB 3

  15. 3rd·19:31

    Brandon Montour Snap Shot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  16. 3rd·18:43

    Takeaway by Brandon Montour

    SEA 3·TB 3

  17. 3rd·18:40

    Brayden Point faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  18. 3rd·18:40

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·TB 3

  19. 3rd·18:38

    Freddy Gaudreau Backhand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  20. 3rd·18:18

    Emil Lilleberg hit Bobby McMann

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  21. 3rd·18:13

    Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Anthony Cirelli

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  22. 3rd·18:13

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·TB 3

  23. 3rd·18:11

    Emil Lilleberg Slap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  24. 3rd·18:08

    Anthony Cirelli faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  25. 3rd·18:08

    Icing

    SEA 3·TB 3

  26. 3rd·17:29

    Giveaway by J.J. Moser

    SEA 3·TB 3

  27. 3rd·16:44

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Jake Guentzel

    ·

    SEA 3·TB 3

  28. 3rd·16:44

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 3·TB 3

  29. 3rd·16:29

    Giveaway by Eeli Tolvanen

    SEA 3·TB 3

  30. 3rd·16:27

    Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg

    SEA 3·TB 3

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

TB

Home

20

Shots

33

0.0

PCT

100.0

13

PIM

13

21

Faceoffs W

33

27

Blocks

9

11

Giveaways

17

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

TB -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +235/TB -290

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jordan EberleSEA · RW
    DIST MI236.192
  • Ryker EvansSEA · D
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · TB favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(TB win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(TB win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(TB win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+235

Close price

+235

Open no-vig

28.6%

Close no-vig

28.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

TB vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 132 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Nikita KucherovTB
    3.5± 2.3high
  • Brandon HagelTB
    3.2± 1.4high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high

Goals

  • Brandon HagelTB
    0.6± 0.8high
  • Jake GuentzelTB
    0.4± 0.5high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Nikita KucherovTB
    1.1± 0.9high
  • Brandon HagelTB
    1.0± 0.9high
  • Jake GuentzelTB
    1.0± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR